SUMMERTIME QPF IN THE WEST AND ALONG THE FRONT RANGE INVOLVES
DETERMINING WHETHER CONDITIONS WILL BE CONDUCIVE TO HEAVY RAINS
IS STRONGLY RELATED TO THE MONSOON SEASON
THE SCALE IS USUALLY TOO SMALL TO ALLOW A FORECAST TO REALISTICALLY PREDICT THE EXACT LOCATION WITH MUCH LEAD TIME.
THE SCALE ARGUES FOR A PROBABILISTIC APPROACH TO THE PROBLEM