THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

CAMP SPRINGS, MD


TROPICAL SUMMARY MESSAGE



REMNANTS OF LEE ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL132011
400 AM CDT MON SEP 05 2011

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION LEE BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL IN SOUTHERN
LOUISIANA...
 
SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.2N 90.8W
ABOUT 35 MILES...55 KM...WNW OF NEW ORLEANS/MOISANT LOUISIANA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 090 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES

 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FROM
THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EASTWARD INTO THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
AND THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS.  WIND ADVISORIES ARE ALSO IN EFFECT
FROM THE LOWER AND MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WESTWARD INTO EASTERN
TEXAS.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF LEE WAS RELOCATED TO NEAR
LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 90.8 WEST. LEE HAS BECOME
EXTRATROPICAL OVER SOUTHERN LOUISIANA AS IT HAS MERGED WITH A
FRONTAL ZONE WITH COOL AND DRY AIR INFILTRATING THE CIRCULATION
CENTER FROM THE NORTH AND WEST. THE EXTRATROPICAL LOW CENTER IS
EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST...BRINGING THE CENTER INTO
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI TODAY AND INTO ALABAMA ON TUESDAY. TROPICAL
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF LEE WILL CONTINUE TO
INTERACT WITH THE FRONTAL ZONE...AND EXTREMELY HEAVY RAIN IS
EXPECTED TO FALL IN LOCATIONS WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CIRCULATION
CENTER. 

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.36 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...THE REMNANTS OF LEE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
REGION...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES
THROUGH TUESDAY. HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND NORTHEASTWARD
INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS
THROUGH TUESDAY...WHERE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE
RAINS MAY CAUSE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. 


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 3 AM CDT 

...ALABAMA...
MOBILE/BATES FIELD                   9.80                      
MUSCLE SHOALS RGNL ARPT              2.52                      
CAIRNS AAF/OZARK                     1.55                      
EVERGREEN                            1.47                      

...FLORIDA...
DESTIN AIRPORT                       5.78                      
MILTON/WHITING FIELD NAS             5.25                      
HURLBURT FIELD AWS                   5.24                      
PENSACOLA RGNL ARPT                  4.37                      
APALACHICOLA MUNI ARPT               4.25                      
VALPARAISO/EGLIN AFB                 4.24                      
TYNDALL AFB/PANAMA CITY              3.36                      
PENSACOLA NAS                        3.29                      

...KENTUCKY...
HENDERSON CITY                       0.95                      
BOWLING GREEN-WARREN CO. ARPT        0.84                      
FORT KNOX AAF                        0.43                      

...LOUISIANA...
NEW ORLEANS/MOISANT                 10.91                      
NEW ORLEANS/LAKEFRONT                9.85                      
BOOTHVILLE                           8.64                      
BATON ROUGE/RYAN MUNI ARPT           8.20                      
SLIDELL                              6.07                      
NEW IBERIA/ACADIANA                  6.01                      
ALEXANDRIA/ESLER                     5.90                      
LAFAYETTE RGNL ARPT                  5.65                      

...MISSISSIPPI...
PASCAGOULA                          10.43                      
KEESLER AFB/BILOXI                   9.79                      
GULFPORT-BILOXI                      9.16                      
MCCOMB/LEWIS FIELD                   6.35                      
HATTIESBURG/LAUREL                   6.04                      
HATTIESBURG/CHAIN MUNI ARPT          6.00                      
JACKSON WFO                          5.43                      

...TENNESSEE...
CLARKSVILLE/OUTLAW FIELD             1.68                      
OAK RIDGE (ASOS)                     1.58                      
CROSSVILLE MEMORIAL ARPT             1.46                      
KNOXVILLE MUNI ARPT                  1.02                      
NASHVILLE METRO ARPT                 1.00                      

...TEXAS...
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR                 3.20                      


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED AT 1000 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION
ON THIS STORM.

FORECASTER KONG

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 05/0900Z 30.2N 90.8W
12HR VT 05/1800Z 31.9N 89.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 
24HR VT 06/0600Z 32.9N 88.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP




Last Updated: 513 AM EDT MON SEP 05 2011