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Tropical Depression CINDY Advisory Number 14
 
Issued 03:00Z Jun 23, 2017
 
Advisory Selection
View advisory number:  20   19   18   17   16   15   14   13   


TROPICAL DEPRESSION CINDY ADVISORY NUMBER 14...CORRECTED
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL032017
1100 PM EDT THU JUN 22 2017

CORRECTED FOR CYCLONE TYPE IN FORECAST.


...TROPICAL DEPRESSION CINDY CONTINUES TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL
FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST AND INTO
THE OHIO VALLEY...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.1N 93.5W
ABOUT 80 MILES...130 KM...NNE OF SHREVEPORT LOUISIANA.
ABOUT 70 MILES...115 KM...SW OF LITTLE ROCK ARKANSAS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...20 MPH...30 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND MOST OF MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA.
FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FROM EASTERN TEXAS TO THE OHIO
VALLEY INCLUDING PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND
TENNESSEE VALLEY.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF CINDY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.1 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 93.5 WEST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION
CINDY IS CAUSING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ROTATING
AROUND ITS CENTER THROUGH THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.  RADAR AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS IN EXTREME
EASTERN TEXAS AND LOUISIANA WITHIN ITS SOUTHERN PERIPHERY...WITH
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVING NORTHWARD ACROSS
ARKANSAS.  THERE IS A SECONDARY PLUME OF MOISTURE MOVING ACROSS
EASTERN MISSISSIPPI...ALABAMA..AND NORTHERN GEORGIA THAT IS
PRODUCING THUNDERSTORMS. A SWATH OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN IS ALSO
MOVING NORTHWARD THROUGH THE TENNESSEE AND OHIO VALLEYS AND INTO
THE WESTERN CAROLINAS.  TROPICAL DEPRESSION CINDY WILL SLOWLY
WEAKEN AS IT TURNS TO THE NORTHEAST...ENTERING WESTERN TENNESSEE
AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY BY FRIDAY EVENING.  THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH
THIS STORM IS MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN THROUGHOUT THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...SOUTHEAST...AND EASTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 20 MPH...30 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...TROPICAL DEPRESSION CINDY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 2 TO 4
INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...FROM NORTHERN LOUISIANA
INTO WESTERN TENNESSEE...AND INTO KENTUCKY AND THE CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS.  THESE RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE THE FLASH
FLOOD THREAT ACROSS THESE REGIONS...SOME OF WHICH COULD BE LIFE
THREATENING ESPECIALLY ACROSS LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 8 PM EDT

...ALABAMA...
PRATTVILLE 1 N                       6.80                     
MOBILE/BATES FIELD                   6.65                     
EVERGREEN                            5.97                     
GREENVILLE 2 WSW                     4.40                     
EXCEL 3 ESE                          4.30                     
REPTON 6 S                           4.00                     
URIAH 8 W                            3.90                     
POLLARD 2 N                          3.70                     
DANNELLY FIELD 1 W                   3.70                     
MONTGOMERY COUNTRY 2 E               3.60                     
MONTGOMERY/DANNELLY                  3.53                     
BAY MINETTE 11 N                     3.50                     
TUSCALOOSA MUNI ARPT                 3.41                     

...FLORIDA...
NAVARRE                              8.30                     
PENSACOLA RGNL ARPT                  8.28                     
JOHNSONS BEACH 3 NNE                 8.00                     
MILTON/WHITING FIELD NAS             6.36                     
PENSACOLA 4 W                        6.10                     
APALACHICOLA MUNI ARPT               5.34                     
PANAMA CITY BEACH 0.3 SW             5.20                     
VALPARAISO/EGLIN AFB                 5.16                     
CRESTVIEW/BOB SIKES                  5.08                     
DESTIN AIRPORT                       4.95                     
HURLBURT FIELD AWS                   4.66                     
TYNDALL AFB/PANAMA CITY              4.49                     
GONZALEZ 3 NNW                       3.50                     
NICEVILLE 2 SE                       3.30                     
ELGIN AFB 6 NE                       3.30                     

...LOUISIANA...
CONTRABAND BAYOU                     4.52                     
SULPHUR 2 E                          4.30                     
WESTLAKE                             4.22                     
BOOTHVILLE                           4.21                     
HOUMA 4 SE                           4.10                     
NEW ORLEANS/MOISANT                  4.08                     
TIMBERLANE                           3.80                     
CHAUVIN 3 NNE                        3.80                     
BELLE CHASSE 2 NNE                   3.50                     
SLIDELL                              3.37                     
LAKE CHARLES 5 SSE                   3.00                     
DENHAM SPRINGS 4 NE                  2.60                     
BATON ROUGE 4 E                      2.40                     
RAGLEY 5 SE                          2.10                     
PONCHATOULA 1 SW                     1.70                     

...MISSISSIPPI...
OCEAN SPRINGS 2 E                   12.30                     
KEESLER AFB/BILOXI                   8.71                     
GULFPORT-BILOXI                      8.58                     
WIGGINS                              8.50                     
PASCAGOULA                           5.38                     
WAYNESBORO 5 WNW                     4.00                     
HATTIESBURG/CHAIN MUNI ARPT          3.80                     
PURVIS 14 ESE                        3.40                     
DIAMONDHEAD 1 E                      3.40                     
BILOXI 13 NNW                        3.40                     
ACKERMAN 5 W                         3.40                     
COLUMBIA 3 NNE                       3.30                     
PHILADELPHIA 5 SW                    3.20                     

...TENNESSEE...
PULASKI 8 ENE                        1.20                     
FAYETTEVILLE 1 SSW                   1.10                     
CORNERSVILLE 11 SSE                  1.00                     

...TEXAS...
MAHAW BAYOU                          5.36                     
STAR LAKE                            4.76                     
SEA RIM STATE PARK 4 WNW             3.96                     
SABINE RANCH                         3.35                     
KIRBYVILLE 2 SE                      2.90                     
GALVESTON 6 NE                       2.90                     
LEAGUE CITY 3 NE                     2.50                     
BROADDUS 15 SE                       2.50                     
KEMAH 0.2 WNW                        2.30                     
BEAUMONT 5 S                         2.30                     
LUMBERTON 1 WNW                      2.20                     
BUNA 1 N                             2.10                     
NASSAU BAY 2 NNW                     1.90                     
BAFLIFF 1 SSE                        1.90                     


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT  500 AM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER KREKELER

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 23/0300Z 33.1N 93.5W
12HR VT 23/1200Z 35.0N 91.0W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HR VT 24/0000Z 37.3N 85.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36HR VT 24/1200Z 39.1N 77.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48HR VT 25/0000Z 41.5N 69.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP