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Tropical Depression BILL Advisory Number 16
 
Issued 21:00Z Jun 19, 2015
 
Advisory Selection
View advisory number:  22   21   20   19   18   17   16   15   14   13   12   11   10   9   8   7   


TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022015
400 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015

...TENACIOUS TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL MOVING INTO SOUTHEASTERN
MISSOURI...

SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...37.1N 90.1W
ABOUT 30 MILES...50 KM...WSW OF CAPE GIRARDEAU MISSOURI.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...40 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FROM EASTERN MISSOURI
EASTWARD INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL ILLINOIS.  MEANWHILE...FLASH FLOOD AND
FLOOD WATCHES EXTEND FROM NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA EASTWARD ALONG THE
OHIO VALLEY...ACROSS THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND INTO THE
NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF BILL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 37.1 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 90.1 WEST.  AFTER SPENDING
THREE DAYS OVER LAND...TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL CONTINUES TO
MAINTAIN A WELL-DEFINED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION AS IT TRACKS WELL
INLAND OVER SATURATED GROUNDS RESULTING FROM ANTECEDENT HEAVY
RAINS.  SATELLITE IMAGES CONTINUE TO SHOW DECENT CONVECTION AROUND
THE CENTER OF BILL ALONG WITH A PROMINENT UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW
CHANNEL TO THE NORTH.  RADAR IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW
THAT RAINBANDS HAVE BECOME MORE ACTIVE SINCE THIS MORNING TO THE
SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER...WHERE PEAK GUSTS HAVE INCREASED TO OVER
40 MPH.  IN ADDITION...THE CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS DECREASED SINCE
EARLY THIS MORNING.  BILL IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD UP THE OHIO VALLEY TONIGHT AND TOMORROW...AND
INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS BEFORE LOSING TROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS.  THEREAFTER...BILL COULD BRIEFLY RESTRENGTHEN
WHEN IT MOVES DOWN THE LEE SIDE OF THE APPALACHIANS ON SUNDAY AS A
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC AND SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND COAST.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 25 MPH...40 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...BILL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF
RAIN UP ALONG THE OHIO VALLEY INTO WEST VIRGINIA WHILE 1 TO 3
INCHES ARE EXPECTED FARTHER EAST INTO THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC
REGION.  THESE RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE THE THREAT FOR FLASH
FLOODING...PARTICULARLY IN REGIONS WHICH ARE ALREADY SATURATED
FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 1 PM CDT

...ARKANSAS...
ROGERS 2.1 SE                        4.42                     
BENTONVILLE                          4.27                     
FAYETTEVILLE/SPRINGDALE              4.03                     
HARRISON/BOONE CO. ARPT              3.85                     
DELIGHT 2.2 WNW                      3.74                     
SPRINGDALE 6.4 WSW                   3.31                     
SILOAM SPRINGS/SMITH FIELD           3.24                     
TEXARKANA RGNL ARPT                  2.67                     
EUREKA SPRINGS 4.0 WNW               2.62                     
SPRINGFIELD/CAPITAL ARPT             2.49                     

...ILLINOIS...
SCOTT AFB/BELLEVILLE                 4.98                     
SULLIVAN 3 S                         4.89                     
ALLENVILLE 1 S                       4.50                     
ELBURN                               4.45                     
SOUTH CAROL STREAM                   4.11                     
BATAVIA                              3.87                     
ROCHELLE                             3.43                     
MANHATTAN 5 SSE                      3.26                     
OAK PARK 1 SE                        3.07                     
MATTOON                              3.03                     
DIXON 2 SW                           2.64                     
NEWTON                               2.58                     
TUSCOLA                              2.29                     
NORTH AURORA 2 E                     2.23                     
STE. MARIE                           2.11                     
GENEVA                               2.10                     

