INTELLIGENT USE OF THE MODEL REQUIRES THAT THE FORECASTER

• COMPARE THE INITIAL 00HR FORECAST WITH DATA

  • MAY BECOME HARDER TO DO AS NEW DATA STREAMS ARE USED

• BE FAMILIAR WITH CHARACTERTIC MODEL ERRORS AND BIASES.

  • THESE MAY VARY BY SEASON AND REGIME

• HAVE A ROUGH UNDERSTANDING OF HOW APPROXIMATIONS OF THE PHYSICS MAY NEGATIVELY IMPACT A FORECAST.

Previous slide

Next slide

Back to first slide

View graphic version