THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD


QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION


[Abbreviations and acronyms used in this product]
Geographic boundaries:    Map 1- [Color] [B/W Print Version]      Map 2 - [Color] [B/W Print Version]



QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
434 AM EDT SAT NOV 01 2014


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID NOV 01/1200 UTC THRU NOV 04/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1...

...WESTERN STATES...

THE TREND OF SPLITTING THE H5 TROF AS IT COMES INTO THE WEST COAST
CONTINUES THIS MODEL RUN..WITH THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE TROF
PUSHING WEAKLY INTO SOUTHWESTERN CANADA WHILE THE MUCH STRONGER
SOUTHERN PART OF THE TROF SWINGS INTO CA AND NV BY SATURDAY
MORNING AND THEN LIFTS NORTHEASTWARD THRU THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
GREAT BASIN AND INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES BY SUNDAY MORNING. 
SIGNIFICANT HEIGHT FALLS ALONG WITH INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE UPPER
DIVERGENCE IN A BROAD AREA OF SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL PWS WILL
SUPPORT A LARGE AREA OF MODERATE TO ISOLATED HEAVIER PRECIPITATION
FROM THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN GREAT BASIN INTO THE NORTHERN
ROCKIES.  THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION TOTALS ARE LIKELY IN THE
EXPECTED COMMA HEAD/DEFORMATION BAND FROM NORTHWESTERN NV
NORTHEASTWARD INTO WESTERN MT..WITH THE HIGHER RESOLUTION QPFS
PREFERRED HERE.


...EASTERN STATES...

THE HIGHLY AMPLIFIED PATTERN WITH A STRONG WESTERN U.S. H5
TROF..STRONG CENTRAL U.S. H5 RIDGING AND STRONG DOWNSTREAM H5 TROF
MOVING THRU AND OFF THE EAST COAST WILL LEAD TO A WET PERIOD FROM
THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS NORTHEASTWARD INTO NEW ENGLAND THIS
PERIOD.  THRU AT LEAST THIS PERIOD..THE HIGHLY AMPLIFIED EASTERN
U.S. H5 TROF IS COMPRISED OF A VERY STRONG CLOSED H5 LOW WHICH
WILL SWING THRU SC EARLY TODAY AND BE OFF THE NC COAST BY
EVENING..BEFORE TURNING MORE NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC SATURDAY NIGHT.  PRECEDING THIS SYSTEM IS A WEAKER BUT
DEFINEABLE S/WV NOW JUST OFF THE DELMARVA COASTS..WITH THIS S/WV
FORECAST TO LIFT GENERALLY NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD INTO EASTERN NEW
ENGLAND INTO THE LATER SATURDAY NIGHT HOURS.  VERY STRONG
FORCING/LIFT WITH THE SC/NC CLOSED H5 LOW WILL SUPPORT AN AXIS OF
MORE ORGANIZED RAINS FROM CENTRAL SC/NC EASTWARD TO THE NC AND
NORTHERN SC COASTS..WITH A VERY NARROW BAND OF HEAVIER SNOWS
PERSISTING IN THE UPSLOPE FLOW REGIME BACK IN WESTERN NC/EXTREME
EASTERN TN BEHIND THE H5 CLOSED LOW.  AS FOR THE WEAKER DELMARVA
H5 S/WV..A WEAK AREA OF SURFACE LOW PRESSURE ACOMPANYING IT WITH
SOME ATLANTIC INFLOW OF DEEPER MOISTURE WRAPPING BACK AROUND THIS
LOW WILL LEAD TO ENHANCED PRECIPITATION FROM NJ NORTHEASTWARD INTO
NEW ENGLAND..WITH RAINS EXPECTED UP INTO SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND
AND INCREASING SNOWS FARTHER INLAND FROM VT INTO ME.  THE NAM AND
TO A LESSER EXTENT THE GFS QPFS WERE A BIT TOO FAR WEST/TOO WET
INLAND..SO MANUAL QPF STUCK CLOSE TO THE IN-HOUSE PSEUDO BIAS
CORRECTED QPF AND THE UKMET HIRES QPF..BOTH OF WHICH SPLIT THE
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE NAM/GFS WESTERN OUTLIERS AND THE ECMWF
HIRES QPF WHICH WAS SOMEWHAT OF AN EASTERN OUTLIER.  PLEASE SEE
THE WINTER WEATHER GRAPHICS/QPFHSD FOR THE SNOWFALL DETAILS.


DAYS 2-3...



...NEW ENGLAND...

DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NEAR THE BENCHMARK OFF
THE NEW ENGLAND COAST EARLY ON DAY 2...CROSSING NOVA SCOTIA DURING
THE SECOND HALF OF THE PERIOD. THE 00Z ECMWF STILL APPEARS TO BE
JUST A BIT TOO FAR EAST WITH THE TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW...WITH
THE 00Z NAM TOO FAR WEST. THE 00Z GFS HAS HAD THE BEST CONSISTENCY
WITH THIS SYSTEM FOR THE PAST FEW CYCLES...AND THE 00Z UKMET IS
CLOSE TO THE 00Z GFS SOLUTION. WITH THIS IN MIND...THE WPC QPF WAS
BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z GFS/UKMET.

SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING ON A LOW LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE
STRETCHED FROM OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST TO JUST EAST OF THE
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST WILL DEEPEN AHEAD OF A
STRONG SHORT WAVE RIDING NORTH ON THE EASTERN EDGE OF A LONG WAVE
TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THE SHORT WAVE SHOULD CLOSE
OFF OVER ME CLOSE TO 02/18Z...AND THE BEST MID LEVEL FRONTOGENETIC
FORCING SHOULD EXTEND ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN ME DURING THIS
TIME. AS THE CLOSED LOW TRACKS INTO NEW BRUNSWICK DURING THE
SECOND HALF OF THE PERIOD...THE BEST LIFT SHOULD FOLLOW. THE
STEADIEST PRECIPITATION SHOULD END BETWEEN 03/06 AND 03/12Z ACROSS
NORTHERN ME.

ALONG THE LINE OF BEST DEFORMATION...AN AXIS OF 0.75 TO 1.50
INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED ACROSS DOWNEAST ME...WITH THE 0.50 INCH
QPF CONTOUR STRETCHING BACK INTO SOUTHWEST ME. THE QPF AMOUNTS IN
THE AXIS ARE LESS THAN THE 00Z GFS...AND WERE TEMPERED BY THE 00Z
UKMET SOLUTION...WHICH TOOK THE BEST MID LEVEL LIFT FURTHER EAST
INTO EASTERN AND DOWNEAST ME. SNOW IS EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF
EASTERN AND POSSIBLY CENTRAL ME WITH THIS SYSTEM. PLEASE REFER TO
THE LATEST SUITE OF WINTER WEATHER PRODUCTS FOR MORE INFORMATION.


...GREAT LAKES/MIDWEST INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...

MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY IN A DEEP MID LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL
PRODUCE QPF ALONG AND AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL STRETCH FROM
THE GREAT LAKES AND MIDWEST INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS BY THE END OF
DAY 3. FOR THE MOST PART...THERE WAS FAIRLY GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT
WITH RESPECT TO THE PLACEMENT OF THE SURFACE FRONT...AS WELL AS
SHORT WAVES IN THE SOUTHWEST FLOW...THOUGH THE 00Z NAM/GFS
SOLUTION MAY TO BE TOO FAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE
FRONT. BECAUSE OF THIS...THE WPC QPF WAS BASED MAINLY ON A BLEND
OF THE 00Z ECMWF/UKMET.

A SHORT WAVE EJECTING FROM THE SOUTHWEST STATES WILL RIDE THROUGH
THE MID LEVEL FLOW...REACHING THE GREAT LAKES AND UPPER MIDWEST
DURING THE SECOND HALF OF DAY 3. AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVE AND FRONT
THAT CROSSES THE REGION...A 35 TO 45 KNOT LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW
TRANSPORTS PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BETWEEN 1.00 AND 1.25 INCHES
(WHICH IS ABOUT TWO STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL) FROM MO INTO
MI. MODEL SOUNDINGS ACROSS THE MIDWEST AND GREAT LAKES SHOWED
MINIMAL SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY...BUT INDICATED SOME ELEVATED
INSTABILITY FROM NORTHER MO INTO SOUTHERN WI. ALONG THIS AXIS...A
STRIPE OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED.

FURTHER SOUTHWEST...A SECOND SHORT WAVE IN THE FLOW WILL AFFECT
THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS. THE FRONT BECOMES MORE PARALLEL
TO THE MID LEVEL FLOW HERE...AND AS A CONSEQUENCE THE FRONT SHOULD
BE MOVING MORE SLOWLY. A 35 TO 45 KNOT LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW
PUMPS PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES UP BETWEEN 1.25 AND 1.50 INCHES
(WHICH IS ALSO ABOUT TWO STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL) ACROSS
NORTHEAST TX INTO SOUTHEAST OK AND NORTHWEST AR. MODEL SOUNDINGS
ACROSS TX...OK INTO WESTERN MO SHOWED MARGINAL INSTABILITY...BUT
STEEPENING MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES SHOULD SUPPORT AT LEAST SCATTERED
CONVECTION AHEAD OF THE FRONT. GIVEN THE DEEP MOISTURE SOURCE AND
POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTION...A LARGE AREA OF 0.75 TO 1.25 INCHES OF
QPF WAS STRETCHED FROM NORTH TX THROUGH CENTRAL OK INTO SOUTHEAST
KS. THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES ARE GENERALLY BETWEEN 2
AND 3 INCHES...SO WHILE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS
POSSIBLE...ORGANIZED FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.


