THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 02 FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS TO NORTHEAST U.S.
WINTER STORM AND HEAVY RAIN
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
300 PM CST SAT DEC 21 2013

...AN EXPANSIVE STORM SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BRING WINTER
WEATHER...HEAVY RAIN...AND THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER TO PLACES
FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE NORTHEAST...       

WINTER STORM WARNINGS AND WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT
FOR A LARGE AREA COVERING PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
PLAINS...THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND UPPER MIDWEST...AND THE
UPPER GREAT LAKES. A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR
NORTHERN MAINE.

ICE STORM WARNINGS AND FREEZING RAIN ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY...AND THE NORTHEAST.

FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND ADVISORIES ARE IN
EFFECT FOR A WIDE SWATH EXTENDING FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY...THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY...AND INTO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES
REGION.

HIGH WIND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR A SMALL AREA OF WEST
TEXAS...WIND ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR ADDITIONAL PORTIONS OF
WEST TEXAS AS WELL AS MUCH OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER
VALLEY...TENNESSEE VALLEY...OHIO VALLEY AND THE SOUTHEAST.

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 200 PM CST...A STRONG FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDED FROM THE LOWER
GREAT LAKES TO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...AND WAS NEARLY STATIONARY
FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO THE GREAT LAKES. A WAVE OF
LOW PRESSURE ALONG THIS BOUNDARY WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 998
MB...29.48 INCHES... WAS LOCATED IN SOUTHERN ARKANSAS. THE PORTION
OF THE FRONT EXTENDING SOUTHWARD FROM THE LOW WAS MOVING IN AN
EASTERLY DIRECTION ACROSS FAR EAST TEXAS AND INTO LOUISIANA.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADARS AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATED
A LARGE AREA OF PRECIPITATION FALLING ALONG AND BEHIND THIS
BOUNDARY FROM THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS TO THE NORTHEAST. A
LARGE AREA OF FREEZING RAIN WAS BEING REPORTED ACROSS CENTRAL AND
EASTERN OKLAHOMA...EASTERN KANSAS...AND NORTHERN MISSOURI AND
ILLINOIS. THE BACK EDGE OF THIS FREEZING RAIN WAS BEGINNING TO
TRANSITION TO SNOW...ESPECIALLY ACROSS PARTS OF THE OKLAHOMA AND
TEXAS PANHANDLE. ELSEWHERE...MAINLY LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN WAS
FALLING JUST BEHIND THE BOUNDARY ACROSS THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY AND OHIO VALLEY. ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS THE
LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY...MORE
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WAS FALLING WITH SOME EMBEDDED STRONG TO
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 700 AM CST FRI DEC
20 THROUGH 200 PM CST SAT DEC 21...

...ARKANSAS...
TRUMANN                               5.70                    
MACON 2 N                             4.75                    
SOUTH BEND                            4.72                    
SALTILLO                              4.03                    
JONES MILL                            3.82                    
MALVERN 6.5 NNW                       3.74                    
WATSON CHAPEL                         3.50                    
LITTLE ROCK 4.2 NW                    3.37                    
SHERWOOD 1.8 NNW                      3.37                    
CATO 3 SSE                            3.36                    
CARLISLE 3.3 W                        3.14                    
GRIFFITHVILLE 0.1 ENE                 3.00                    

...ILLINOIS...
ROUND KNOB                            5.82                    
PLUMFIELD                             3.79                    
BUSH 2 ESE                            3.78                    
MURPHYSBORO                           3.52                    
BELKNAP 11.1 ESE                      3.37                    
OLMSTED                               2.58                    
CAIRO                                 2.15                    

...INDIANA...
VINCENNES 4 E                         3.70                    
NEW CASTLE 4.6 SSE                    2.80                    
BLOOMINGTON 5 SW                      2.50                    
INDIANAPOLIS 8.4 ESE                  2.49                    
EVANSVILLE                            2.41                    
BROOKLYN 0.5 ENE                      2.40                    
GREENWOOD                             2.40                    
NEW PALESTINE 1.2 NW                  2.34                    
WILLIAMS 3 SW                         2.15                    
MOORESVILLE 6.1 SSE                   2.14                    

...KENTUCKY...
HENDERSON 0.4 SSW                     2.18                    
CORYDON 4.3 NE                        2.03                    

...MISSOURI...
JACKSON                               4.00                    
POPLAR BLUFF 7 NW                     3.98                    
AVA 13.6 SSE                          2.53                    
ELLSINORE 4.8 WNW                     2.08                    

...OHIO...
BOTKINS                               1.46                    
SHARONVILLE 1 SE                      1.32                    

...TENNESSEE...
DYERSBURG MUNI ARPT                   1.91                    

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL SLEET IN INCHES FROM 700 AM CST FRI DEC 20
THROUGH 200 PM CST SAT DEC 21...

