THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD


QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION


[Abbreviations and acronyms used in this product]
Geographic boundaries:    Map 1- [Color] [B/W Print Version]      Map 2 - [Color] [B/W Print Version]



QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
625 PM EDT SUN AUG 02 2015


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID AUG 03/0000 UTC THRU AUG 06/0000 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


MADE NO CHANGES TO THE PRELIM DAY 1 QPF.

DAY 1...

...FLORIDA AND THE SOUTHERN ATLANTIC COAST...

AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS IN FLORIDA WILL HAVE A TENDENCY TO
MAXIMIZE ALONG THE EAST COAST...BUT ONLY BRIEFLY...AS
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT PROMOTES REASONABLY QUICK PROGRESSION
OFFSHORE. A LONGER LIVED FOCUSING MECHANISM WILL CONTINUE TO FAVOR
RAIN OVER THE WEST AND NORTHWEST COAST...NEAR AND NORTH OF TAMPA
BAY. THE GREATEST CONCERN FOR HEAVY RAIN IS JUST TO THE SOUTH OF A
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE CENTER...WHERE LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND LOW
LEVEL INFLOW OFF THE GULF WILL BE MAXIMIZED FOR QUITE SOME
TIME...ESPECIALLY TONIGHT...AS THE LOW MOVES VERY SLOWLY EASTWARD.
THIS INCLUDES THE STRETCH OF COAST FROM NEAR AND NORTH OF TAMPA
BAY UP THROUGH CEDAR KEY AND STEINHATCHEE. CONVECTION HERE MAY BE
SHALLOW AT TIMES...BUT STILL HIGHLY EFFICIENT AT RAINFALL
PRODUCTION GIVEN WARM RAIN PROCESSES AND TRAINING. THE HIGH
RESOLUTION MODELS HAD GENERALLY OVER-FORECAST THIS EVENT UP TO
THIS POINT IN TIME...WHICH MAY BE RELATED TO RESOLUTION...AS THE
WEAKLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT LENDS ITSELF TO SMALLER CONVECTIVE
ELEMENTS THAT DO NOT TRAIN ACROSS THE SAME POINTS SO EASILY.

CONDITIONS SUPPORTING HEAVY RAIN SHOULD INCREASE
TONIGHT...HOWEVER...WITH THE LOW LEVEL WIND FIELDS STRENGTHENING
ONSHORE...OWING TO A SLIGHT EASTWARD SLIDE OF THE SURFACE
LOW...AND IN RESPONSE TO NORTHERN STREAM JET FORCING THAT WILL
SUPPORT A MORE BROAD SCALE AMPLIFICATION OF THE EXISTING UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH.

THE SAME COULD BE SAID FOR THE COAST OF SOUTH CAROLINA...AND
POTENTIALLY PARTS OF ADJACENT GA/NC...WHERE DEEP MOISTURE HAD
REMAINED IN PLACE. DESPITE SOMEWHAT MARGINAL LAPSE RATES AND
INSTABILITY...STRONG HEATING HAD YIELDED LOCALLY STRONG AND SLOW
MOVING CELLS WITH HEAVY RAIN AS OF MIDDAY. AFTER AN EVENING
LULL...ACTIVITY SHOULD INCREASE AGAIN TOWARD MORNING...WITH THE
BROAD SCALE PATTERN AMPLIFYING TO BRING STRONGER SOUTHERLY FLOW
ONSHORE...AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING SURFACE LOW OVER FLORIDA. SOME
OF THE 00Z HI-RES MODELS INDICATED HEAVY RAIN FOR THE SC COAST
MONDAY MORNING...AND NOW MORE OF THE 12Z GUIDANCE HAS TRENDED IN
THIS DIRECTION.

WPC BLENDED THE PREVIOUS FORECAST OVER THE SOUTHEAST U.S. TOWARD
THE 12Z HI-RES MODELS.


...MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES/OH VALLEY...

MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT CROSSING THE GREAT
LAKES AND MIDWEST DURING DAY 1 WILL FEED DEVELOPING
CONVECTION...WHICH MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. THE DEEPEST FORCING WILL TRACK TOWARD NEW
ENGLAND...WHILE THE GREATER INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN CENTERED BACK
TOWARD THE MIDWEST STATES. THE BEST COMBINATION IS IN
BETWEEN...WITH NUMEROUS MODELS PLACING A 24-HR QPF MAXIMUM ACROSS
MICHIGAN...WHERE MIDDAY CONVECTION HAD ALREADY ESTABLISHED
OUTFLOWS TO INTERCEPT INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW LEVEL FLOW
FROM AN UNSTABLE SOURCE REGION.

MODELS HAD TRENDED TOWARD FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT...AND THE WPC
FORECAST WAS BASED LARGELY ON THE DETAILS OF THE 12Z NAM
CONEST...12Z GFS...AND THE 00Z SSEO MEAN AVAILABLE OUT THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING.


...WESTERN UNITED STATES...