...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN ROCKIES/SOUTHWEST...

DEEP MOISTURE FROM ACROSS MEXICO WILL RIDE NORTHEAST AHEAD OF A
SURFACE LOW AND COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE CENTRAL ROCKIES INTO
THE SOUTHWEST STATES ON DAY 2. THE MOISTURE AND IN SITU
INSTABILITY SHOULD FUEL SCATTERED CONVECTION ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST
STATES...WHILE LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND UPSLOPE SHOULD FEED MORE
STRATIFORM PRECIPITATION PROCESSES ACROSS THE ROCKIES OF CO. FOR
THE MOST PART...THERE WAS DECENT MODEL AGREEMENT WITH THE
PROGRESSION OF EVENTS ON DAY 2...BUT MUCH OF THE GUIDANCE APPEARS
TO BECOME TOO PROGRESSIVE WITH THE SOUTHERN STREAM SHORT WAVE THAT
AIDS IN CYCLOGENESIS OVER EASTERN CO LATER IN THE PERIOD. WITH
THIS IN MIND...THE WPC QPF WAS BASED PRIMARILY ON THE 00Z
ECMWF...WITH SOME 21Z SREF USED TO BETTER DELINEATE THE HIGHER
TERRAIN QPF MAXIMA.

A SHORT WAVE ROUNDING THE BOTTOM OF A POSITIVELY TILTED TROUGH
OVER THE WEST COAST STREAKS ACROSS THE AZ ON ITS WAY TO EASTERN CO
BY THE END OF DAY 2. THE SHORT WAVE...AND ITS DIVERGENCE...HELPS
TO INDUCE CYCLOGENESIS OVER EASTERN CO AFTER 03/00Z. AS THE
SURFACE LOW STARTS TO DEVELOP... WEAK UPSLOPE AND STRONG DYNAMIC
LIFT MAKE THE MOST OF THE AVAILABLE MOISTURE TO PRODUCE A LARGE
AREA OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF ACROSS EASTERN UT AND MUCH OF
WESTERN AND CENTRAL CO...WITH LOCAL 0.75 INCH AMOUNTS OVER THE
HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE CENTRAL CO ROCKIES. 

FURTHER SOUTH...PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES TOP OUT NEAR AN INCH IN
THE LOW LEVEL SOUTH SOUTHWEST FLOW ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN AZ
AND WESTERN NM. THE DEEPER MOISTURE COMBINES WITH MARGINAL
INSTABILITY (DUE LARGELY TO STEEPENING MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES) TO
PRODUCE AT LEAST SCATTERED CONVECTION ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN AND
EASTERN AZ...AS WELL AS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NM. IN THESE
LOCATIONS...LOCAL 0.10 TO 0.25 INCHES QPF AMOUNTS WERE
PLACED...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN.

SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF CO ON DAY 2.
PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST SUITE OF WINTER WEATHER PRODUCTS FOR
MORE INFORMATION.


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST/NORTHERN ROCKIES...

A CLOSED MID LEVEL SYSTEM PRODUCES QPF ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES
ON DAY 2...WHILE WEAK SHORT WAVES IN A QUASI ZONAL FLOW PRODUCE
QPF ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THE MID LEVEL FLOW INCREASES
ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST ON DAY 3...AS DEEPER MOISTURE WITH A
SOURCE NORTH OF HI IS TRANSPORTED INTO THE REGION. THE 00Z
ECMWF/UKMET COMBINATION SEEMS TO BEST CAPTURE THE SHORT WAVE
ENERGY AND DEEPER MOISTURE THAT AFFECTS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST...SO
THE WPC QPF HERE WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THESE TWO MODEL
SOLUTIONS. SOME 21Z SREF MEAN WAS USED TO BETTER DELINEATE HIGHER
TERRAIN QPF ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST...MAINLY ON DAY 3.

