Monthly Record Threat Scores |
.50 inch (1961-2017) | 1.00 inch (1961-2017) | 2.00 inches (1970-2017) |
Threat Bias | Threat Bias | Threat Bias |
1.00 inch | ||
Day 1 | Threat | Percent Improvement Over NWP |
.50 inch | 1.00 inch | 2.00 inches | |
Day 1 | Threat Bias | Threat Bias | Threat Bias |
Day 2 | Threat Bias | Threat Bias | Threat Bias |
Day 3 | Threat Bias | Threat Bias | Threat Bias |
Day 1 | Day 2 | Day 3 |
Threat Bias | Threat Bias | Threat Bias |
.50 inch | 1.00 inch | 2.00 inches |
Threat Bias | Threat Bias | Threat Bias |
NAM and GFS QPF Verification by Region |
|
Monthly Record Threat Scores |
00-06 Hours | .25 inch | .50 inch |
06-12 Hours | .25 inch | .50 inch | |
12-18 Hours | .25 inch | .50 inch | |
18-24 Hours | .25 inch | .50 inch | |
24-30 Hours | .25 inch | .50 inch |
30-36 Hours | .25 inch | .50 inch | |
36-42 Hours | .25 inch | .50 inch | |
42-48 Hours | .25 inch | .50 inch | |
48-54 Hours | .25 inch | .50 inch |
54-60 Hours | .25 inch | .50 inch | |
60-66 Hours | .25 inch | .50 inch | |
66-72 Hours | .25 inch | .50 inch | |
72-78 Hours | .25 inch | .50 inch |
All 6-Hour Periods | .25 inch | .50 inch |
.50 inch | 1.00 inch | 2.00 inches |
Threat | Threat | Threat |
.50 inch | 1.00 inch | 2.00 inches | |
Days 4-5 | Threat Bias | Threat Bias | Threat Bias |
Days 6-7 | Threat Bias | Threat Bias | Threat Bias |
Days 4-5 | Threat | Bias |
Days 6-7 | Threat | Bias |
.50 inch | 1.00 inch | 2.00 inches | 3.00 inches | 4.00 inches |
Threat Bias | Threat Bias | Threat Bias | Threat Bias | Threat Bias |
Threat | Bias |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
WPC Brier scores for days 3-7 12-Hour PoP forecasts |
WPC percent improvement over MOS Brier score for days 3-7 12-Hour PoP forecasts |
WPC Gridded Medium-Range Forecasts
MOS/WPC/NDFD Minimum Temperature (Days 4-7) |
MAE | Bias |
MOS/WPC/NDFD Maximum Temperature (Days 4-7) |
MAE | Bias |
MOS/WPC/NDFD 12-Hour PoP (Days 4-7) |
Brier Score |
Products derived from forecasts prepared by WPC meteorologists
MOS/WPC/NDFD Dew Point Temperature (valid every 6 hours from F90-F180) |
MAE | Bias |
MOS/WPC/NDFD Wind Speed (valid every 6 hours from F90-F180) |
MAE | Bias |
MOS/WPC/NDFD Wind Direction (valid every 6 hours from F90-F180) |
MAE | Bias |
WPC/NDFD Cloud Cover (valid every 6 hours from F90-F180) |
MAE | Bias |
Mean Sea Level Pressure (PMSL)
WPC -vs- Guidance Anomaly Correlations