MONSOONAL MOISTURE IN THE SOUTHWEST STATES REMAINS CONNECTED TO A
PLUME EMANATING FROM THE EASTERN PACIFIC UP THROUGH SONORA.
PORTIONS OF THE MOISTURE ARE THEN DIVERTED INTO THE GREAT BASIN
AND SOUTHERN PLAINS...FOLLOWING A MID LEVEL SHEAR AXIS LAID OUT
ROUGHLY WNW TO ESE. THE HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT AIR...COMBINED WITH
MARGINAL INSTABILITY AND LIFT FROM A SHORT WAVE CROSSING THE
SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND GREAT BASIN...IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE YIELD
RELATIVELY GENEROUS COVERAGE OF CONVECTION TODAY THROUGH
MONDAY...ESPECIALLY OVER EASTERN UT AND WESTERN CO. PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES HERE WILL BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE CLIMATOLOGICAL
VALUES...AND WILL SUPPORT A RISK OF FLASH FLOODING. SOME OF THE
HIGH RESOLUTION GUIDANCE SUGGESTS ISOLATED RAINFALL TOTALS ABOVE
1.5 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. LOCATIONS RECEIVING THE MOST RAINFALL
WILL LIKELY BE DETERMINED BY VERY SMALL SCALE CELL MERGERS AND
ACCIDENTAL RATHER THAN ORGANIZED TRAINING...GIVEN A RELATIVE LACK
OF STRONG INFLOW NEAR CLOUD BASE.

THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY CONCERNING HOW WIDESPREAD THE HEAVY RAIN
THREAT WILL BE...BUT WESTERN CO AND SOUTHEAST UT SEEM TO BE IN THE
AREA WITH THE BEST COMBINATION OF LIFT/MOISTURE SUNDAY
EVENING...WITH THIS COMBINATION THEN MIGRATING TOWARD NORTHERN UT
/ NORTHWEST CO / SOUTHWEST WY ON MONDAY.

FARTHER WEST...INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE COULD SUPPORT SCATTERED
CONVECTION WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
NV/CA AND SOUTHERN OR...THEN MIGRATING DEEPER INTO CENTRAL AND
NORTHEAST OR ON MONDAY. A PLUME OF RICH MID LEVEL MOISTURE...BUT
MARGINAL INSTABILITY FOR SURFACE BASED PARCELS...SHOULD KEEP THE
MORE SUBSTANTIAL PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS TIED CLOSELY TO THE HIGHER
TERRAIN. SOME OF THE MORE AGGRESSIVE HIGH RESOLUTION GUIDANCE
SUGGESTS THAT ISOLATED ONE INCH AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE...ALTHOUGH
AMOUNTS LESS THAN 0.50 INCHES WILL BE MORE COMMON.

THE EASTERN EXTENT OF THE MONSOONAL MOISTURE SITS ATOP THE
SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...WHERE MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY HAVE
GRADUALLY FADED THE PAST FEW DAYS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF REPEATED
LOCAL SCALE CONVECTION AND SOME DRYING AROUND A SURFACE HIGH
LOCATED IN THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THROUGH MONDAY ADDITIONAL
SMALL SCALE CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS AND INDIVIDUAL THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT WILL BE MAINLY CONFINED TO EITHER SIDE OF AN AXIS FROM
SE CO TO W TX AROUND LUBBOCK. IT IS ALONG THAT AXIS THAT THERE IS
A FAIR MODEL CONSENSUS FOR HYDROLOGICALLY SIGNIFICANT 24-HOUR
AREAL AVERAGE TOTALS EXCEEDING A QUARTER INCH.

THROUGHOUT THE WESTERN U.S...WPC QPF BLENDED THE PREVIOUS FORECAST
TOWARD THE 12Z WRF-ARW AND THE 12Z GFS.


DAYS 2/3...

...NORTHERN TO CENTRAL ROCKIES/NORTHERN PLAINS...

THE MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW THE LOW-MID LEVEL RIDGE BREAKING DOWN
WITH A 700 MB WAVE AND POSSIBLE EMBEDDED LOW OR LOWS MOVING ACROSS
THE NORTHERN ROCKIES DAY 2 AND ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS TO
POSSIBLY THE UPPER MS VALLEY DAY 3.  AHEAD OF THE WAVE PRE FRONTAL
CONVERGENCE AND UPPER DIVERGENCE MAXIMA HELP TO INDUCE ASCENT. 
MODEL DIFFERENCES STEM FROM TIMING AND AMPLITUDE DIFFERENCES IN
THE 700 MB WAVE...WITH A CONTINUED LACK OF CLUSTERING OF
SOLUTIONS.  THE 12Z GFS WAS ON THE FASTER SIDE OF THE SUITE OF
SOLUTIONS WITH THE NAM AND ECMWF SLOWER.  MORE WEIGHTING WAS GIVEN
TO THE LATTER HALF BUT STILL A CONSENSUS APPROACH WAS USED...WITH
LESS WEIGHT ON THE HEAVIER NAM IN WESTERN WY DAY 2.  USED A BLEND
OF THE 00Z-12Z ECMWF/GFS/09Z SREF MEAN DAY 2....FOLLOWED BY A
BLEND OF THE 00-12Z ECMWF/12Z UKMET/12Z GEFS MEAN DAY 3 AS THE GFS
WAS HEAVIER FURTHER EAST INTO SOUTHWEST MN...COUNTERED BY THE GEFS
MEAN BETTER MATCHING THE UKMET AND ECMWF.  