EARLY ON DAY 2...A CLOSED MID LEVEL SYSTEM CROSSING CENTRAL MT
OPENS UP AS IT TRACKS INTO NORTHWEST ND BY THE END OF THE PERIOD.
THE DYNAMIC LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID LEVEL SYSTEM...AS WELL AS
UPSLOPE FLOW BEHIND A SURFACE LOW...SHOULD RESULT IN AN AXIS OF
0.10 TO 0.25 INCHES OF QPF STRETCHING FROM THE GRAND TETONS IN
NORTHWEST WY ALONG THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT RANGE IN MT. THE LAST
REMNANT OF A MID LEVEL TROWAL CROSSING NORTHWEST MT EARLY COULD
RESULT IN A SMALL AREA OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF THERE.

FURTHER WEST...A SERIES OF SHORT WAVES IN A QUASI ZONAL FLOW
ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO INTERACT WITH MOISTURE
IN THE FLOW TO PRODUCE QPF ACROSS WESTERN WA AND NORTHWEST OR ON
DAY 2. A 15 TO 20 KNOT LOW LEVEL WESTERLY FLOW WILL HELP TRANSPORT
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BETWEEN 0.75 AND 1.00 INCHES TO THE WA
COAST BETWEEN 03/06Z AND 03/12Z. THE LOW LEVEL FLOW FOCUSES THE
MOISTURE IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN...AND A LARGE AREA OF 0.25 TO 0.50
INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN WA.

A STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW AHEAD OF A PACIFIC FRONT
WILL TRANSPORT PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES NEAR 1.25 INCHES (WHICH
IS BETWEEN TWO AND THREE STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL) TO THE
WA AND OR COAST DURING DAY 3. THE MOISTURE IN THE FLOW HAS ITS
SOURCE OVER THE PACIFIC NORTH OF HI...AND THE MOISTURE IS WRUNG
OUT BY THE HIGHER TERRAIN...MAINLY DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE
PERIOD. THE MID LEVEL FORCING IS NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG...SO
UPSLOPE OF THE DEEP MOISTURE SHOULD BE THE PRIMARY DRIVER OF QPF.
AS MIGHT BE EXPECTED...THE HIGHEST QPF (CLOSE TO 3 INCHES) IS
EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHWEST WA...AS THE TERRAIN INTERCEPTS THE MOIST
FLOW. ENOUGH MOISTURE REMAINS IN THE WESTERLY FLOW TO PRODUCE A
SWATH OF 1.50 TO 2.00 INCHES OF QPF ACROSS THE CASCADES OF WA.


