THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER

CAMP SPRINGS, MD


TROPICAL SUMMARY MESSAGE



PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 9 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL052007
4 PM CDT THU AUG 16 2007        

...ERIN PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
TEXAS...

AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.1 WEST OR
ABOUT 30 MILES... 50 KM...SOUTHEAST OF SAN ANTONIO TEXAS.

THE DEPRESSION CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AND MOVE FARTHER INLAND.  

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 15 TO 20 MPH...20 TO 30
KM/HR...WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR LARGE PORTIONS OF
SOUTHCENTRAL...SOUTHEAST...AND SOUTHERN TEXAS. 

THE REMNANTS OF ERIN CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD AROUND 14 MPH
AND IS EXPECTED TO BE LOCATED IN WEST TEXAS BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN TEXAS...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES.

SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 1000 PM
EDT SATURDAY

...TEXAS...

HOUSTON METRO AREA
SENS RD			 	8.62
LOCKWOOD (HUNTING BAYOU) 	8.35
LITTLE CEDAR BAYOU @8TH ST	7.91
SIMS BAYOU @MARTIN LUTHER KING	7.32
SOUTH MCGREGOR WAY	 	6.97
HOUSTON INT AIRPORT		1.72

PALACIOS			4.98
SAN ANTONIO			1.83


REPEATING THE 0400 PM CDT THURSDAY POSITION...28.8 NORTH...AND
98.1 WEST...NORTHWESTWARD MOVEMENT NEAR 14 MPH...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS AT 15 TO 20 MPH...MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY ON THE REMNANTS OF ERIN WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER AT 1O PM CDT.  REFER TO YOUR
LOCAL FORECAST OFFICE
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS SYSTEM.
 
KOCIN

FORECAST POSITIONS

INITIAL    16/2100Z 28.8N 98.1W
12HR VT    17/0600Z 30.1N 99.9W
24HR VT    17/1800Z 31.1N 101.6W






Last Updated: 635 PM EDT THU AUG 16 2007