ON DAY 3....WHILE THE LEAD WAVE CROSSES THE DAKOTAS A SECOND WAVE
DEVELOPS IN THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST...WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS
DEVELOPING ON THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AGAIN AS A POOL OF MOISTURE
NEAR 700 MB AND VERTICAL VELOCITY MAXIMA DEVELOP. HERE THE MODELS
ARE IN BETTER AGREEMENT SO A STRAIGHT CONSENSUS WAS USED IN
ID/MT/WY.

...CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN PLAINS/MIDWEST/MS VALLEY/OH VALLEY...

ON DAY 2...A BAND OF SHOWER/STORMS DEVELOPS FROM THE SOUTHEAST
CORNER OF SD ACROSS NORTHEAST NE TO SOUTHWEST IA IN AN AREA OF LOW
LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS AND 850-700 MB THETA-E ADVECTION AND
CONVERGENCE.  THIS AREA SHEAR OUT DOWNSTREAM INTO THE MID MS
VALLEY DAY 3.

A PAIR OF 850-700 MB SHORTWAVES MOVING OUT OF THE ROCKIES HELP
INCREASE MOISTURE AND LIFT ACROSS
THE CENTRAL TO ADJACENT SOUTHERN PLAINS DAY 2.  LOW-MID LEVEL
THETA-E ADVECTION AND CONVERGENCE SHOULD HELP DEVELOP CONVECTIVE
COMPLEXES OVER WESTERN KS AND NEAR THE WESTERN OK/TX BORDER,
MOVING EAST NORTHEAST ACROSS KS AND OK INTO MO. CONTINUED SLIGHT
RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL.  EXACT PLACEMENT OF THE CONVECTIVE
COMPLEX NEAR KS/MO REMAINS UNCERTAIN.  MANUAL PROGS BLENDED THE
QPF FROM THE 00-12Z ECMWF/12Z UKMET/1Z NAM WITH LESS WEIGHT ON THE
GFS...WHICH MOVES THE 700 MB LOW FASTER AND BRINGS QPF FURTHER
NORTHEAST INTO IL/IN.  THIS IS OFFSET BY THE GEFS MEAN...WITH THE
GEFS MUCH FURTHER SOUTH IN IL/IN LIKE THE OTHER MODELS/09Z SREF
MEAN.
THE GFS APPEARS TO BE SUFFERING FROM CONVECTIVE/GRID SCALE
FEEDBACK.

...SOUTHEAST/FLORIDA...

A LOW PRESSURE AREA MOVING ONSHORE FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO ACROSS
NORTHERN FL THEN MOVES NORTHEAST OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST.  LOW
LEVEL CONVERGENCE NEAR THE LOW AND ASSOCIATED FRONTAL BNDRY LEADS
TO COASTAL SHOWERS FROM GA ACROSS THE CAROLINAS.  A TIGHT RAINFALL
GRADIENT IS ANTICIPATED ALONG THE COASTS OF SC AND NC, SO ANY
WESTWARD SHIFT OF THE LOW TRACK COULD BRING AMOUNTS UP
SUBSTANTIALLY. 

WITH THE LOW DEPARTING FL...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN ACROSS THE
STATE.  THIS LEADS TO A RETURN OF A MORE TYPICAL AUGUST DIURNAL
PATTERN...WITH SHOWERS AND STORMS CONCENTRATED IN THE PEAK
AFTERNOON WARMTH.
LIGHT FLOW IN THE PENINSULA SHOULD LEAD TO SEA BREEZE CONVECTION
DRIFTING INLAND EACH AFTERNOON. USED A COMPROMISE OF THE 00Z-12Z
GFS/ECMWF FOR THE QPF IN THIS REGION. 

...NORTHEAST...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH MODERATE TO BRIEFLY HEAVY RAINFALL
ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND EASTERN NY MONDAY
EVENING. THE 15Z SREF MEAN SHOWS CAPES 1000-1500 J/KG WHILE THE
GFS ADVERTISES 850 HPA FLOW OF 30-40 KTS STREAMING ACROSS THE
REGION. THE PROGRESSION OF THE COLD FRONT ALLOWS SHOWERS AND
STORMS TO STEADILY MOVE EAST...MOVING OFF THE COAST TUE MORNING. 
AFTER THIS OCCURS...CYCLONIC FLOW ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES INTO THE
NY ADIRONDACKS AND VT GREEN MOUNTAIN BRING SHOWERS TUE AFTERNOON
AND NIGHT AND POCKETS AND LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND LIFT OCCUR
WHERE 700 MB RELATIVE HUMIDITY REMAINS ABOVE 70 PERCENT.  MANUAL
PROGS USED A GFS/UKMET/ECMWF/NAM MODEL CONSENSUS...ALONG WITH
CONTINUITY.