TERRY/HAYES


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

24HR QP VT 02/12Z
 0.01 525256 521254 519251 515243 511238 503233 498234 495241
      493243 491242 489239 486239 483242 479246 473249 471254
      470258 471262 472267 465282 462285 461291 461295 462299
      465302 468304 476307 490307 497310 502315
 0.01 488613 498623 501628 504638 504647 505652 504656 503665
      501671 495684 487696 483700 478705 467712 454738 448749
      444757 441764 431790 426803 419816 411826 398830 386836
      372842 357845 354846 351848 347848 346845 347836 350829
      350825 347824 340824 336821 331815 327810 325803 321799
      318797 315796 308797 302793 299787 299782 297779 298771
      300766 299747 301740 304736 311726 320716 330708 339698
      342693 347687 355678 359673 365668 373658 384648
 0.01 530093 531082 529076 526073 523072 516071 511073 507076
      502079 497081 487084 479083 474085 467084 462084 459085
      449089 444090 437090 432089 430087 424083 421077 417073
      406072 405078 398080 395082 392080 388081 387084 384082
      382080 381076 384074 382072 379060 378055 376052 368052
      364056 360058 355057 351057 350058 348064 349066 352067
      359068 362074 364082 369086 372091 374095 371097 370101
      366104 359106 353107 345107 344112 347117 345120 338130
      340133 343134 346136 349135 355134 358135 358139 357142
      354146 351152 351157 353159 357163 363167 367173 366177
      364178 359179 353180 350183 347183 346175 344168 340164
      334161 327160 322158 318159 314165 314169 318175 321181
      325192 329197 332202 340212 349220 357229 362234 365239
      374246 380250 387250 393250 401252 411258 418259 424258
      436255 447254 453251 457247 460245 464241 464239 460237
      454236 450237 447235 446231 448228 458228 471233 479234
      483229 484224 487217 485209 477208 467209 455211 446213
      445209 449204 454201 465191 487179 497174 505168 510164
      515157 518151 520144 522136 524127 525119 526108 528099
      530093
 0.01 436216 435214 432214 429216 422219 410226 401223 395219
      389213 383208 375204 371203 367204 376216 378224 383231
      388236 397240 407242 416244 423243 425234 426228 427224
      433218 436216
 0.01 422766 421759 419752 416753 414755 409758 408761 407768
      409773 411777 416778 418775 417771 421768 422766
 0.01 381793 380789 378785 375781 372777 367780 366784 365789
      368791 372792 375796 378798 380796 381793
 0.01 324135 324132 324130 322129 321130 320131 318131 318132
      319134 319135 321135 323135 324135
 0.25 513292 512289 511286 510285 510283 510281 510278 511276
      511273 512271 513271 514269 515268 516268 517268 518267
      520267 522267
 0.25 461623 470630 474635 477640 480647 478655 475669 470683
      464693 456703 447712 437720 426727 416734 411739 408745
      402755 399761 394765 390765 387763 383759 380753 374752
      368754 363758 354766 353769 352775 352782 351790 352795
      354804 353808 352811 346815 343816 340815 338808 339800
      333789 326777 322774 317771 315768 314762 315755 318749
      321744 334724 341716 350706 360698 369689 391674 401667
      411659 429641 434637 438631
 0.25 513145 514137 513127 512113 509106 506104 495104 489102
      482101 472102 461104 456104 449103 429103 428111 429118
      431121 430125 428132 422142 418154 413157 408159 398157
      396155 394153 392146 389141 385139 379135 375134 372138
      371143 374148 380151 383155 382160 379166 378170 378173
      387180 392182 399185 401190 402197 401201 397204 395209
      398214 404216 410214 417207 426202 434196 437193 443192
      452191 462184 469177 484166 493161 503158 510153 513145
 0.25 417123 418120 417117 414114 412110 411105 408100 405100
      402103 399106 396110 396114 399116 402119 408120 412122
      416124 417123
 0.25 381806 382808 384809 385806 385805 383804 382804 381805
      381806
 0.25 372190 371188 369186 368185 366185 366184 364184 363184
      362184 361186 362188 363190 365191 367191 369192 370192
      372190
 0.25 372815 371813 368811 362814 359819 356826 354830 352837
      352842 356839 360834 363829 367824 370820 372815
 0.25 335169 334167 332166 330166 329165 327165 328168 330169
      332169 333169 335169
 0.50 504140 505130 505121 502119 499120 494121 487118 483115
      481114 477114 474118 474124 471130 466132 460133 455134
      452137 448141 443139 441137 440133 438130 436131 432135
      429140 426149 427153 428156 433167 444168 450170 450175
      448177 445184 449188 454186 458182 462178 463176 464171
      465167 468166 473164 478163 482160 491154 499148 502144
      504140
 0.50 469656 469652 468649 466648 464644 463640 462639 457639
      451642 447645 443648 440653 437658 433661 423666 412672
      404678 386691 373700 364708 354717 345726 340733 335742
      332750 331758 331769 336782 339789 343793 346792 348786
      351767 354762 357757 364750 373743 377740 384739 386743
      389749 393754 397751 403743 405736 408732 411728 416725
      424719 435713 443706 450698 457690 462680 466669 469662
      469656
 0.50 432186 431180 426176 421172 416172 410175 406177 402181
      405186 408191 413194 417196 420195 424191 428188 432186
 0.50 359831 363824 362821 361822 359826 356831 357832 359831
 1.00 345768 350758 361747 375735 384724 390716 396714 407713
      413713 418713 424709 428706 432702 435697 437693 442686
      447682 445679 440677 422677 416681 411685 399696 387706
      381710 373713 350734 345740 342747 338754 337759 338764
      339769 341775 343784 345768
 1.50 375726 375721 372720 368725 364730 360734 356737 353742
      354746 356747 361744 366739 369736 373731 375726 

