THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER
COLLEGE PARK, MD
STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE
STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 12 FOR SOUTHEAST U.S. HEAVY RAIN AND COASTAL
STORM
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1100 AM EDT MON OCT 05 2015
...HISTORIC AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING OCCURRING AND EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY FOR PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS....
COASTAL FLOOD WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS
OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND CAROLINA COASTS.
FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND ADVISORIES...REMAIN
IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND SOUTH CAROLINA.
WIND ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT ACROSS THE CAROLINAS COAST.
FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV
AT 1000 AM EDT...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE
OF 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 115 MILES EAST OFF
THE COAST OF CHARLESTON...SOUTH CAROLINA. A STATIONARY FRONTAL
BOUNDARY EXTENDED NORTHWARD ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA COASTLINE. A
DEEP PLUME OF TROPICAL MOISTURE STREAMING WESTWARD...PARTLY
ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE JOAQUIN...WAS INTERACTING WITH THIS
FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND A STRONG UPPER-LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO
PRODUCE RAIN ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST. NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE RADARS AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATED RAIN WAS
GENERALLY LIGHT ACROSS EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...WITH AREAS OF
MODERATE RAIN ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA WHILE THE HEAVIER RAIN
WAS JUST OFFSHORE. A FEW PATCHES OF LIGHT RAIN WAS FALLING OVER
NORTHERN GEORGIA...WESTERN SOUTH CAROLINA. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
ACROSS THE CAROLINAS IS WEAKENING BUT STRONGER WINDS WILL BE ALONG
THE COAST. THE WIND SPEED WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH OVER THE NEXT
24 TO 48 HOURS. LIKEWISE...PERSISTENT AND STRONG EASTERLY FLOW
WILL SLOWLY COME TO AN END OVER THE CAROLINAS.
...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 800 AM EDT THU OCT
01 THROUGH 1000 AM EDT MON OCT 05...
...GEORGIA...
DAHLONEGA 6 NW 5.14
CLEVELAND 1 NE 4.33
CARNESVILLE 4.26
ST SIMONS ISLAND 4.20
SAUTEE 3 W 4.09
ELBERTON 3.82
BAXLEY 3.43
BRUNSWICK/MALCOLM MCKINNON AP 3.38
ALTO 4 SE 3.29
R.H.BANDY STEAM PLANT (TVA) 3.27
ABBEVILLE 4S 2.90
ROME 6SW 2.71
TOCCOA 2.55
ALMA/BACON CO. ARPT 2.51
HAWKINSVILLE 2.50
CHARLOTTE 2.31
...NORTH CAROLINA...
CALABASH 1 NNW 21.63
SUNSET BEACH 1.7 WNW 18.79
MICHAEL J SMITH AP 17.92
LELAND 2.2 SW 14.85
LONGWOOD 1 NW 13.63
BILLY MITCHELL AP 13.15
NEWPORT WFO (MHXN7) 12.25
GREENVILLE (GREN7) 11.16
WILMINGTON AIRPORT 8.79
LAKE WACCAMAW 3 S 8.63
ELIZABETHTOWN 4 NNE 8.01
OAKBORO 1 WNW 7.76
RAEFORD 9.6 E 7.43
POPE AFB 7.33
FORT BRAGG 7.00
BENSON 1 SSW 6.87
ROCKINGHAM 0.6 WSW 6.72
CAMERON 8 E 6.71
WILSON 2 NNW 6.52
ANSON COUNTY ARPT 6.32
TABOR CITY 4 NE 6.13
ALBEMARLE 5.1 SSE 6.11
HARRELLS 0.7 SE 5.90
PINETOPS 5.79
RALEIGH-DURHAM INTL AIRPORT 3.76
...SOUTH CAROLINA...
