THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER

CAMP SPRINGS, MD


TROPICAL SUMMARY MESSAGE



PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 42 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUSTAV
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL072008
1000 PM CDT WED SEP 3 2008

...GUSTAV MOVING THROUGH ARKANSAS AS FLOODING RAINS LINGER... 

FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF
LOUISIANA...ARKANSAS...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI. FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN
EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI...ARKANSAS...EASTERN OKLAHOMA...SOUTHEASTERN
KANSAS...MISSOURI AND WESTERN ILLINOIS. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM CDT FOR EASTERN LOUISIANA...WESTERN
MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHEASTERN ARKANSAS. FOR MORE STORM
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.
 
AT 1000 PM CDT...03Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUSTAV
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.6 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 93.5
WEST...OR 75 MILES...121 KM...WEST OF LITTLE ROCK ARKANSAS AND 180
MILES...290 KM...SOUTH OF SPRINGFIELD MISSOURI. 

GUSTAV IS MOVING OFF TO THE NORTHEAST AT 7 MPH. THIS
MOVEMENT...WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD MOTION...IS EXPECTED
OVERNIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AS GUSTAV ARRIVES INTO THE WESTERN OHIO
VALLEY 

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL THURSDAY AS IT
INTERACTS AND BECOMES ABSORBED WITH AN INCOMING FRONTAL BOUNDARY.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES. 

SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 7 PM CDT
WEDNESDAY...UNLESS OTHERWISE INDICATED.

...LOUISIANA...

LARTO LAKE                          19.00 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
JONESVILLE 7 SW                     17.70 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
WINNSBORO 5 SSE                     16.51 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
BUNKIE 0.3 WSW                      16.37 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
CLAYTON 4 NNW                       14.54 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
RED RIVER LOCK AND DAM              13.50 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
RAYVILLE                            12.13 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
BASTROP 3.2 NNE                     10.87 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
WEST MONROE 4.1 NW                  10.44 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
ALEXANDRIA                           9.50
MONROE                               9.43
BATON ROUGE                          4.81
FORT POLK                            4.33
LAFAYETTE                            3.24
NEW ORLEANS NAS                      3.10
LAKE CHARLES                         2.43
SHREVEPORT                           2.26
SHREVEPORT (DTN)                     2.17
BARKSDALE AFB                        2.16

...MISSISSIPPI...

BUDE (HOMOCHITTO NATIONAL FOREST)   11.53 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
VICKSBURG 2.2 NE                     8.94 (THROUGH 12 PM CDT)
MCCOMB                               7.52
VICKSBURG                            6.56
HATTIESBURG                          6.42
GREENVILLE                           6.14
PASCAGOULA                           4.61
LAUREL                               4.08
BILOXI/KEESLER AFB                   4.05
JACKSON (JAN)                        1.87
GULFPORT                             1.83
GREENWOOD                            1.80

...ARKANSAS...

HAMBURG                             11.25 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
CROSSETT 2 SSE                      10.10 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
HAMPTON                              9.80 (THROUGH 11 AM CDT)
HOT SPRINGS (WHITTINGTON CREEK)      8.96 (THROUGH 11 AM CDT)
LEOLA                                8.11 (THROUGH 11 AM CDT)
WALTREAK                             8.05 (THROUGH 11 AM CDT)
LITTLE ROCK AFB                      9.35
HOT SPRINGS                          7.57
MONTICELLO                           7.36
MOUNT IDA                            5.94
LITTLE ROCK                          5.85
FORT SMITH                           5.67
TEXARKANA                            5.04
STUTTGART                            4.91
PINE BLUFF                           4.48
FAYETTEVILLE                         4.35
FLIPPIN                              3.93
EL DORADO                            3.54
SILOAM SPRINGS                       3.28
HARRISON                             3.26
SPRINGDALE                           3.02
BATESVILLE                           2.99
SEARCY                               2.35
RUSSELLVILLE                         2.19

...MISSOURI...

FORSYTH 1.9 SW                       3.78 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
HOLLISTER 3.8 SW                     2.05 (THROUGH 7 AM CDT)
WEST PLAINS                          1.70
JEFFERSON CITY                       1.45
SPRINGFIELD                          1.39
JOPLIN                               1.34
SEDALIA                              1.22

...OKLAHOMA...

MUSKOGEE                             1.99
MCALESTER                            1.61

...TEXAS...

PARIS                                1.07
LONGVIEW                             0.87

...KANSAS...

CHANUTE                              1.44

...ILLINOIS...

QUINCY                               1.43

...FLORIDA...

PENSACOLA NAS (NPA)                  4.12
PENSACOLA (PNS)                      2.09
DESTIN                               2.08
MARATHON                             2.04
KENDALL-TAMIAMI (TMB)                1.92
VALPARAISO/EGLIN AFB                 1.69
HOMESTEAD                            1.62
VERO BEACH                           1.58
KEY WEST                             1.46

...ALABAMA...

MOBILE BROOKLEY FIELD (BFM)          3.10
MOBILE (MOB)                         2.26

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER
PORTIONS OF NORTHERN ARKANSAS...MISSOURI...NORTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN AND NORTHERN MICHIGAN THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS MISSOURI AND NORTHERN ILLINOIS. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND
WESTERN MISSISSIPPI THROUGH THURSDAY.

REPEATING THE 1000 PM CDT POSITION...34.6 NORTH...93.5
WEST...MOVEMENT TO THE NORTHEAST AT 7 MPH...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...20 MPH...MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY ON GUSTAV WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER AT 400 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER
TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION ON GUSTAV.

MUSHER

FORECAST POSITIONS
INITIAL 04/0300Z 34.6N 93.5W
12HR VT 04/1200Z 36.8N 91.8W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
24HR VT 05/0000Z 40.2N 87.4W...EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT 05/1200Z 44.4N 82.3W...EXTRATROPICAL/ABSORBED






Last Updated: 1247 AM EDT THU SEP 04 2008