24HR QP VT 03/12Z
 0.01 502317 502318 500319 498321 496323 494324 493325 492326
      491329 490330 489333 488335 488337 488338 486339
 0.01 542195 539194 533197 530195 530191 527184 522181 516179
      510178 508180 507185 509201 510208 512218 513221 509222
      505217 501211 498206 492203 486203 475204 469206 464206
      453200 449202 450209 450213 447214 442216 435237 435242
      431246 426249 422255 416266 414269 413273 411283 412290
      413296 415303 417309 418312
 0.01 565052 557070 548089 539105 534114 530123 525134 520144
      516153 512155 507159 503160 500160 496161 491160 481159
      479163 476167 472168 470167 467164 465160 460151 457149
      455154 453156 450163 444162 441159 439155 438149 435144
      432143 430144 426153 423158 423162 418161 415163 410164
      408162 402160 398157 395156 393154 396149 398145 402144
      406141 409138 413129 404124 402120 401118 398118 378148
      374150 370153 364159 352157 348156 345152 343148 344141
      342130 339120 337117 334117 328116 325117 322109 310108
      302110 281108 259105 246095 243092 242087 240084 237084
      231083 228081 228076 234071 236067 239065 249062 261063
      270066 275066 280065 288063 295058 299049 309039 311043
      313045 315041 315034 315031 314028 314022 316018 320016
      323012 329005 336999 339997 343997 344001 344008 338016
      338021 335024 330032 327035 329038 336044 345041 353038
      356037 360034 364033 366039 366046 371048 379049 382053
      385054 387052 388047 393046 397037 408024 414017 418010
      423000 428993 431990 436990 436995 434999 430006 428017
      432020 433024 433030 431034 422055 420060 418068 417075
      420079 422082 421086 418090 417097 417101 418104 422106
      424105 424102 423098 422093 423088 431085 434087 439088
      444088 445087 453094 461097 474079 472074 472069 476059
      482052 485050 487047 499036 509021 513019 513022 515023
      515019 514017 511014 506006 505004 505997 505988 507985
      517986 545974 548976 549972 549966 549963 545952 538945
      532944 527947 520952 517955 513956 510960 507962 501967
      497970 492970 489969 487964 484955 482943 482935 484932
      486932 489929 493929 498926 504926 507923 512923 528917
      531915 536914 545917 549920 553927 558941
 0.01 558941 559944 560947 560949 561952 561955 563957 563958
      563960 564963 564966 566969 566971 566974 566977 566980
      567982 568982
 0.01 523678 515681 509685 493691 485694 481695 479698 472701
      464705 452713 445716 436718 429718 421719 406718 402723
      397730 392735 389737 385738 372746 368752 366755 362756
      355755 352754 348756 342759 338762 336765 334767 331768
      324771 317774 308776 304776 302774 300772 299767 290755
      286749 283742 285724 287718 288711
 0.01 461180 461178 459177 458177 456174 456172 455169 453169
      451171 451173 451175 451176 452178 452181 454181 455182
      457182 459180 461180 461180
 0.01 441134 441132 440130 438129 437130 435131 435133 435136
      436138 438136 439136 441134
 0.01 427765 425763 427765 427765
 0.01 393794 393791 389792 388794 386797 384797 383800 381802
      380805 381805 383804 387802 388799 390799 392796 393794
 0.01 392913 393906 390904 382900 378899 374896 369891 365889
      361890 362894 364899 367909 364918 366923 370925 378925
      382923 386922 391915 392913
 0.01 331175 329166 324160 321158 317159 314161 309162 305159
      300158 295157 292159 294162 299163 310165 313169 314174
      314180 321178 329175 331175
 0.01 292972 292966 290964 287960 285961 280960 279955 276953
      272954 273958 276962 279964 281968 283972 286973 292973
      292972
 0.01 263800 261800 259797 257795 255795 253796 251798 248800
      246802 244803 246805 248805 252804 254803 257802 261801
      263800
