TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL012015
500 AM EDT MON MAY 11 2015

...ANA MOVING FARTHER INLAND ACROSS NORTH CAROLINA...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.5N 78.4W
ABOUT 28 MILES...45 KM...NW OF SEYMOUR-JOHNSON AFB NORTH CAROLINA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...15 MPH...24 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 4 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB...29.89 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLOOD WATCHES AND COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE
CENTRAL PORTION OF COASTAL NORTH CAROLINA

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF ANA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 35.5 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 78.4 WEST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION
ANA CONTINUES TO WEAKEN SLOWLY AS THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION MOVES
FARTHER INLAND ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.  MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE HAS ALSO CONTINUED TO INCREASE SINCE LANDFALL. 
NEVERTHELESS...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS SHOWED
HEALTHY RAINBAND STRUCTURES ON THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION...MOSTLY OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST.  SOME OF THE
HEAVIER RAINBANDS ARE BEGINNING TO MOVE INTO THE OUTER BANKS OF
NORTH CAROLINA.  THE STRONGEST REPORTED SURFACE WINDS OF 25 TO 30
MPH WERE LOCATED JUST OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST TO THE EAST OF
THE CIRCULATION CENTER.  ANA HAS MOVED IN A NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY
DIRECTION OVERNIGHT ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.  NUMERICAL
MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT IN MOVING ANA NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
ACROSS NORTH CAROLINA IN THE EARLY HOURS ON MONDAY AND REACHING
SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA BY MONDAY AFTERNOON.  BEYOND THAT POINT...A
COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LARGE LATE-SEASON WINTER STORM THAT
HAS BROUGHT HEAVY SNOW IN THE NORTHERN PLAINS IS FORECAST TO
APPROACH ANA AND ACCELERATE IT MORE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST LATER ON
MONDAY.  THE REMNANTS OF ANA ARE EXPECTED TO SKIRT THE COAST OF
NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC MONDAY NIGHT BEFORE BEING ABSORBED ON
TUESDAY BY THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT AS ANA NEARS THE SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND COAST.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.89 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...ANA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF UP TO 2 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 6
INCHES... ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH MONDAY.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 5 AM EDT

...NORTH CAROLINA...
SOUTHPORT/BRUNSWICK                  4.26                     
SUPPLY-NATURE CONSER                 4.06                     
WILMINGTON/NEW HANOVER CO. ARPT      3.16                     
NEW RIVER MCAS                       2.40                     
JACKSONVILLE/ELLIS AIRPORT           1.54                     
SEYMOUR-JOHNSON AFB                  1.45                     

...SOUTH CAROLINA...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH                   5.88                     
N MYRTLE BEACH                       4.33                     


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 1100 AM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER FANNING

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 11/0900Z 35.5N 78.4W
12HR VT 11/1800Z 37.0N 76.1W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HR VT 12/0600Z 39.5N 73.0W...POST-TROPICAL
36HR VT 12/1800Z...ABSORBED