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Tropical Depression CINDY Advisory Number 16
 
Issued 15:00Z Jun 23, 2017
 
Advisory Selection
View advisory number:  20   19   18   17   16   15   14   13   


TROPICAL DEPRESSION CINDY ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL032017
1100 AM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION CINDY CONTINUES TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LOWER AND MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...36.1N 89.6W
ABOUT 50 MILES...81 KM...NW OF JACKSON/MCKELLAR TENNESSEE.
ABOUT 75 MILES...121 KM...NNE OF MEMPHIS  TENNESSEE.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE INTERIOR
SOUTHEAST...ACROSS THE LOWER AND MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEYS...AND
INTO THE TENNESSEE AND OHIO VALLEYS.

FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF LOWER AND
MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF CINDY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 36.1 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 89.6 WEST. UNDER INCREASING
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR...THE CIRCULATION OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION CINDY
HAS BECOME ELONGATED THIS MORNING.  SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE
THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER OF CINDY REMAINS INTACT WITH WINDS
GUSTING TO 46 MPH REPORTED IN MEMPHIS TENNESSEE DURING THE PAST
HOUR.  HOWEVER...ANIMATION OF SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATES THAT THE
CIRCULATION IS RATHER SHALLOW AS INCREASING UPPER-LEVEL
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW MOVES OVER THE SURFACE CENTER.  TO THE SOUTH OF
CINDY...THUNDERSTORMS ARE ORGANIZING INTO AN ELONGATED BAND WHICH
EXTENDS DOWN INTO LOUISIANA.  TROPICAL DEPRESSION CINDY IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL THIS AFTERNOON AS IT CONTINUES TO
LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AND SHOULD BECOME EXTRATROPICAL BY
EARLY SATURDAY WHEN A FAST-MOVING COLD FRONT MERGES WITH THE
REMNANT CIRCULATION OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION.  THE PRIMARY
THREAT WITH THIS STORM WILL CONTINUE TO BE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN
FROM THE LOWER AND MISSISSIPPI VALLEY NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
TENNESSEE AND OHIO VALLEYS INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS THROUGH
TONIGHT BEFORE RAPIDLY MOVING OFF THE EAST COAST ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...TROPICAL DEPRESSION CINDY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 2 TO 4
INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES OR MORE
POSSIBLE...ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...INTO THE
TENNESSEE AND OHIO VALLEYS...AND ACROSS THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS. 
THESE RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT ACROSS
THESE REGIONS...SOME OF WHICH COULD BE LIFE THREATENING ESPECIALLY
ACROSS LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 8 AM EDT

...ALABAMA...
PRATTVILLE 1 N                       6.80                     
MOBILE/BATES FIELD                   6.65                     
EVERGREEN                            5.97                     
GREENVILLE 2 WSW                     4.40                     
TUSCALOOSA MUNI ARPT                 4.35                     
EXCEL 3 ESE                          4.30                     
REPTON 6 S                           4.00                     
URIAH 8 W                            3.90                     
POLLARD 2 N                          3.70                     
DANNELLY FIELD 1 W                   3.70                     
MONTGOMERY COUNTRY 2 E               3.60                     
MONTGOMERY/DANNELLY                  3.53                     
BAY MINETTE 11 N                     3.50                     

...ARKANSAS...
MONTICELLO AIRPORT                   3.69                     

...FLORIDA...
NAVARRE                              8.30                     
PENSACOLA RGNL ARPT                  8.28                     
JOHNSONS BEACH 3 NNE                 8.00                     
MILTON/WHITING FIELD NAS             6.36                     
PENSACOLA 4 W                        6.10                     
APALACHICOLA MUNI ARPT               5.34                     
PANAMA CITY BEACH 0.3 SW             5.20                     
VALPARAISO/EGLIN AFB                 5.16                     
CRESTVIEW/BOB SIKES                  5.08                     
DESTIN AIRPORT                       4.95                     
HURLBURT FIELD AWS                   4.66                     
TYNDALL AFB/PANAMA CITY              4.49                     
GONZALEZ 3 NNW                       3.50                     
NICEVILLE 2 SE                       3.30                     
ELGIN AFB 6 NE                       3.30                     

...GEORGIA...
STARRSVILLE                          6.85                     

...LOUISIANA...
CONTRABAND BAYOU                     4.52                     
SULPHUR 2 E                          4.30                     
WESTLAKE                             4.22                     
BOOTHVILLE                           4.21                     
HOUMA 4 SE                           4.10                     
NEW ORLEANS/MOISANT                  4.08                     
TIMBERLANE                           3.80                     
CHAUVIN 3 NNE                        3.80                     
BELLE CHASSE 2 NNE                   3.50                     
SLIDELL                              3.37                     
LAKE CHARLES 5 SSE                   3.00                     
DENHAM SPRINGS 4 NE                  2.60                     
BATON ROUGE 4 E                      2.40                     
RAGLEY 5 SE                          2.10                     
PONCHATOULA 1 SW                     1.70                     

...MISSISSIPPI...
OCEAN SPRINGS 2 E                   12.30                     
KEESLER AFB/BILOXI                   8.71                     
GULFPORT-BILOXI                      8.58                     
WIGGINS                              8.50                     
PASCAGOULA                           5.38                     
WAYNESBORO 5 WNW                     4.00                     
HATTIESBURG/CHAIN MUNI ARPT          3.80                     
PURVIS 14 ESE                        3.40                     
DIAMONDHEAD 1 E                      3.40                     
BILOXI 13 NNW                        3.40                     
ACKERMAN 5 W                         3.40                     
COLUMBIA 3 NNE                       3.30                     
PHILADELPHIA 5 SW                    3.20                     

...TENNESSEE...
PULASKI 8 ENE                        1.20                     
FAYETTEVILLE 1 SSW                   1.10                     
CORNERSVILLE 11 SSE                  1.00                     

...TEXAS...
MAHAW BAYOU                          5.36                     
STAR LAKE                            4.76                     
SEA RIM STATE PARK 4 WNW             3.96                     
SABINE RANCH                         3.35                     
KIRBYVILLE 2 SE                      2.90                     
GALVESTON 6 NE                       2.90                     
LEAGUE CITY 3 NE                     2.50                     
BROADDUS 15 SE                       2.50                     
KEMAH 0.2 WNW                        2.30                     
BEAUMONT 5 S                         2.30                     
LUMBERTON 1 WNW                      2.20                     
BUNA 1 N                             2.10                     
NASSAU BAY 2 NNW                     1.90                     
BAFLIFF 1 SSE                        1.90                     


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT  500 PM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER KONG

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 23/1500Z 36.1N 89.6W
12HR VT 24/0000Z 36.8N 85.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROPICAL
24HR VT 24/1200Z 38.8N 75.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROPICAL