THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER

CAMP SPRINGS, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 02 FOR AUTUMN MID-ATLANTIC TO NORTHEAST U.S.
MAJOR WINTER STORM
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
1100 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011
 
...A RARE OCTOBER WINTER STORM FOR THE MID-ATLANTIC AND
NORTHEASTERN STATES TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. HEAVY WET
SNOW...COMBINED WITH NEARLY FULLY LEAFED TREES...COULD LEAD TO
EXTENSIVE DOWNED TREES AND POWER OUTAGES...                     
 
WINTER STORM WATCHES HAVE BEEN ISSUED FROM THE BORDER REGIONS OF
WEST VIRGINIA AND VIRGINIA...NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE
MID-ATLANTIC REGION AND INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.
 
FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 1000 AM EDT...A COLD FRONT EXTENDED FROM JUST OFF THE SOUTH
CAROLINA COAST WESTWARD TO LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OVER THE
SOUTHERN GULF COAST STATES. UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR CONTINUES TO
POUR INTO THE NORTHEASTERN U.S. AT THE SAME TIME...DEEP TROPICAL
MOISTURE IS POISED TO LIFT NORTHWARD TONIGHT ALONG THE EAST COAST
AND FUEL AN EXPANDING AREA OF HEAVY RAIN AND SNOW.


THE SURFACE LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF COAST REGION IS FORECAST TO
LIFT NORTHEASTWARD TO CENTRAL GEORGIA BY FRIDAY EVENING...AND TO
THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST BY SATURDAY MORNING. LIGHT PRECIPITATION
HAS SPREAD INTO SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WILL CONTINUE LIFTING
NORTHEASTWARD. MOST OF THIS PRECIPITATION WILL FALL IN THE FORM OF
RAIN...WITH SNOW IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS DURING FRIDAY. THE
PRECIPITATION WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD AND HEAVIER...FRIDAY
NIGHT...WITH RAIN SPREADING ACROSS MOST OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND
SNOW DEVELOPING ACROSS MUCH OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS. BY SATURDAY MORNING...AS COLDER AIR WORKS INTO THE
REGION...THE SNOW WILL SPREAD TO LOWER ELEVATIONS...WITH
ACCUMULATING SNOWS POSSIBLE ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF THE I-95
CORRIDOR...FROM WASHINGTON D.C. TO NEW YORK CITY. SNOW WILL SPREAD
INTO NEW ENGLAND LATE SATURDAY. TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES ARE FORECAST FROM THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF VIRGINIA AND WEST
VIRGINIA NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND INTO
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 10
INCHES ARE FORECAST TO FALL IN A BAND FROM EXTREME NORTHERN
MARYLAND NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND INTO
WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS. ISOLATED AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF A FOOT ARE
POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA.
LIGHTER SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE MAJOR CITIES OF
THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST...INCLUDING WASHINGTON
D.C...BALTIMORE...PHILADELPHIA...NEW YORK CITY...AND BOSTON. SOME
UNCERTAINTY REMAINS AS TO THE EXACT TRACK OF THE SURFACE
LOW...WHICH WILL DETERMINE EXACTLY WHERE THE HEAVIEST SNOW FALLS.
HEAVY WET SNOWS ACCUMULATING ON TREES THAT HAVE NOT YET LOST
LEAVES MAY LEAD TO DOWNED TREES AND POWER OUTAGES. PLEASE REFER TO
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE FOR DETAILS
SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER AT 500 PM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS
EVENT.

ECKERT




Last Updated: 1051 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011