...KANSAS...
SEDAN                                 0.50                    

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL FREEZING RAIN ICE AMOUNTS IN INCHES FROM
700 AM CST FRI DEC 20 THROUGH 200 PM CST SAT DEC 21...

...ARKANSAS...
SILOAM SPRINGS                        0.10                    

...IOWA...
CEDAR RAPIDS 1 SSE                    0.10                    

...ILLINOIS...
DEER GROVE 3 WNW                      0.10                    
MACKINAW                              0.10                    

...KANSAS...
OSWEGO                                0.50                    
SYCAMORE                              0.50                    
CHAUTAUQUA                            0.40                    
COLUMBUS 7 W                          0.25                    
ERIE                                  0.25                    
FREDONIA                              0.25                    
HOWARD 5 W                            0.25                    
IOLA                                  0.25                    
DEVON                                 0.20                    
PITTSBURGH                            0.20                    
WINFIELD 3 NE                         0.10                    

...MICHIGAN...
GREENVILLE                            0.25                    
SAGINAW                               0.10                    

...MISSOURI...
COLUMBUS 7 WNW                        0.50                    
JEFFERSON CITY                        0.30                    
VERONA                                0.30                    
ASHLAND 4 NNE                         0.26                    
JOPLIN                                0.25                    
OSCEOLA                               0.25                    
PALMYRA                               0.25                    
REPUBLIC                              0.25                    
SARCOXIE 1 W                          0.25                    
SPRINGFIELD 4 WNW                     0.25                    
ASH GROVE                             0.20                    
CROCKER                               0.15                    

...NEW YORK...
POTSDAM                               0.50                    
SOUTH COLTON 3 WSW                    0.33                    

...OKLAHOMA...
ANADARKO                              0.96                    
FORT COBB                             0.75                    
GRAINOLA                              0.60                    
GLENPOOL                              0.50                    
WHITE OAK                             0.50                    
OWASSO                                0.40                    
TULSA 5 ESE                           0.37                    
PRAGUE 8 N                            0.35                    
COLLINSVILLE 2 SE                     0.25                    
VINSON 10 NW                          0.12                    

...TEXAS...
ELECTRA                               0.12                    

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL IN INCHES FROM 700 AM CST FRI DEC
20 THROUGH 200 PM CST SAT DEC 21...

...TEXAS...
HEREFORD 28 NW                        3.5                    
CHANNING                              3.0                    
DALHART                               3.0                    
HARTLEY                               2.8                    
DUMAS                                 2.0                    
ADRIAN                                1.5                    
AMARILLO 7 ENE                        1.3                    


THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND
OHIO VALLEY. THIS WILL RESULT IN THE BAND OF PRECIPITATION
REMAINING OVER THESE AREAS FOR A LONGER PERIOD OF TIME. BY THIS
EVENING...THE SURFACE LOW IN ARKANSAS IS FORECAST TO DEEPEN AND
SHOULD BECOME THE PRIMARY SURFACE LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THIS STORM
SYSTEM. AS ABUNDANT WARM AND UNSTABLE AIR STREAMS NORTHWARD INTO
THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI...TENNESSEE.. AND OHIO VALLEYS TODAY...THE
THREATS OF FLASH FLOODING AND SEVERE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE. FOR
MORE DETAILS ON THE SEVERE WEATHER ASPECT OF THIS EVENT...PLEASE
REFER TO PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER...AS WELL
AS BY YOUR LOCAL NWS FORECAST OFFICE. THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...AN
ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE FROM THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE OHIO VALLEY AND LOWER GREAT LAKES.
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN
THUNDERSTORMS...AND FLASH FLOODING IS A SIGNIFICANT THREAT. HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO ACCOMPANY THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE
BOUNDARY AS IT MOVES INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. TOMORROW.

ON THE COLD SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY...SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS
OF A QUARTER TO A HALF INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM PARTS OF THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE MIDWEST AND GREAT LAKES. HEAVIER ICE
ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHEAST...FROM NORTHERN NEW YORK AND VERMONT EASTWARD TO MAINE.
SOME OF THIS PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY CHANGE OVER TO SNOW WITH
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE FOR PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN
AND CENTRAL PLAINS TO THE UPPER MIDWEST AND GREAT LAKES. BY SUNDAY
MORNING...THE SURFACE LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWARD TOWARDS
THE GREAT LAKES... WHICH SHOULD BRING THE PRECIPITATION TO AN END
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 900 PM CST. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.

MONARSKI




Last Updated: 419 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013