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

BURKE/TERRY/PETERSEN

24HR QP VT 04/00Z
 0.01 549159 548153 545147 544144 539142 536139 534131 533125
      531121 526112 522109 520112 518119 515121 510122 507119
      503119 500123 498133 498141 501147 506154 521166 525176
      522189 521197 521202 523205 529205 532201 534194 536188
      539186 541181 542171 547164 549159
 0.01 519702 518694 516687 515680 513675 500653 497650 492649
      484651 477657 470665 463673 458680 450690 444698 437707
      430716 422732 418742 413749 404758 401763 399769 388784
      382791 377798 373810 372820 373827 379829 382833 386839
      385841 383846 376853 371860 373862 375865 375868 376873
      380877 383879 384883 382886 379889 378892 378897 385904
      385911 386917 389928 397947 403956 404962 403966 404001
      414020 419040 422044 426046 430039 431029 432022 432015
      431006 427997 424987 421982 419978 414968 416954 418942
      421926 424912 429903 436896 441889 446880 450872 453874
      456872 461876 463876 463873 462853 461846 462838 466829
      476811 483803 487795 490789 493782 495776 497770 499759
      500753 500745 506737 512729 515725 518716 519702
 0.01 483211 470210 465211 459209 456206 455203 456202 460197
      462193 464188 463178 464167 467163 472166 478165 481165
      482163 484155 479152 475151 473148 471145 472141 485143
      487143 489139 487136 483135 471127 465116 463110 461104
      452076 450069 447065 445064 440060 437061 433061 430058
      425057 422055 417050 413044 405041 401037 395032 381013
      377010 370007 366005 362999 354988 351987 346986 342986
      339989 335993 331995 327999 323005 320011 318017 315021
      313024 313028 312037 314046 313062 317078 314084 311077
      262062 255060 251061 249063 248071 250075 254081 259086
      272094 298099 304102 305105 304107 307112 311116 314117
      316120 319126 321128 322127 324120 323111 324108 328105
      330104 335105 343108 345113 347119 352122 354122 354118
      355113 354111 351106 347101 347094 346078 346074 349073
      353074 354077 352095 356096 358098 361105 363112 368112
      371112 373114 372122 369127 371133 381140 380171 381179
      385185 390192 387191 384188 380188 378189 379192 382196
      388199 404219 405222 403224 404233 406239 410242 413243
      417243 423239 429236 434233 454227 459226 465223 475217
      483211
 0.01 451178 450171 450165 442157 436149 435136 437130 438126
      435125 432130 430135 425146 426152 425160 426167 427172
      429179 432183 437186 442188 445187 446184 448180 451178
 0.01 445043 445041 445038 445036 443035 442033 440033 438034
      436035 436038 436040 438041 439043 439044 441044 443043
      445043 445043
 0.01 400683 398677 396675 389677 386678 386676 376677 367679
      359682 354689 350695 332727 328733 322741 314752 309758
      305765 298772 292774 287774 282775 276774 268775 253781
      246784 241789 238800 243808 252821 258834 262844 263854
      264868 265881 266905 268921 269927 267931 265939 263951
      262955 263960 274966 277966 280963 285958 287954 290950
      294945 294931 296919 297909 297898 298889 300880 303871
      305863 307850 309841 312833 318826 328816 340806 344798
      351790 354784 357777 364760 379726 394697 400683
 0.01 308041 308040 306038 304038 302038 302040 304042 306043
      306042 308041 308041
 0.25 508706 506690 500674 497666 493662 488665 485669 477679
      472685 465690 460699 453710 449715 445720 436730 431741
      428748 424753 420757 419764 421768 423767 425765 428765
      429773 428781 421789 415801 412807 410817 410825 408830
      402843 397855 394862 391860 387860 387868 391872 396875
      398881 408880 413885 417891 420893 424889 429886 433880
      438868 445855 450842 451836 452828 453818 454812 456802
      459795 463781 465775 468770 476762 481757 484749 489738
      495726 499721 506717 508711 508706
 0.25 452139 451138 450137 448136 446137 446138 446139 447140
      447142 449142 450141 451140 452139
 0.25 435218 436216 436213 436211 434209 432209 431207 429205
      428204 426203 426205 426206 426208 427211 427212 427213
      428216 429218 431219 433218 435218 435218
 0.25 447109 446097 440098 439103 438103 432095 429093 427093
      426096 433102 432105 429104 422104 416102 414098 417095
      417092 413088 410090 407089 405086 406080 410073 406065
      406057 404054 397048 384047 381043 376043 372031 368023
      363021 360020 356023 356030 359035 363038 368046 372053
      379058 381060 381064 377064 368061 366063 368067 381098
      385094 388093 391096 393098 393102 392110 391113 392116
      399115 405119 408120 409118 413115 423118 428119 432118
      436117 440113 446111 447109
 0.25 425015 425008 425004 424999 422994 419989 415988 413991
      413998 414003 415008 417013 418017 421022 423022 425018
      425015
 0.25 417769 418766 417764 416764 415766 415767 414769 416771
      417769 417769
 0.25 411178 411171 409168 406166 401163 398161 395159 393161
      394166 395170 398175 401178 404180 409180 411178
