THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 14 FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY HEAVY RAINFALL
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
400 PM CDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...A MULTI-DAY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOOD EVENT CONTINUES TO
PUSH EASTWARD ACROSS EAST TEXAS AND INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY... 

FLASH FLOOD WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND FLOOD ADVISORIES ARE IN
EFFECT ALONG THE IMMEDIATE GULF COAST FROM EAST TEXAS TO THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS WELL AS INLAND LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI.

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 300 PM CDT...A SURFACE LOW WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 998
MB...29.47 INCHES...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 55 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
GALVESTON...TEXAS. A STATIONARY BOUNDARY WAS LOCATED ALONG THE
GULF COAST EXTENDING EASTWARD FROM THE SURFACE LOW. DEEP TROPICAL
MOISTURE ALOFT WAS STREAMING INTO EASTERN TEXAS AND THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AHEAD OF AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM THAT WAS MOVING
THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS MOISTURE...ALONG WITH A WARM AND
UNSTABLE AIR MASS IN PLACE ALONG THE GULF COAST...WAS FOSTERING AN
ENVIRONMENT CONDUCIVE TO HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADARS AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATED
AN AREA OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL AFFECTING MAINLY SOUTHEAST
TEXAS AND THE SOUTHERN HALF OF LOUISIANA. LIGHT TO MODERATE
SHOWERS WERE OBSERVED ACROSS EAST TEXAS...NORTHERN
LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...AND MISSISSIPPI. 

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 700 AM CDT WED OCT
21 THROUGH 300 PM CDT SUN OCT 25...

...ARKANSAS...
WALDO 4.2 S                           6.18                    
CAMDEN 6.3 N                          4.55                    
TEXARKANA RGNL ARPT                   4.50                    
HOPE 0.9 SSW                          4.42                    
HOPE 12.2 S                           3.62                    
FOUKE 5.3 ENE                         3.14                    
MOUNT IDA                             2.99                    
PINE BLUFF/GRIDER FIELD               1.58                    
LITTLE ROCK/ADAMS FIELD               1.22                    

...LOUISIANA...
BARKSDALE AFB/BOSSIER CITY            6.37                    
SHREVEPORT DOWNTOWN ARPT              3.78                    
NEW ORLEANS/MOISANT                   3.71                    
BATON ROUGE 3.5 E                     3.60                    
SICILY ISLAND 3.3 WNW                 3.55                    
BIENVILLE 0.5 S                       3.52                    
FERRIDAY 1.1 NNW                      3.48                    
SHREVEPORT 6.7 S                      3.14                    
BATON ROUGE/RYAN MUNI ARPT            3.11                    
WAKEFIELD 0.9 WNW                     3.05                    
ENGLAND AFB/ALEXANDRIA                2.69                    
WHITE BAYOU NEAR ZACHARY              2.28                    
LAFAYETTE RGNL ARPT                   1.93                    
LAKE CHARLES MUNI ARPT                1.35                    
NEW IBERIA/ACADIANA                   1.25                    

...MISSISSIPPI...
NATCHEZ 8.8 S                         2.71                    
GLOSTER 1.9 SSW                       2.37                    
VICKSBURG/TALLULAH ARPT               2.09                    
NATCHEZ/HARDY                         2.00                    
VICKSBURG 12.3 S                      1.98                    
MCCOMB/LEWIS FIELD                    1.77                    

...TEXAS...
POWELL 1.0 SW                        20.15                    
CORSICANA/CAMPBELL FIELD             20.07                    
COOLIDGE 5 N                         20.00                    
RICHLAND CHAMBERS RESERVOIR          19.72                    
GRAPEVINE                            18.67                    
ASH CREEK NEAR MALONE                18.53                    
CAYUGA                               18.30                    
TRINITY RIVER AT TRINIDAD            17.43                    
KERENS 3 NW                          16.11                    
SOUTHLAKE 2 W                        15.52                    
BRANDON                              14.02                    
CEDAR CREEK RESERVOIR                13.17                    
FAYETTEVILLE 5 W                     12.79                    
RICHLAND CREEK NEAR MERTENS          12.28                    
MIDDLE SULPHUR R                     11.67                    
WACO 1.4 S                           11.39                    
ANDERSON MILL 2 SSE                  11.00                    
CADDO MILLS 4 ESE                    10.86                    
HOUSTON 1 NNE                         9.38                    
ARLINGTON MUNI ARPT                   8.93                    
DALLAS/REDBIRD ARPT                   8.45                    
DALLAS/LOVE FIELD                     8.37                    
DALLAS/FORT WORTH INTL ARPT           7.67                    
COLLEGE STATION 2.1 NNE               7.60                    
WACO-MADISON COOPER                   7.53                    
FORT HOOD/GRAY AAF                    6.99                    
FORT WORTH NAS                        6.71                    
AUSTIN 10.7 N                         6.66                    
HOUSTON/INTERCONTINENTAL              6.37                    
GALVESTON/SCHOLES                     6.07                    
AUSTIN CITY                           5.77                    
SAN ANTONIO 3 SSE                     5.71                    
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT                 4.46                    
BROWNSVILLE INTL ARPT                 4.42                    
CORPUS CHRISTI 6.5 WSW                4.29                    
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR                  1.79                    

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES WHERE THE EVENT HAS
ENDED...

...COLORADO...
TYRONE 6 SE                           2.51                    
TRINIDAD 2 ENE                        2.29                    
THATCHER 7 SSE                        2.22                    
STONINGTON 9 SE                       2.13                    
TIMPAS 13 S                           1.82                    
TWO BUTTES 12 NE                      1.70                    
HOEHNE 3 ESE                          1.53                    
DENVER INTL ARPT                      1.46                    
CAMPO 4 SW                            1.45                    
THATCHER 11 SSE                       1.23                    
RYE 2 W                               1.14                    
COLORADO CITY 7 E                     1.08                    
SWISSVALE 3 SW                        1.05                    
WESTON 6 ESE                          1.04                    

...KANSAS...
GARDEN CITY REG ARPT                  2.28                    
DODGE CITY WFO                        1.92                    
LIBERAL MUNI ARPT                     1.78                    

...NEW MEXICO...
ARTESIA 4 NNE                         2.84                    
PORTALES 1 SW                         2.75                    
GASCON 1 WNW                          2.62                    
CLOVIS 3 ENE                          2.35                    
ROSWELL 4 WNW                         2.25                    
SEDILLO 2 WNW                         1.78                    
GILA 3 NE                             1.72                    
CHAMA                                 1.65                    
MAYHILL 1 NNE                         1.60                    
SANTA FE CO. MUNI ARPT                1.58                    
LAS VEGAS MUNI ARPT                   1.52                    
CLINES CORNER                         1.48                    
ALBUQUERQUE 6 E                       1.38                    
CLIFF 6 NE                            1.34                    

...OKLAHOMA...
COLEMAN 4.6 WNW                       4.86                    
COLBERT 2.2 SSW                       4.80                    
PENNINGTON CREEK NEAR REAGAN          4.47                    
MARIETTA 2.8 SW                       4.42                    
MCGEE CREEK RESERVOIR NEAR FARRIS     3.63                    
BLUE RIVER                            3.48                    
GUYMON MUNI ARPT                      3.27                    
FORGAN 10 NW                          2.80                    
LITTLE BEAVER CREEK NEAR DUNCAN       2.29                    
MCALESTER REGIONAL ARPT               2.21                    
JIMMY CREEK NEAR MEERS                2.19                    
FOURCHE MALINE NEAR RED OAK           2.09                    
OKLAHOMA CITY                         1.35                    


THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL CONTINUE TO
PUSH EASTWARD WHILE TRANSPORTING DEEP MOISTURE AHEAD OF IT INTO
THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION.
THIS WILL CONTINUE THE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND
FLASH FLOODING OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...THE
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL FOCUS ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS...LOUISIANA...AND
PORTIONS OF MISSISSIPPI...WHERE 3 TO 7 INCHES OF RAIN...WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...WILL BE POSSIBLE. BY MONDAY...THE HEAVY
RAINFALL SHIFT TOWARD THE LOUISIANA/MISSISSIPPI BORDER WHERE 3 TO
6 INCHES OF RAIN...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...WILL BE POSSIBLE.
THIS HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO SPREAD INTO THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND DEEP SOUTH...WHERE 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED.  DYE TO ALL THE HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING WILL
CONTINUE TO BE A MAJOR THREAT FROM EAST TEXAS TO THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE. 

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 1000 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.

FANNING




Last Updated: 423 PM EDT SUN OCT 25 2015