THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER

CAMP SPRINGS, MD


TROPICAL SUMMARY MESSAGE



PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 40 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUSTAV
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL072008
1000 AM CDT WED SEP 3 2008

...GUSTAV DRIFTING NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH HEAVY RAIN CONTINUING OVER
THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY... 

FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR A LARGE PART OF CENTRAL AND
NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...WESTERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHEASTERN
ARKANSAS...PORTIONS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS.
FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF 
ARKANSAS....LOUISIANA...MISSOURI...SOUTHERN AND WESTERN
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL AND
EASTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI. 

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV.
 
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500Z...TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUSTAV WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 33.8 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 94.3 WEST...OR ABOUT 30
MILES...50 KM...NORTHWEST OF TEXARKANA ARKANSAS AND ABOUT 105
MILES...170 KM...SOUTH OF FORT SMITH ARKANSAS. 

GUSTAV HAS BEEN DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 2 MPH...5
KM/HR. THIS MOTION WILL CONTINUE WITH AN GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED TODAY AND THURSDAY.  

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 25 MPH...40 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. FORT SMITH ARKANSAS RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST TO 40
MPH...64 KM/HR. GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME
EXTRATROPICAL IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT BEGINS TO INTERACT
WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 997
MB...29.44 INCHES. 

SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 7 AM CDT
WEDNESDAY...

...LOUISIANA...

BUNKIE 0.3 WSW                      16.37
BASTROP 3.2 NNE                     10.87
WEST MONROE 4.1 NW                  10.44
MONROE                               9.43
ALEXANDRIA                           9.07
BATON ROUGE                          4.63
FORT POLK                            4.33
NEW ORLEANS NAS                      3.10
SHREVEPORT (SHV)                     2.23
BARKSDALE AFB                        2.12
SHREVEPORT (DTN)                     2.10
LAKE CHARLES                         2.06
LAFAYETTE                            1.99

...MISSISSIPPI...

VICKSBURG 2.2 NE                     7.82
MCCOMB                               7.42
HATTIESBURG                          6.42
VICKSBURG (TVR)                      5.03
PASCAGOULA                           4.61
LAUREL                               4.08
BILOXI/KEESLER AFB                   4.05
GREENVILLE                           2.45
HAWKINS FIELD                        2.26
GULFPORT                             1.83
JACKSON (JAN)                        1.78
GREENWOOD                            1.78

...ARKANSAS...

HOT SPRINGS                          5.77
MONTICELLO                           5.60
MOUNT IDA                            4.74
TEXARKANA                            3.80
EL DORADO                            3.17
FLIPPIN                              3.11
LITTLE ROCK AFB (LRF)                3.53
FORT SMITH                           3.65
LITTLE ROCK (LIT)                    2.88
STUTTGART                            2.66
BATESVILLE                           2.65
PINE BLUFF                           2.83
FAYETTEVILLE                         2.28
HARRISON                             2.16
RUSSELLVILLE                         1.83

...MISSOURI...

FORSYTH 1.9 SW                       3.78
HOLLISTER 3.8 SW                     2.05
WEST PLAINS                          0.57
JOPLIN                               0.46
SPRINGFIELD                          0.40

...OKLAHOMA...

MCALESTER                            1.16
MUSKOGEE                             0.44

...TEXAS...

PARIS                                0.98
LONGVIEW                             0.77
LUFKIN                               0.62

...KANSAS...

CHANUTE                              1.27

...FLORIDA...

PENSACOLA NAS (NPA)                  3.75
PENSACOLA (PNS)                      2.09
DESTIN                               2.08
MARATHON                             2.04
KENDALL-TAMIAMI (TMB)                1.92
VALPARAISO/EGLIN AFB                 1.69
HOMESTEAD                            1.62
VERO BEACH                           1.58
KEY WEST                             1.46

...ALABAMA...

MOBILE BROOKLEY FIELD (BFM)          3.10
MOBILE (MOB)                         2.22

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF THREE TO SIX INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF TEN INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF
LOUISIANA...WESTERN
MISSISSIPPI...ARKANSAS...MISSOURI...SOUTHEASTERN
KANSAS...NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWESTERN ILLINOIS THROUGH
SATURDAY. 

REPEATING THE 1000 AM CDT POSITION...33.8 NORTH...94.3
WEST...MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 2 MPH...MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY ON GUSTAV WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER AT 400 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER
TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE OR WEATHER.GOV FOR
FURTHER INFORMATION ON GUSTAV.

BRENNAN

FORECAST POSITIONS

INITIAL 03/1500Z 33.7N 94.3W
12HR VT 04/0000Z 34.6N 93.7W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
24HR VT 04/1200Z 37.3N 92.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT 05/0000Z 40.7N 87.8W...EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 05/1200Z 44.3N 83.2W...EXTRATROPICAL





Last Updated: 1043 AM EDT WED SEP 03 2008