QPF verification


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Table of Contents

QPF verification

Why verification is so important

Verification methods

Subjective Verification

HPC 24-h QPF Verification 30+ years of deterministic forecasts

HPC verification (Cont.)


HPC 06 hr QPF Verification

What can you learn from verification?

What can you learn about a model or man

How Good are the Forecasts?

How Good Are the Forecasts?

Forecast Verification Strategy

PPT Slide

Objective and subjective verification suggests that some patterns are more predictable than others.

A perfect threat score is 1.00. Forecasts are slowly improving but we have a long way to go before we even get good at forecasting precipitation amounts.


References for verification

Author: NCEP_User

Email: njunker@ncep.noaa.gov

Home Page: http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/research/res2.html

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