QPF
There are many ways to forecast QPF
- deterministically using numerical models or a man-model mix (HPC method)
- meteorologists are slowly evolving away from this deterministic methods.
- probabilistically
- using model guidance and statistical methods
- by using ensembles (still need to be calibrated)
- or Mos-man mix
High thresholds/ rare events are particularly difficult to handle. No method works well at predicting these events