 0.01 239098 239097 237097 236099 237100 238099 239098 239098
 0.25 516656 510660 507664 503670 499676 494679 488683 477690
      468697 455704 450706 445707 431708 419707 413706 407703
      402701 396701 382706 376709 371713 369715 369720 367726
      360736 356741 352742 348741 343738 339733 329727 326722
      325714 326707 329700 337682 365662 367662 369662 370662
      372661 374661 376661 377660 379660 381659 383658 384657
      385657 386657 387655 389654 390653 391653 392651 394650
      395648 397647 397646 398644
 0.25 522263 518257 516252 513245 510240 504230 497218 495215
      490217 487213 484211 481211 472214 465213 460212 456216
      455223 456231 452235 449239 447248 447256 449263 452275
      456289 462299 466312 470317 475319 480318 485315 489314
      493310 497305 499298 502293 505290 509288 513288
 0.25 563040 563033 563026 561018 560012 558007 556007 554009
      551018 546025 537037 517059 506068 502069 501074 498082
      493089 489094 482097 479101 478104 474114 472124 471137
      473141 476142 489139 502134 509130 513126 525115 533103
      541086 557059 561050 563040
 0.25 414066 414045 410039 408038 405040 401045 398053 396057
      393059 388061 382067 375064 371063 368064 367069 368072
      370075 374077 375087 377094 379097 383098 390097 399099
      403098 405094 406090 406084 413068 414066
 0.25 356122 357120 357118 356117 354116 353116 351116 349116
      348116 347118 346121 346122 347123 348124 350124 352125
      353124 354124 355123 356122
 0.25 338095 337093 336093 335093 334095 335095 336096 338095
 0.25 311094 313090 312087 306084 299083 293083 286083 281080
      276078 268077 257075 254081 253089 253093 256095 260098
      266101 274101 279100 284102 290102 296099 301099 307097
      311094
 0.50 512648 507654 502661 498668 491674 476682 471688 464694
      448701 439702 430702 424701 420699 417695 417688 422680
      426673 429665 429659 428654 431646 436639 441630
 0.50 558043 556037 551034 547037 543041 537049 530061 528065
      525070 518077 511087 504095 497102 493106 491112 489121
      487127 488130 491130 496130 501129 506127 513121 527103
      533094 539083 552064 554059 556053 558043
 0.50 518273 518268 515264 511254 509251 505247 502256 499259
      496257 492248 486243 479248 476250 474254 473264 475271
      473272 472269 472279 472283 470283 470286 470291 472297
      475301 476306 488291 493285 499280 502278 506277 514277
      518273
 0.50 471241 470235 468231 467225 464221 461218 458222 459227
      459232 458237 458242 460246 463249 466247 469243 471241
 0.50 405074 405071 403070 400068 394067 389068 387070 386077
      385083 386088 389089 395087 397085 399081 402078 405074
 0.50 375687 376685 376683 375680 373679 371677 369678 368679
      366680 365681 364681 363683 362686 362688 363690 364691
      366691 367692 368692 370693 372692 373691 374690 375688
      375687
 0.50 357725 356719 354715 351711 347709 345710 342713 341718
      342722 344726 348729 350732 353732 355730 357727 357725
 0.50 306091 304088 301085 296086 293088 288088 284086 275082
      264081 259081 257086 256089 258093 265097 270098 274098
      279097 285099 292096 298095 302094 306091
 1.00 500645 499641 496637 493634 490633 484638 482641 480635
      478632 474634 468641 468646 465650 455655 449660 446664
      443667 437673 433683 432689 436692 443691 451690 460686
      467681 472679 475676 481669 489664 495658 498654 500648
      500645
 1.00 286091 282089 279088 275088 271087 268087 264088 262091
      265093 271095 276095 282095 285093 286091
 1.50 472663 472660 470659 465661 462665 459669 456672 452674
      451679 453678 457675 461672 464669 468666 472663 472663
 1.50 277094 277092 276092 275091 273090 271090 269090 268091
      269092 270093 271093 272094 274094 276094 277094 

24HR QP VT 04/12Z
 0.01 536220 539199 539191 538186 537182 533173 528168 518159
      497142 486131 481127 475125 466123 461119 456119 452119
      449121 449124 452128 456133 459140 460142 460148 463158
      462168 463171 461175 460179 457179 451185 447192 440202
      431217 427233 426243 424252 420271 419283 418292 414310
 0.01 492612 499625 503631 506638 511654 511659 512665 511673
      508680 504684 492687 489688 487686 483682 476669 472661
      469656 460644 454631 453626
 0.01 500320 499321 497322 497323 496325 495327 495328 493329
      493332 492332 491334 490336 489338 488340
 0.01 567963 568951 567936 566928 564921 553898 541871 535862
      532857 528854 514853 512859 510866 507881 506888 503895
      501902 500906 499913 499919 500923 500929 492939 491944
      492949 528939 540945 542948 542952 544956 544962 542970
      539976 528978 525978 523981 520989 515003 513016 512027
      510032 509034 505038 502046 501056 501065 508072 513076
      518078 525079 531077 541070 544067 548064 552061 556057
      559053 563044 564035 565025 566006 566983 566972 566965
      567963
 0.01 505828 505822 504817 500803 496791 492776 488766 485755
      480749 478746 476743 473740 470739 462738 448734 444734
      441733 435733 430738 428745 432773 433779 433788 432802
      431809 429812 424820 419827 415832 410840 406845 396860
      379884 370898 359918 350931 341946 333958 326969 314982
      310989 305994 299999 296002 294006 292012 292018 291035
      289040 289045 288050 287055 281061 275065 261058 254054
      249048 244043 238039 236038 234034 233033 232037 228044
      227057 226072 227077 229083 237097 240102 244105 248105
      251103 256103 263105 269101 273099 278100 282101 283103
      286106 290106 296103 300104 303102 315090 319082 321073
      323067 323060 322057 329052 336047 341043 352035 366026
      372021 376016 385006 391000 398993 405986 412979 419973
      422970 425971 428975 431978 432981 430983 422987 415989
      411991 409994 406001 402008 399014 394021 390029 389033
      388039 387047 382048 371049 368050 367051 368057 376057
      379059 378062 374063 371061 364063 365066 367070 370077
      373084 382090 387094 394096 401100 403098 405093 408086
      416081 418079 421079 426084 429089 433090 439084 442080
      443077 436072 430068 427048 426045 426041 427034 430025
      436010 442995 449975 451970 454966 459954 460951 463950
      466947 474944 477937 480928 486908 492891 498874 501866
      502862 502857 504841 504833 505828
 0.01 268796 264792 260789 256791 254789 252792 250795 246796
      243799 242801 241805 241809 240815 242820 244818 246815
      247811 252808 259804 264798 268796
 0.25 510296 507299 502301 497304 492303 486303 480303 476304
      472309 469314 465319 461323 457326 455326
 0.25 524260 520252 517243 514237 512228 512221 515217 521215
      528215 532210 534204 534197 530189 522176 515169 509165
      498157 491150 489148 484148 479151 474156 473159 474164
      478172 483179 486185 488189 488194 482197 471204 459213
      454217 450222 449229 445232 442234 440239 438247 435257
      426300 424314
 0.25 525915 523912 521909 518908 515910 513911 511913 510916
      510919 512921 515921 518921 520920 523918 525915
 0.25 443892 443882 442880 439881 435883 434879 434876 430876
      425880 420887 417892 414894 415890 415883 414881 410881
      404881 397883 394885 390888 383898 377907 368925 359936
      353943 347951 341960 317995 311007 309012 308020 310024
      314027 319029 325030 332030 338028 343026 347022 361010
      377994 384988 393982 401974 409966 413957 417947 423933
      428923 433913 439904 442897 443892
 0.25 418034 419024 418016 417009 411011 406014 403019 401025
      400030 403037 406041 413040 415039 417036 418034
 0.25 404063 405058 405054 401049 395050 390053 386059 384065
      382072 384074 386076 394077 399074 401069 404063
 0.25 310081 310077 307076 300078 294078 291075 289073 285071
      276072 267071 258069 251065 244061 237058 235059 233062
      234067 235075 245086 251091 258095 263096 268097 276095
      285095 293093 302092 308088 310081
 0.50 522264 512240 507227 503215 498209 494205 490203 484202
      475207 467213 458221 456226 455231 446238 443242 441251
      439260 438267 439273 441278 444281 447279 450274 455272
      461275 472279 476278 481277 489280 493283 501291 504293
      507292 511287 517277 519276
 0.50 506177 505173 502172 496170 490168 486164 483158 480156
      478159 477162 478166 480171 485175 490178 495178 501178
      506177
 0.50 420931 420924 419921 413926 408929 404930 401929 402925
      398923 394923 391925 380931 369943 359951 350963 341973
      332986 329990 328000 325009 325016 325018 329020 336021
      339021 343018 348013 357005 367993 376983 387973 396964
      402959 408955 411954 413951 416944 420931
 0.50 291087 293083 290082 287079 282077 276076 263074 252071
      247070 242068 238068 236071 239076 246082 253088 261094
      271095 282093 289089 291087
 1.00 516264 516258 514253 511246 504229 500221 496214 492210
      488208 481208 475214 469219 462238 460243 461248 466252
      473254 479259 492271 498278 503281 507279 509275 514269
      516264
 1.00 489237 490234 490233 489231 488229 487227 485226 484227
      483229 482232 483234 484237 486238 487237 489237 489237
 1.00 451247 450245 448244 447246 448248 449248 451247
 1.00 382963 383957 382956 375958 369961 364965 359968 353970
      348975 344980 342986 344993 345997 344002 341006 339010
      341011 345007 353997 360987 369976 374972 379969 382963
 1.00 283088 283084 282082 276080 268079 263078 256076 252077
      252079 255083 259086 264090 269093 275091 280090 283088
 1.50 513263 513261 513259 513258 512255 512254 510252 509250
      508248 506248 505250 505252 505254 506255 506257 507258
      508260 509261 510262 511263 512264 513263
 1.50 502272 503268 502264 502259 500254 497250 492243 486243
      483244 481234 478229 475230 471233 471236 470240 471243
      474245 483245 484251 486256 491263 498270 502272
 1.50 498227 496222 493218 492214 487211 484212 480215 480219
      483219 488219 492222 494226 497229 498227
 1.50 280086 277083 273083 269083 264081 261079 257079 257082
      259083 262086 266088 269090 274090 278088 280086
 2.00 496262 497260 497257 497256 496255 495253 494251 492249
      491247 489247 488247 487249 486251 487252 488254 488255
      490257 490258 491259 492261 493261 494263 495263 496262
 2.00 479241 480239 480236 480234 479232 478231 476231 475232
      474234 473237 474238 474239 475241 476242 478242 479241
 3.00 478238 478236 477235 476237 477238 478238 





Last Updated: 434 AM EDT SAT NOV 01 2014