THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER
COLLEGE PARK, MD
STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE
STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 3 FOR MID-ATLANTIC HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1100 PM EDT THU SEP 29 2016
...MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES TO MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN
CAROLINAS...THE MID-ATLANTIC...THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS...OHIO
VALLEY AND INTO THE GREAT LAKES...
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS FROM MOUNT AIRY NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD INTO
SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA.
FLASH FLOOD WATCHES...FLOOD WARNINGS...AND FLOOD ADVISORIES ARE IN
EFFECT ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH CAROLINA...THE MID-ATLANTIC...AND
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN MICHIGAN.
FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV
AT 1000 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF AN ANOMALOUS UPPER-LEVEL LOW
CONTINUES TO DIP SOUTHWARD INTO KENTUCKY. TO THE EAST OF THE
UPPER-LEVEL LOW...MOISTURE FROM THE ATLANTIC CONTINUES TO STREAM
NORTHWARD AND THEN NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC...THE
OHIO VALLEY AND INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION. AT THE SURFACE...A
LOW PRESSURE CENTER OF 1013 MB...29.91 INCHES...WAS LOCATED NEAR
COLUMBIA ...SOUTH CAROLINA...WITH A COLD FRONT EXTENDING TO THE
SOUTH OF THE LOW CENTER WHILE A WARM FRONT BEGAN TO MOVE ONSHORE
OVER THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER
RADARS AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOWED BANDS OF SHOWERS WITH
EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS MOVING FROM CENTRAL APPALACHIANS NORTH AND
NORTHWESTWARD INTO THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY. MEANWHILE...A NEW AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE WAS FORMING JUST OFF THE VIRGINIA COAST ALONG THE
WARM FRONT AS A LARGE AREA OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN MOVES
NORTHWARD ACROSS MUCH OF THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC STATES. IN
ADDITION...WIND GUSTS OF AROUND 40 MPH WERE REPORTED IN THE
DELMARVA.
...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 500 PM EDT THU SEP
28 THROUGH 1000 PM EDT SAT SEP 29...
...DELAWARE...
HARBESON 8.85
MILTON 4 SSE 7.44
GEORGETOWN/SUSSEX CO. ARPT 6.47
MILLSBORO 1.3 W 6.17
STOCKLEY 6.00
MILFORD 1.5 W 5.05
DELMAR 4.3 E 4.85
SEAFORD 0.6 WSW 4.81
FELTON 3.6 NE 4.72
HARRINGTON 4.67
GEORGETOWN 4.57
LEWES 3.9 SW 4.52
BRIDGEVILLE 4.46
CAMDEN 3.7 ESE 4.38
GUMBORO 4.34
LAUREL 4.30
FREDERICA 4.18
JONES CROSSROADS 4.14
ELLENDALE 3.4 ENE 3.84
WOODSIDE 1.1 E 3.63
DOVER 3.62
DOVER AFB 3.41
...MARYLAND...
ALLEN 2 N 8.27
SALISBURY 5.5 SW 8.27
PRINCESS ANNE 2.1 SSW 6.79
PRINCE FREDERICK 1.4 W 6.37
WESTOVER 2.6 WNW 6.12
PARSONSBURG 1.6 WNW 5.88
CHARLOTTE HALL 3.6 ENE 4.85
EAST NEW MARKET 4.76
SNOW HILL 0.4 S 4.18
DEAL ISLAND 0.5 SSW 4.16
CAMBRIDGE 2.1 ESE 3.89
RIDGDE 1.0 N 3.77
PUBLIC LANDING 7 SE 3.48
POTOMAC 0.9 NNW 2.95
WALDORF 3.3 S 2.44
...MICHIGAN...
DETROIT CITY AIRPORT 4.75
...NORTH CAROLINA...
FAYETTEVILLE 4 NNE 10.53
LINDEN 4.2 S 10.50
RAEFORD 7.1 NE 9.95
ROCKFISH 5 NW 9.95
LUMBER BRIDGHE 4.0 N 9.71
POPE AFB 9.71
VASS 5.3 ESE 9.05
BONNIE DOONE 2 SW 8.60
GODWIN 2.1 SW 8.41
FORT BRAGG 7.30
HOPE MILLS 1.7 NE 7.01
WHISPERING PINES 1.0 SW 5.61
CAMERON 7.6 E 5.03
HILLSBOROUGH 7.4 NW 4.43
...NEW JERSEY...
WILDWOOD - CAPE MAY CO. ARPT 2.61
MILLVILLE MUNI ARPT 2.05
MIDDLE TWP 4.2 NNW 1.45
UPPER DEERFIELD TWP 1.7 SW 1.15
PENNSVILLE TWP 2.0 NNW 1.01
...PENNSYLVANIA...
ORRTANNA 3.2 NNW 2.83
FAIRFIELD 1.8 NNW 2.55
BIGLERVILLE 2.0 WSW 2.44
GETTYSBURG 4.9 SW 2.28
GREENCASTLE 0.3 SSE 1.41
HANOVER 1.3 SSE 1.40
EVERETT 4.1 S 1.24
STATE COLLEGE 2.4 ENE 1.02
...VIRGINIA...
BEACH 3 NW 8.55
MONTROSE 4.7 SSE 7.83
VARINA 1 N 7.34
WALLOPS ISLAND 6.93
BENSLEY 0.8 SSE 6.46
SANDSTON 6.6 ESE 6.09
QUINTON 3.5 WSW 5.90
MOLLUSK 1 SSE 5.75
URBANNA 6.2 NNE 5.70
RICHMOND/BYRD FIELD 5.38
CHINCOTEAGUE 2 SW 5.35
KILMARNOCK 7.1 NNE 5.10
MEADOWVILLE 3 SSW 4.88
FREDERICKSBURG 7.6 ESE 4.59
REMLIK 1 N 4.44
RAPPAHANNOCK ACADEMY 2 N 3.95
WOODBRIDGE 5.9 NW 2.66
MANASSAS 5.3 SE 2.64
...WEST VIRGINIA...
MARTINSBURG RGNL ARPT 2.29
MARTINSBURG 4.3 E 1.72
FALLING WATERS 2.4 NW 1.59
THE ANOMALOUS UPPER-LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER KENTUCKY IS FORECAST
TO SLOWLY MOVE BACK TOWARDS THE NORTH DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
MOISTURE STREAMING NORTHWARD FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN IS EXPECTED
TO BRING HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND INTO
THE LOWER GREAT LAKES TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1
TO 2 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...WILL CONCENTRATE ALONG
THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS...WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA...AND THE LOWER
GREAT LAKES THROUGH FRIDAY. BY SATURDAY...THE ANOMALOUS UPPER LOW
SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN OVER THE OHIO VALLEY WHILE THE NEW SURFACE
LOW OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST SHOULD BRING 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN
TO COASTAL SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND TO THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF THE
MID-ATLANTIC BEFORE THE MAIN RAIN SLOWLY EDGES OUT TO SEA.
LIGHTER RAINFALL OF AROUND HALF AN INCH CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
GREAT LAKES REGION...OHIO VALLEY AS THE ANOMALOUS LOW WEAKENS.
FLASH FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO BE A CONCERN OVER THE COUPLE OF
DAYS FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO THE MID-ATLANTIC BEFORE BOTH SYSTEMS
WEAKEN OVER THE WEEKEND.
THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 500 AM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.
KONG
Last Updated: 1137 PM EDT THU SEP 29 2016