Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
351 PM EDT Mon Oct 06 2025

Valid 00Z Tue Oct 07 2025 - 00Z Thu Oct 09 2025

...There is a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of the
Ohio Valley and Middle/Lower Mississippi Valley through Tuesday
morning...

...There is a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of the
Ohio Valley and Central Appalachians on Tuesday...

A front extending from the Great Lakes to the Texas Panhandle will
move eastward off the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic Coast and across
the Southeast Coast to the Gulf Coast by Wednesday evening.
Moisture streaming northward from the Gulf will intersect the
boundary over the Ohio Valley and Middle/Lower Mississippi Valley,
producing showers and thunderstorms with heavy rain. Therefore,
the WPC has issued a Slight Risk (level 2/4) of excessive rainfall
over parts of the Ohio Valley and Middle/Lower Mississippi Valley
through Tuesday morning.  The associated heavy rain will create
mainly localized areas of flash flooding, with urban areas, roads,
small streams, and low-lying areas being the most vulnerable.

In addition, showers and thunderstorms will extend along the front
into the Great Lakes and over parts of the Central/Southern Plains
through Tuesday morning.

On Tuesday, as the front moves eastward, showers and thunderstorms
with heavy rain will also move eastward to the Ohio Valley and
Central Appalachians.  Therefore, the WPC has issued a Slight Risk
(level 2/4) of excessive rainfall over parts of the Ohio Valley
and Central Appalachians from Tuesday through Wednesday morning. 
The associated heavy rain will create mainly localized areas of
flash flooding, with urban areas, roads, small streams, and
low-lying areas being the most vulnerable.

Furthermore, showers and thunderstorms will develop along and near
the boundary over parts of the Northeast. Moreover, on Tuesday,
showers and thunderstorms are expected to grow over the Southern
Rockies/Southern High Plains through Wednesday evening.

Meanwhile, by Tuesday evening, a second front will move onshore
over the Pacific Northwest and into Northern California by
Wednesday evening. Westerly flow off the Pacific will aid in
producing rain over parts of the Pacific Northwest Coast and
inland on Wednesday evening.


Ziegenfelder


Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php