CAINHOY 3 ESE 26.88
BOONE HALL PLANTATION 3 NNE 24.23
MOUNT PLEASANT 24.23
CHARLESTON 5.4 SSE 23.61
SHADOWMOSS 3 SSW 23.51
KINGSTREE 9.5 NW 23.35
FOLLY BEACH 2.5 SW 21.45
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH 1.4 ENE 21.17
LONGS 3 SE 21.14
HUGER 5 NNW 21.04
GILLS CREEK 20.28
GEORGETOWN 4.9 NNE 19.72
LIMERICK 1 NNW 19.71
SHAW AFB 19.32
WATEREE 18.90
KIAWAH ISLAND 4 NNW 18.25
SUMMERVILLE 3 NW 17.23
JAMES ISLAND COUNTY PARK 1 NNE 17.00
CHARLESTON AIRPORT 16.61
LITTLE RIVER 1 N 16.00
GARRIS LANDING 2 NNW 15.81
SANTEE 14.84
HUGER 3 NNE 14.68
SANGAREE 2 NE 14.51
CHARLESTON NWS 13.88
GOOSE CREEK 5 E 11.26
MOUNT PLEASANT 6 NE 11.06
COLUMBIA METRO APT 10.77
FLORENCE 5 W 10.45
WANDO 1 SSW 8.76
DARLINGTON 1 W 8.17
...SELECTED PEAK WIND GUSTS IN MILES PER HOUR EARLIER IN THE
EVENT...
...DELAWARE...
BIG STONE BEACH 18 SE 58
LEWES BEACH 45
REHOBOTH BEACH 42
...MASSACHUSETTS...
NANTUCKET 47
OAK BLUFFS 45
...MARYLAND...
OXFORD 2 NNW 40
...NORTH CAROLINA...
SMITH REYNOLDS AIRPORT 43
...NEW JERSEY...
CAPE MAY 62
SEASIDE HEIGHTS 56
TUCKERTON 55
LITTLE SHEEPSHEAD CR 54
LONG BEACH ISLAND 47
OCEAN CITY 47
PORT NORRIS 19 ESE 45
SOUTH SEASIDE PARK 45
...PENNSYLVANIA...
LANDENBERG 53
...RHODE ISLAND...
CHARLESTOWN 46
...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES WHERE THE EVENT HAS
ENDED...
...DELAWARE...
NASSAU 4.45
LONG NECK 4.20
REHOBOTH BEACH 3.75
DAGSBORO 7 ENE 3.73
OCEAN VIEW 1 NW 3.50
SELBYVILLE 7 E 2.91
LEWES 2 SSW 2.75
DOVER AFB 2.61
SEAFORD 1 S 2.55
DELMAR 4 E 2.49
GEORGETOWN 6 W 2.48
MILFORD 2 W 2.01
...MARYLAND...
BISHOPVILLE 3.1 E 4.67
FENTRESS 1 WSW 4.16
OCEAN CITY MUNI ARPT 3.65
TRAPPE 4 NE 2.80
SALISBURY RGNL ARPT 2.48
PATUXENT RIVER NAS 2.11
...NEW JERSEY...
MILLVILLE MUNI ARPT 2.15
ATLANTIC CITY INTL ARPT 1.36
...PENNSYLVANIA...
PHILADELPHIA INTL ARPT 2.01
...TENNESSEE...
COLUMBIA 5.48
DEL RIO 4SE (TVA) 2.57
PRAIRIE PLAINS 2.08
...VIRGINIA...
NORFOLK NAS 3.77
LANGLEY AFB/HAMPTON 3.43
OCEANA NAS/SOUCEK 2.98
NEWPORT/WILLIAMSBURG INTL ARPT 2.49
RICHMOND 2.10
THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY
NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH TUESDAY. THE FRONT ALONG THE CAROLINA COAST
WILL SLOWLY MOVE OFF THE COAST AS THE SURFACE LOW MOVES AWAY.
TROPICAL MOISTURE AND STRONG EASTERLY FLOW WILL SLOWLY COME TO AN
END ON TUESDAY. THE RAIN WILL SLOWLY TAPER OFF WITH ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES LOCALLY OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN
SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. THESE ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL CONTINUE TO LOCALLY EXACERBATE FLASH
FLOODING PROBLEMS ACROSS THE REGION. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL
BEGIN TO DIMINISH ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST BY LATER MONDAY. GIVEN THE
ALREADY VERY WET AND SATURATED SOIL CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
REGION...SCATTERED DOWNED TREES AND POWER OUTAGES ARE STILL
POSSIBLE. COASTAL FLOODING WILL ALSO REMAIN A HAZARD THROUGH
MONDAY.
THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 500 PM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.
ZIEGENFELDER
Last Updated: 1149 AM EDT MON OCT 05 2015