THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD


TROPICAL SUMMARY MESSAGE



TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL012015
500 PM EDT MON MAY 11 2015

...CENTER OF ANA MOVING ACROSS THE EASTERN SHORES OF
VIRGINIA...THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING DIMINISHING...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...37.7N 75.7W
ABOUT 20 MILES...80 KM...SSW OF WALLOPS ISLAND VIRGINIA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...50 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 045 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB...29.89 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
ALL PREVIOUS FLOOD WATCHES AND COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORIES HAVE
EXPIRED.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF ANA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 37.3 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 75.9 WEST. THE CENTER OF
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA HAS TRAVERSED NORTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
INTO SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA.  AT 5 PM EDT...IT WAS ESTIMATED NEAR
THE EASTERN SHORES OF VIRGINIA. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER
RADARS...SATELLITE IMAGERIES...AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE
THAT ANA CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN A WELL-DEFINED CLOSED CIRCULATION
WITH DECENT RAINBAND STRUCTURES MAINLY TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF
THE CENTER. WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL HEAVY DOWNPOURS
FROM THE RAINBANDS ARE STILL AFFECTING THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.  ANA IS EXPECTED TO SKIRT THE NORTHERN
MID-ATLANTIC COAST THIS EVENING AS IT ACCELERATES TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST.  MUCH OF THE ACTIVE RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH ANA ARE
EXPECTED TO MOVE OFFSHORE THIS EVENING. MEANWHILE...A COLD FRONT
QUICKLY ARRIVING FROM THE MID-SECTION OF THE COUNTRY WILL BRING
INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER ANA AND IS EXPECTED TO ABSORB
THE REMNANT CIRCULATION AS IT NEARS THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST
ON TUESDAY. SINCE MUCH OF THE HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO STAY
OFFSHORE AND REGENERATION IS NOT EXPECTED...THE THREAT OF FLASH
FLOODING IN THE MID-ATLANTIC HAS DIMINISHED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...50 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.89 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC
HAS DIMINISHED.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 2 PM EDT

...NORTH CAROLINA...
KINSTON 7 SE                         6.70                     
OAK ISLAND 1 W                       6.60                     
SUPPLY NATURE CONSER                 6.44                     
SOUTHPORT 1 NE                       6.39                     
SUNSET BEACH 3 NNE                   5.90                     
JACKSONVILLE 1 W                     5.45                     
SURF CITY 2 NNW                      5.39                     
KURE BEACH 2 SSW                     5.34                     
VARNAMTOWN 1.8 ENE                   5.17                     
RICHLANDS 5.3 SSW                    5.04                     
SANDY RUN RAWS                       4.59                     
GURGANUS 0.5 N                       4.37                     
SOUTHPORT/BRUNSWICK                  4.26                     
SUNSET BEACH 3.4 N                   4.15                     
SWANSBORO 3.3 NW                     4.14                     
SUPPLY-NATURE CONSER                 4.06                     
INDIAN BEACH 2 NNE                   3.77                     
WILMINGTON/NEW HANOVER CO. ARPT      3.16                     
MOREHEAD CITY 2.4 WNW                2.85                     

...SOUTH CAROLINA...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH                   6.16                     
CONWAY 6 E                           5.08                     
GEORGETOWN 1 E                       4.60                     
PAWLEY'S ISLAND 4 N                  3.95                     
MURRELLS INLET                       3.40                     
SURFSIDE BEACH 1 NE                  2.06                     


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER FOR THIS SYSTEM. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS STORM.

FORECASTER KONG

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 11/2100Z 37.3N 75.9W
12HR VT 12/0600Z 40.3N 74.0W...POST-TROPICAL
24HR VT 12/1800Z...ABSORBED




Last Updated: 524 PM EDT MON MAY 11 2015