 0.25 413926 413921 412918 410915 408914 407915 405919 405924
      405926 405929 407933 409931 411929 413926
 0.25 404801 404799 403797 402797 400796 399797 398798 397799
      396800 396803 396805 398807 399807 400807 401805 402804
      403803 404801
 0.25 371722 371718 369715 365714 358717 352721 347724 343728
      336735 328743 322754 312775 306784 302788 299791 295792
      289791 285790 282791 275797 272799 268799 261799 255802
      252804 252808 254812 261813 266813 270815 267821 267826
      269843 272855 277865 279867 280871 280879 281898 280913
      284916 287916 289909 290904 292887 293874 293866 296861
      299857 301851 303836 304829 305825 311820 316819 326812
      335804 343796 349787 353776 357763 361751 366741 370730
      371722
 0.25 353027 353022 353018 350013 345010 342010 340011 334014
      335023 332028 328029 332031 335030 341028 348029 353027
 0.25 335058 334056 333056 332055 330055 329055 327055 327057
      328058 330058 332058 334058 335058
 0.25 295088 293081 290079 287078 278076 271073 263072 260072
      258075 257078 259080 265084 270089 278092 287092 294090
      295088
 0.50 500708 499700 494692 490693 488697 484705 481716 477724
      472731 465729 460730 457733 454742 452754 448763 450768
      454771 456773 458771 460768 464759 469753 476747 482741
      489721 494714 500708
 0.50 494673 494671 493671 492669 490670 489671 487672 485674
      484675 483677 481680 483682 484682 485681 486680 488678
      489678 491678 493677 493676 494675 494673
 0.50 459719 457717 454719 451723 445732 442737 439740 433748
      426756 426758 430758 431764 433768 436763 441755 443748
      446744 452735 456726 459719
 0.50 453799 454791 452787 450785 447785 443787 438788 434792
      428798 422806 416811 414816 416821 420823 422822 425822
      430817 431824 430828 427840 423849 419859 417863 416867
      417870 421872 424871 431864 438858 443851 447840 449828
      451814 453804 453799
 0.50 436114 438112 437110 437109 435109 434109 433110 432111
      431113 433115 434116 436114 436114
 0.50 431113 429109 426107 419107 412106 409098 406099 404102
      403105 399106 403111 406115 408112 410110 412108 414110
      421114 427116 431113
 0.50 423011 423008 423006 422003 422002 421001 420999 419997
      418999 417001 417003 418006 418007 419008 420010 422012
      423011
 0.50 400097 400095 399094 398093 396092 395094 396095 397096
      397097 399098 400097
 0.50 401072 401069 399069 396069 394067 391068 390070 390075
      390077 393078 394075 396073 397074 400074 401072
 0.50 380094 381092 381090 380088 379090 379092 379094 380095
      380094
 0.50 383051 383050 382049 381048 379048 379049 379051 381053
      383053 383051
 0.50 380078 380076 380074 379074 378073 376071 375069 375066
      373065 371064 370066 371067 373068 374071 374073 374075
      374076 374078 375080 375081 377081 379080 380078
 0.50 362729 360725 355725 351727 348729 341737 336745 326761
      318778 313787 310795 309801 310809 312813 315816 324811
      331805 337798 342791 347783 351773 356753 362733 362729
 0.50 371043 370041 371038 371036 370032 369030 366027 364026
      361027 360029 361032 363034 365036 367038 369041 371043
      371043
 0.50 349018 349015 347015 345016 344017 345018 347018 349018
      349018
 0.50 300819 300811 296809 291807 288810 285813 281815 274822
      271828 271832 272838 274842 280850 285853 291852 295849
      297845 299834 298826 299820 300819
 0.50 289087 288083 285080 279079 274078 270077 265076 268081
      270083 274085 278088 282089 287089 289087
 0.50 289891 289885 289879 288874 285872 284877 284883 284889
      284896 285902 286906 288902 288897 289893 289891
 0.50 277809 276805 272802 268801 263801 257803 254805 254809
      258809 262808 267807 271808 276809 277809
 1.00 446834 446829 445824 444820 441822 440825 439827 438832
      438835 438839 439843 441845 442844 444840 445836 446834
 1.00 408107 408105 407104 407105 406107 407109 408107
 1.00 351747 351742 348739 344741 342743 336754 329766 325779
      323786 321792 318799 316806 317808 320809 326806 331802
      334798 341786 346774 349758 351747
 1.00 296819 296815 293814 288817 283820 278823 274828 274834
      277840 281842 288842 292841 294839 294832 294826 296819
 1.00 283084 281083 280084 281085 282085 283084
 1.50 339773 339767 338764 335762 334765 332774 332776 334778
      334781 329787 326792 322799 320803 324805 329800 334795
      337789 338784 338782 339774 339773
 1.50 294820 294817 292818 288820 284821 280823 276826 275830
      277835 279838 284837 288835 291833 292828 293824 294820
 2.00 335789 333788 331789 330789 330790 328792 328793 327794
      326795 326797 325798 324799 324801 325802 326801 327800
      329799 329798 330797 331796 332795 333793 334791 335789
      335789
 2.00 291828 292824 290821 289823 285823 283823 281824 278825
      276828 276830 277832 279834 280836 284836 286834 288833
      290831 291828
 3.00 285831 285829 284828 282829 281829 281831 282832 284832
      285831 

