PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 19 FOR REMNANTS OF T. D. FAY
NATIONAL CENTERS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL PREDICTION
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...NWS...CAMP SPRINGS MD
4 AM CDT TUE 10 SEP 2002
...THE REMNANTS OF "FAY" IN MEXICO HEADING SOUTHWEST...
...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH WEBB COUNTY IN
TEXAS UNTIL 445 AM CDT...
...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BRAZORIA...AND EASTERN
MATAGORDA COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS UNTIL 5 AM CDT...
...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS... AND
THE SOUTHERNMOST PORTIONS OF THE HILL COUNTRY UNTIL 6 AM...
...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH TEXAS...
...RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE NUECES ...RIO GRANDE...
AND SAN ANTONIO RIVERS ...AND THE SAN MIGUEL CREEK IN TEXAS...
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF "FAY"
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.0 N...LONGITUDE 99.9 W...OR 45 MILES
SOUTH OF LAREDO TEXAS.
THE STORM HAS MOVED SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AT 5 MPH INTO MEXICO
OVERNIGHT AND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE IN THIS DIRECTION THROUGH THE
MORNING.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 15 MPH NEAR THE CENTER OF THE
REMNANT LOW. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS CONCENTRATED
IN SOUTH TEXAS WHILE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE LINGERING IN
THE EASTERN HALF OF THE STATE. AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF
RAINFALL IS EXPECTED NEAR THE STORM CENTER AS THE REMNANTS OF
"FAY " MOVES FURTHER SOUTH-SOUTHWEST INTO MEXICO.
SELECTED 30 HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS (THROUGH 1 AM CDT):
LOCATION AMOUNT
========= =======
HONDO...TX 3.30"
ROCKPORT...TX 2.32"
PALACIOS...TX 2.12"
ALICE...TX 1.82"
SELECTED 90 HOUR STORM TOTALS (THROUGH 1 AM CDT):
LOCATION AMOUNT
========= =======
KELLY AFB...TX 10.86"
HONDO...TX 8.60"
GALVESTON...TX 6.77"
SAN ANTONIO (STINSON)...TX 6.17"
SAN ANTONIO AP...TX 5.01"
ROCKPORT...TX 4.45"
HOUSTON (CLOVER)...TX 4.41"
BURNETT...TX 4.37"
REPEATING THE 4 AM CDT POSITION...27.0N...99.0W...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT
5 MPH... MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 15 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE
1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER AT 10 AM CDT.
KELLS / FORECAST OPERATIONS BRANCH