THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD


TROPICAL SUMMARY MESSAGE



POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022016
500 PM EDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE MOVING SLOWING ACROSS
THE NORTH CAROLINA COASTAL WATERS...HEAVY RAIN THREAT EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.5N 77.7W
ABOUT 50 MILES...80 KM...SSE OF WILMINGTON/NEW HAN NORTH CAROLINA.
ABOUT 70 MILES...115 KM...E OF MYRTLE BEACH(CIV) SOUTH CAROLINA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...20 MPH...30 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 045 DEGREES AT 4 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO WATCHES...WARNINGS...OR ADVISORIES ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS SYSTEM.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.5 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 77.7 WEST. THE CENTER OF
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE HAS BEEN DRIFTING NORTHEASTWARD OVER
THE COASTAL WATERS JUST OFF WILMINGTON...NORTH CAROLINA FOR THE
PAST FEW HOURS.  SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTION
HAS DIMINISHED IN THE SOUTHERN QUADRANT OF THE CIRCULATION. 
HOWEVER...NEW BANDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE FORMED TO
THE NORTH OF THE CENTER IN THE PAST FEW HOURS AND ARE ROTATING
ACROSS THE COASTAL SECTION OF NORTH CAROLINA WHERE WINDS GUSTING
TO 25 MPH HAVE BEEN REPORTED.  SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT
THE CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS FALLEN A FEW MILLIBARS TO ABOUT 1009 MB. 
THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OF BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING
VERY SLOWLY EAST-NORTHEASTWARD NEAR OR ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA
COAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS BEFORE MOVING OFF INTO THE
ATLANTIC LATER THIS WEEK.  THE MAIN THREAT WITH THIS STORM WILL
CONTINUE TO BE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN OVER THE EASTERN PART OF
NORTH CAROLINA FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 20 MPH...30 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS
OF 4 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA...AND FAR SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA THROUGH THURSDAY. 
THESE RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE THE THREAT FOR LOCAL FLASH
FLOODING...PARTICULARLY IN REGIONS WHICH ARE ALREADY SATURATED
FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 2 PM EDT

...DELAWARE...
WILMINGTON 2 NW                      2.23                     
GLASGOW                              2.01                     
NEW CASTLE                           1.94                     
TOWNSEND                             1.86                     
KITTS HUMMOCK                        1.82                     
PORT PENN                            1.64                     
WOODSIDE                             1.57                     
PRICES CORNER                        1.57                     
DOVER AFB                            1.50                     
GEORGETOWN/SUSSEX CO ARPT            1.43                     

...GEORGIA...
BURTONS FERRY LANDING                8.85                     
OLIVER 2 SW                          7.74                     
MARLOW                               7.46                     
NEWINGTON 1 S                        4.92                     
BLICHTON 1 ESE                       4.62                     
ROCKY FORD 1 SSW                     4.07                     
AUGUSTA/BUSH FIELD                   2.69                     
SAVANNAH MUNI ARPT                   1.57                     

...MASSACHUSETTS...
PLYMOUTH MUNI ARPT                   2.31                     
NEW BEDFORD MUNI ARPT                1.59                     
BOSTON/LOGAN                         1.13                     

...MARYLAND...
GALENA                               3.51                     
CARVILLE 3 W                         3.35                     
OCEAN CITY MUNI ARPT                 2.77                     
SALISBURY RGNL ARPT                  1.38                     
ANDREWS AFB/CAMP SPRINGS             1.20                     

...NORTH CAROLINA...
HATTERAS/BILLY MITCHELL AP           8.02                     
FAYETTEVILLE 1.6 WSW                 3.29                     
ERWIN/HARNETT COUNTY ARPT            2.50                     
RALEIGH/DURHAM INTL ARPT             2.45                     
LAURINBURG-MAXTON ARPT               2.07                     
FORT BRAGG/FAYETTEVILLE              1.47                     
CHAPEL HILL/WILLIAMS ARPT            1.34                     
WILMINGTON/NEW HANOVER CO ARPT       1.14                     

...NEW JERSEY...
HAMILTON TOWNSHIP                    4.52                     
EAST WINDSOR TWP                     3.91                     
WESTAMPTON TWP                       3.50                     
TRENTON 5 ESE                        3.16                     
SPRINGDALE 3 W                       3.14                     
MOUNT HOLLY WFO                      3.08                     
SEWELL                               2.93                     
TURNERSVILLE 2 S                     2.76                     
MATAWAN 1 WSW                        2.76                     
TOTTENVILLE 8 S                      2.52                     
ATLANTIC CITY INTL AIRPORT           1.81                     
NEWARK INTL ARPT                     1.60                     

...NEW YORK...
NEW YORK CITY                        1.65                     
NEW YORK/LA GUARDIA                  1.53                     

...PENNSYLVANIA...
JONAS                                3.49                     
POHOPOCO CREEK                       3.09                     
KRESGEVILLE                          3.08                     
PALMERTON 6 ENE                      3.00                     
WALNUTPORT                           2.70                     
DREXEL HILL                          2.51                     
PHILADELPHIA/NE PHIL. ARPT           2.35                     
PITTSBURGH/ALLEGHENY CO. ARPT        2.32                     
NORTHEAST PHILADELPHIA               2.30                     
PHILADELPHIA INTL ARPT               1.51                     

...RHODE ISLAND...
PROVIDENCE/PO WARWICK                1.50                     
WESTERLY STATE ARPT                  1.34                     

...SOUTH CAROLINA...
RIDGELAND 5.8 ESE                   10.43                     
OLD HOUSE 1 SSE                     10.36                     
VARNVILLE 6.7 SW                     9.03                     
LENA 4 ENE                           9.03                     
NORTH CHARLESTON 2.6 NW              8.61                     
ARCHDALE 2 NE                        8.61                     
BRUNSON 1.6 SSW                      6.45                     
FOLLY BEACH 2.5 SW                   6.44                     
FOLLY BEACH 2 WSW                    6.28                     
JOHNS ISLAND 4 SE                    6.24                     
ALLENDALE 1 S                        6.14                     
HENDERSONVILLE 6.11                  6.11                     
CALAWASSIE ISLAND                    6.05                     
CHARLESTON AIRPORT                   4.98                     
BEAUFORT 2 N                         4.60                     

...VIRGINIA...
WAKEFIELD MUNI ARPT                  2.56                     
RICHMOND                             2.35                     
WALLOPS ISLAND                       2.02                     
NORFOLK NAS                          1.87                     
TINKER CREEK                         1.39                     
LANGLEY AFB/HAMPTON                  1.24                     
PETERSBURG                           1.21                     
BUCHANAN 1 WNW                       1.02                     


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 1100 PM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER KONG

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 31/2100Z 33.5N 77.7W
12HR VT 01/0600Z 33.8N 77.5W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 01/1800Z 34.7N 76.5W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 02/0600Z 35.4N 76.6W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 02/1800Z 35.5N 75.6W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW




Last Updated: 503 PM EDT TUE MAY 31 2016