24HR QP VT 05/00Z
 0.01 511295 509291 507285 506279 507274 508267 509259 511256
      515255 519254 522251 524246 525241 529239 530239 532235
      530227 527224 525227 522227 522223 523219 523215 519207
      517201 514199 507198 497196 488193 486188 484184 467175
      461174 458177 455181 451186 449190 446192 446198 446206
      446215 445221 443224 438227 432229 425232 423233 421235
      420240 415239 412235 408231 409225 411221 416215 419210
      420204 416194 414189 414184 413170 413165 411159 408154
      407149 413134 419130 423131 425133 423128 421124 416116
      412110 407103 400096 394094 391089 387081 380075 374071
      370068 368064 365054 362046 358040 355039 350039 344041
      336041 331040 328038 326036 324031 325025 326020 328016
      327012 328997 329990 330983 335977 339967 347953 349948
      352946 359942 362923 366907 367902 367896 367885 365878
      364873 363859 362845 361842 360835 357825 357819 359815
      362792 380789 382782 376780 372779 369777 365771 357775
      350781 344786 339793 328809 322816 319820 317825 315830
      316838 316850 317860 314869 312881 311884 309890 311899
      314922 315933 314943 309949 305952 302952 294954 290952
      287948 283952 281948 280934 280921 277912 273907 271904
      270899 272885 273881 273875 270864 266857 265854 264849
      266840 264837 260834 255832 252828 246823 239827 234834
      230842 226843 224839 225836 225832 227829 225824 223816
      223806 222797 223793 227793 240787 247778 250779 253781
      255788 260788 269787 273786 276784 279780 284774 287772
      291772 296769 301764 306758 309752 314745 318737 322730
      327724 332717 337711 341705 344701 348699 364685 378672
      384665 393658
 0.01 393658 397656 400656 411654 420654 430650 436646 441646
      446644 457642 460642 465640 471635 480629 487628 497625
      502622 519668 520675 519680 520696 525731 525739 523747
      520760 514788 516816 515820 516822 520826 525828 527831
      530833 533838 534845 534850 532854 525855 523855 520853
      515852 512856 509856 505850 503844 502837 498822 495826
      492830 484839 475835 472835 470833 469833 467829 466824
      465820 461809 459795 458786 457781 455777 452777 449778
      446780 446793 446797 448799 448808 447816 449819 450824
      453832 454838 456842 458845 458849 458853 457868 455873
      454875 451877 449877 447870 441858 437844 430825 428819
      427812 423801 421794 417788 409794 404803 398814 391831
      388843 388848 388856 392870 394883 399893 405903 413920
      421941 426952 431964 436975 441985 446992 450000 461018
      473037 488052 494058 500063 504066 507068 511072 517074
      535082 539085 542090 549101 553108 558117
 0.01 523232 522232 520234 518236 519236 521234 523232 523232
 0.01 519225 517225 516224 514224 513223 511225 509227 509230
      508231 509233 509235 510233 510230 511228 512226 513226
      514224 516224 517225 519225 519225
 0.01 475885 473882 471883 469880 468883 470885 468883 466885
      468888 466890 468893 470893 471890 473887 475885
 0.01 468898 470895 468893 466893 465895 467898 468898 468898
 0.01 426139 427137 426134 424136 423138 425140 426139
 0.01 332060 332055 330055 329053 325052 321052 320052 318054
      317058 319061 321063 323063 326064 328062 330062 332060
 0.01 316050 317046 315045 311044 310041 308032 306030 303030
      300033 298040 296049 296052 300053 303055 301057 297061
      281059 274058 267056 252052 245051 237050 228050 230056
      231062 234067 243077 261093 270101 275104 282108 287110
      293110 297109 300108 303102 304094 305089 308088 311081
      312071 312064 311058 316050
 0.01 305053 305052 303053 302053 303053 305053 305053
 0.01 258010 258006 257004 256002 255000 251000 249000 247002
      247006 247010 247012 249016 250016 252018 254017 256016
      257012 258010
 0.25 554138 551131 545123 539120 530117 526117 523119 518125
      513129 505132 492139 488138 485141 487154 487157 487160
      485161 491170 495174 499175 503173 507169 511167 516168