...INDIANA...
GRISSOM AFB/PERU                     6.72                     
FORT WAYNE/BAER FIELD                4.49                     
BLOOMINGTON/MONROE CO. ARPT          3.87                     
MOROCCO                              3.70                     
MUNCIE/JOHNSON FIELD                 3.15                     
NEW ROSS 2 E                         2.87                     
ANDERSON 5 NW                        2.30                     
INDIANAPOLIS INTL ARPT               1.92                     
EVANSVILLE RGNL ARPT                 1.81                     
CHESTERTON                           1.70                     

...KANSAS...
COFFEYVILLE MUNI ARPT                3.64                     
OLATHE/JOHNSON                       1.79                     
COLLYER 2.1 SE                       1.45                     

...LOUISIANA...
SHREVEPORT RGNL ARPT                 4.79                     
BOSSIER CITY 6.7 NNW                 3.84                     
SHREVEPORT 5.3 SSE                   2.42                     
PLAIN DEALING 3.0 ESE                2.13                     
RUSTON 1.6 NW                        1.85                     

...MISSOURI...
SPRINGFIELD 7 S                      5.50                     
MARSHFIELD 3.6 S                     5.48                     
NIXA 2.7 SSW                         4.72                     
NIANGUA                              4.37                     
FORNEY AAF/FORT LEONARDWOOD          4.21                     
SOUTH SPRINGFIELD                    3.10                     
COLUMBIA RGNL ARPT                   2.94                     
LITTON AGRI-SCI CNTR                 2.86                     
JOPLIN RGNL ARPT                     2.60                     
WHITESIDE 2 E                        2.50                     
MIDDLETOWN 4 SW                      2.34                     
JEFFERSON CITY ARPT                  2.27                     
KAISER/LAKE OZARK                    2.08                     

...OKLAHOMA...
HEALDTON 3 E                        12.53                     
NEWPORT                             11.52                     
BURNEYVILLE                         10.09                     
SULPHUR 2.5 WSW                      8.63                     
RINGLING                             8.27                     
PAULS VALLEY MUNI APRT               7.35                     
SULPHUR                              7.09                     
MACOMB 5.2 ESE                       5.82                     
MARIETTA 2.8 SW                      5.57                     
ADA 0.3 NNW                          5.45                     
WEWOKA 7.4 NNW                       5.30                     
NORMAN 3.4 SE                        3.61                     
OKLAHOMA CITY 11.5 S                 2.64                     
MUSKOGEE/DAVIS FIELD AIRPORT         2.55                     
BARTLESVILLE MUNI ARPT               1.51                     

...TEXAS...
MONTAGUE                            12.50                     
GANADO 1.5 W                        11.77                     
KIRBYVILLE 1.5 SE                    9.51                     
SEALY 0.3 WNW                        9.17                     
ALICE INTL ARPT                      9.03                     
EL CAMPO 0.5 ENE                     8.57                     
VICTORIA 9 ESE                       7.73                     
ROCKPORT 1.3 WSW                     7.51                     
MANOR 4.7 WSW                        7.30                     
WF SAN JACINTO                       7.06                     
LUFKIN/ANGELINA CO ARPT              6.98                     
NAVASOTA 8 SE                        6.73                     
FLOUR BLUFF 7 SW                     6.59                     
ARANSAS PASS 1 SSE                   6.46                     
SAN FELIPE 1.0 WNW                   6.15                     
CORPUS CHRISTI                       6.14                     
AUSTIN 4.2 ESE                       5.80                     
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT                2.91                     
HOUSTON/INTERCONTINENTAL             2.51                     
FORT WORTH NAS                       2.34                     


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 1000 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER KONG

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 19/2100Z 37.1N 90.1W
12HR VT 20/0600Z 37.5N 88.3W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HR VT 20/1800Z 38.8N 83.9W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
36HR VT 21/0600Z 39.2N 78.2W...POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 21/1800Z 40.9N 72.7W...EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT 22/1800Z 43.0N 60.0W...EXTRATROPICAL