Excessive Rainfall Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
1228 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024
Day 3
Valid 12Z Sun May 05 2024 - 12Z Mon May 06 2024

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS...

The potential for excessive rainfall makes its way eastward on
Sunday in association with a closed low aloft and a cold front at
the surface. Model QPF was not as heavy as forecast on Day 2 as
shifting low level flow results in weaker low level moisture flux
convergence along the front. Despite model QPF generally being 2
inches or less...opted for a Slight Risk given the wet antecedent
conditions over portions of eastern Texas and eastern Oklahoma.

Bann