      522172 529178 534184 540186 544189
 0.25 512668 508645 508637 504634 502634 498638 487652 484651
      480646 475654 470658 466659 462658 460654 458651 455652
      451654 449658 446666 445678 441689 437695 434698 430700
      423706 416713 414717 412723 410730 411743 409747 408754
      411764 414765 417763 424767 431773 434769 436764 441759
      447753 453743 457736 462730 468723 475715 480708 505682
      509676 512668
 0.25 486164 485162 484161 483161 482160 480160 480162 481164
      483164 485164 486164
 0.25 467142 468137 467133 466126 461111 457093 456086 457081
      465079 468077 467072 468068 472062 472055 470052 465046
      460042 455037 450029 439002 433984 427968 421956 416942
      412935 407926 403920 401910 396900 387888 383884 382888
      383893 388911 391925 388931 384936 379941 373948 368953
      365961 358970 355976 352984 352990 352996 353006 356015
      359021 363025 368029 374031 380028 384026 388026 391028
      392032 406039 414048 423059 426065 429075 429081 428084
      426087 424093 423100 424108 428113 434118 440123 445128
      453144 456147 459148 465145 467142
 0.25 399693 399688 397684 394682 390683 383688 376694 371698
      367705 361712 355718 344728 333740 324751 320759 314766
      311771 307778 303786 299793 297796 297800 298806 300809
      306809 313805 325795 338786 343781 348774 353767 359761
      369750 380739 389725 396709 398701 399693
 0.25 396798 395793 392796 390799 387804 385807 383811 381816
      381819 383822 386818 388815 390810 392806 394803 396798
 0.25 382859 382850 382841 380832 379830 376829 374830 373835
      373842 373851 374860 375866 378873 381875 382871 381866
      382859
 0.25 305924 305920 304916 304914 303909 302907 300905 298905
      297910 298914 298918 298922 299926 299928 301932 303933
      304931 304926 305924
 0.25 297088 299081 298073 293070 286069 271067 260063 246061
      243062 244065 246070 248075 254079 262085 271091 281097
      292094 297088
 0.25 297815 296813 291813 286817 281822 276827 275834 274839
      275844 278846 281846 287843 295841 297838 298834 298829
      296824 295821 297817 297815
 0.25 277811 275807 272806 267804 263804 259805 256807 256812
      259815 263818 266819 270818 274816 277811 277811
 0.50 552154 551152 550151 550150 548148 547146 545145 544146
      542146 542147 541149 541151 541152 542154 542157 542158
      543160 544162 544163 545166 545169 546172 545174 545177
      545178 547180
 0.50 484682 483676 480674 475674 472675 464680 457687 446701
      441708 434715 428720 425724 424729 426735 428739 432747
      435749 439748 446740 456726 467712 478696 481690 484682
 0.50 447111 447109 446106 444104 443103 442103 441102 439101
      437102 436105 437107 438110 440111 442113 443113 444113
      445113 447111 447111
 0.50 447043 445037 443034 444029 443025 441020 437012 432998
      430987 426978 419965 411949 408944 405942 402944 400947
      397950 394948 389948 383950 377954 373962 368969 364973
      361981 358991 358996 359000 362006 367012 375015 383015
      401990 403986 404987 408994 418008 428016 433023 437031
      437037 439042 444045 447043
 0.50 387707 386699 384698 380699 371709 353725 345734 337745
      324764 319774 311786 309790 308795 320789 331787 336784
      341779 355759 362751 369740 375729 383718 385712 387707
 0.50 290085 291081 290077 285075 280074 273072 265070 262070
      261073 265077 270081 274083 281086 286087 290085
 0.50 292835 292830 291828 289825 287823 285825 283827 281829
      279832 278834 278838 279840 283841 286840 288839 291837
      292835
 1.00 378997 380995 380992 378990 377988 376987 375985 373986
      371987 370987 369988 368990 367991 367992 367993 368994
      369996 370996 371997 373998 374999 376998 378997 378997
 1.00 361733 360729 355731 349739 343748 338755 332764 331768
      333772 337774 342770 347763 353753 358745 360740 361734
      361733
 1.50 346756 346755 344756 344757 344759 346757 346756 

24HR QP VT 06/00Z
 0.01 541204 533201 529194 528189 529184 533176 535173 535168
      528162 521158 517157 513160 505170 503176 501179 497187
      495189 492189 486187 483189 483182 484175 487172 488169
      491165 494157 494147 493142 494137 497126 495121 489119
      482118 479114 478113 476114 474123 471130 468138 466153
      463161 458167 453174 455176 458176 459182 453188 451190
      446191 443196 438206 433215 432219 429221 426223 422221
      420218 419214 422197 426192 423188 420187 417192 413193
      411192 410187 410166 411156 413151 413145 413136 415132
      416125 417121 418114 419098 420093 420087 419083 416078
      413073 408068 405065 405062 404050 404044 403042 410038
      414038 416035 417034 414031 407026 402021 386016 381011
      374006 369006 365007 361007 358003 350992 348982 344978
      343975 342970 341961 339950 339936 339926 338923 336922
      331922 328920 323920 319920 314922 306936 304940 301943
      298944 292944 288943 286942 286936 284933 280926 277920
      276909 277901 279892 280881 281871 280860 278838 278833
      276830 269825 255817 252815 249816 246823 241828 237829
      233828 228824 226817 227814 229813 233814 235814 240817
      243815 244811 249796 251788 251783 249780 247776 251774
      256774 260776 262778 266777 269779 273778 281779 287784
      293788 298793 301795 304793 306789 308784 322758 331744
      336736 341730 345724 349719 358709 363702 364699 367696
      373690 377682 383676 389671 396667 403661 431645 436639
      442634 445631 449629 458627 472627 480624 483621 487619
      490618 494620 497623 500623 501621 521673 515685 522696
      527711 528721 528727 527729 526736 523742 522744 519746
      516751 514760 513767 509781 501790 492797 482799 478797
 0.01 478797 475798 472796 465796 459794 456793 452789 444776
      442774 442779 439782 436782 434780 430778 430772 429766
      431763 433753 434749 432745 430738 428728 433720 437715
      440709 442699 440693 438695 422720 414731 408735 404737
      401739 395743 392748 388750 387754 385763 382770 380773
      381778 386797 387802 389804 391814 396830 400849 403857
      407864 413879 419893 422901 425908 433923 451942 469964
      479974 481977 484978 490981 497984 504985 510988 516993
      526999 532005 537011 544023 552039 556053 558062 560073
      559089 559096 560101
 0.01 536220 535217 532216 527215 525217 524222 520228 518233
      517238 515243 511246 509251 506258 505268 505276 504281
      505284 506290 510297
 0.01 534851 532848 532846 532843 530841 529841 527844 527846
      529849 531851 532854 534851
 0.01 489320 488317 487314 485313 484312 482311 481311 480313
      480316 479318 481319 482320 484320 486321 487322 489320
      489320
 0.01 420233 420231 420230 421228 419226 418223 416222 414224
      414226 413229 413231 415232 416234 418235 420235 420233
 0.01 414212 415210 415208 415205 414205 412204 410206 409209
      411211 411212 412212 414212 414212
 0.01 351833 351829 349824 347818 342807 341803 340801 339793
      340790 340786 340782 338780 336782 330792 327796 323799
      316801 313803 315806 319810 321814 325818 327820 328824
      330831 330839 336843 343842 351833
 0.01 309096 308083 304070 297062 290053 283045 275038 270035
      262035 251038 241042 232047 228051 227059 229064 234067
      241075 248085 261102 268110 272114 278115 285116 291115
      299109 305102 309096
 0.01 240779 240777 238775 236775 234775 232776 231778 232780
      233782 235783 237782 239781 240779 240779
 0.25 556131 554127 553119 553111 552104 549090 547084 545079
      540070 533062 518051 508047 504045 500042 496040 495038
      498038 503041 509040 512039 516043 518046 520048 523047
      523040 523033 521027 517024 512022 507022 502013 495005
      486000 481998 475997 466994 460988 457984 455979 452966
      450962 447957 441949 433941 425935 419928 414919 410909
      404886 396862 387843 383833 380827 376824 373824 369828
      368833 367839 367853 365867 360878 356886 351895 350900
      350908 354918 357928 361941 362956 365965 369975 375983
      379986 384988 394992 402996 410003 418010 423016 430023
      441041 452059 461064 471069 479069 484067 488064 491059
      495062 502070 508076 515084 522091 526092 530094 534098
      536103 537109 537117 536134 536143 537149 542162 548171
 0.25 478681 478678 477677 476677 476676 474677 474680 476682
      478681 478681
 0.25 481734 481733 480731 479731 477730 476730 475728 474730
      473730 473733 473735 473738 473740 474743 475744 477744
      479743 480741 481739 481736 481734 481734
 0.25 472660 472655 469653 463651 458650 452647 447651 440655
      428663 414668 408672 403675 392685 383694 378698 374699
      370704 369712 369716 371719 374722 376722 381718 388716
      394713 400708 409698 417688 427679 438670 444667 447668
      446671 449678 453677 455675 458668 459666 464665 469664
      472660
 0.25 460133 457128 454124 449124 446125 445128 442135 440142
      439151 441157 447157 451153 454149 458143 460136 460133
 0.25 307892 308889 307885 305880 298874 295872 292875 289880
      287885 286896 287908 290920 292925 295924 299924 301920
      303915 303907 303900 303897 306895 307892
 0.25 302823 301821 299818 297815 295814 293813 290813 287814
      285817 284819 285821 287823 291824 293824 296825 300825
      302823
 0.25 296094 298088 297083 296078 293075 284072 280071 275069
      266066 257065 254067 255071 260078 266084 273089 280092
      291095 296094
 0.25 298832 297831 295831 293832 291833 290835 289837 290838
      291839 292840 294840 295840 297838 298836 298834 298832
      298832
 0.25 271806 270804 268802 265801 261801 257802 256804 255808
      256810 258813 260814 264814 266812 268810 270808 271806
 0.50 553149 554141 553135 551129 550124 549120 545120 543127
      542133 541138 541143 543148 546152 549155 550157
 0.50 472051 469023 465012 461001 457991 453986 451980 447969
      445964 442959 435952 431950 424949 416945 414942 411935
      404912 401899 397888 393877 389866 386861 382860 378862
      375867 371877 369883 368890 366901 361912 364925 367937
      370947 373958 378969 381974 384977 388979 394980 400981
      406982 413988 420997 430014 437021 446028 453034 455039
      457044 461049 466052 470053 472051
 0.50 408686 405685 403685 402687 399688 397691 395693 394696
      394697 396698 398698 401695 402693 404691 406689 408686
 0.50 382857 381855 380855 380852 379850 379852 379855 380855
      381857 382858 382857
 0.50 283086 282086 282084 281083 279082 277081 276079 274079
      272077 271077 270077 270079 270081 271083 272083 273084
      275086 277086 279086 280087 282087 283086
 1.00 400956 402948 400940 399926 397913 392904 388901 385904
      382910 380916 377926 377932 379936 382949 383955 386959
      390962 395961 400956
 1.50 393949 393947 393945 393944 392943 391940 391939 390938
      389937 389938 388940 388943 388945 388947 389949 389950
      391951 393950 393949 





Last Updated: 625 PM EDT SUN AUG 02 2015