THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER
COLLEGE PARK, MD
STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE
STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 03 FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS HEAVY RAINFALL
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1000 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015
...A MULTI-DAY HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT CONTINUES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS WITH FLASH FLOODING LIKELY...
FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF
NORTHERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN TEXAS AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
FLOOD ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR SMALL PORTIONS OF TEXAS AND
SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA.
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT ALONG THE WESTERN GULF
COAST.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF
COLORADO.
FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV
AT 900 PM CDT...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF
1009 MB...29.79 INCHES...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 80 MILES NORTHWEST OF
NORTH PLATTE...NEBRASKA. A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDED FROM THE LOW
EASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND INTO
NEW ENGLAND. IN ADDITION...A STATIONARY FRONT IS DRAPED ACROSS
NORTH-CENTRAL TEXAS AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA ALONG THE EDGE OF
CONVECTION. DEEP MOISTURE HAS BEEN INTERACTING WITH A STRONG JET
ALOFT ALONG WITH A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADARS AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATED A LARGE AREA OF MODERATE SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS SPANNED FROM CENTRAL TEXAS TO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
AND CONTINUED TO MOVE EAST-NORTHEAST. THERE WERE ALSO SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ONSHORE ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. FARTHER
NORTH...LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL WAS MOVING THROUGH COLORADO AND
EASTERN NEBRASKA...WITH THE BULK OF PRECIPITATION MOVING THROUGH
WESTERN MINNESOTA...SOUTH DAKOTA...AND EASTERN WYOMING. LIGHT TO
MODERATE SNOWFALL WAS ALSO OBSERVED FALLING ACROSS THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF COLORADO.
...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 700 AM CDT WED OCT
21 THROUGH 900 PM CDT THU OCT 22...
...COLORADO...
TYRONE 6 SE 2.51
TRINIDAD 2 ENE 2.29
THATCHER 7 SSE 2.22
STONINGTON 9 SE 2.13
TIMPAS 13 S 1.82
TWO BUTTES 12 NE 1.70
HOEHNE 3 ESE 1.53
CAMPO 4 SW 1.45
THATCHER 11 SSE 1.23
RYE 2 W 1.14
COLORADO CITY 7 E 1.08
SWISSVALE 3 SW 1.05
WESTON 6 ESE 1.04
...KANSAS...
GARDEN CITY REG ARPT 2.17
LIBERAL MUNI ARPT 1.78
...NEW MEXICO...
ARTESIA 4 NNE 2.84
PORTALES 1 SW 2.75
GASCON 1 WNW 2.62
CLOVIS 3 ENE 2.35
ROSWELL 4 WNW 2.25
SEDILLO 2 WNW 1.78
GILA 3 NE 1.72
CHAMA 1.65
MAYHILL 1 NNE 1.60
ALBUQUERQUE 6 E 1.38
CLIFF 6 NE 1.34
...OKLAHOMA...
GUYMON MUNI ARPT 3.27
FORGAN 10 NW 2.80
...TEXAS...
ANTELOPE 3.84
DENVER CITY 3.75
BEAR MOUNTAIN 3.45
ALVORD 9 NE 3.35
CANYON 3.31
LUBBOCK 6 SW 3.23
ABERNATHY 3.01
JACKSBORO 2.97
DUMAS 2.96
BRIDGEPORT 3 NNE 2.95
TRUCE 2.88
LAKE BRIDGEPORT REPEATER 2.84
JOPLIN 2.69
BOWIE 2.58
BUSHY CREEK 2.53
ODESSA-SCHLEMEYER FIELD 2.29
MIDLAND/ODESSA WFO 2.27
SWEETWATER 2.00
...SELECTED STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL IN INCHES FROM 700 AM CDT WED OCT
21 THROUGH 900 PM CDT THU OCT 22...
...COLORADO...
BRECKENRIDGE 2 SSE 3.4
TABERNASH 2 SSE 3.0
CRESTED BUTTE 2.0
FAIRPLAY N 2.0
WOODLAND PARK 1 WSW 2.0
STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL
CONTINUE TO TRANSPORT A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS OVER THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION WITH HEAVY RAINFALL
FOCUSED ON NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA FROM TONIGHT
INTO FRIDAY. THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL SHIFT SOUTH AND
EAST ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...WHICH WILL IMPACT THE MAJORITY OF
CENTRAL AND EASTERN TEXAS...SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN
ARKANSAS. A TOTAL OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS
MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND WESTERN ARKANSAS...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. FLASH FLOODING WILL BE A MAJOR CONCERN
ACROSS THE REGION DUE TO THE HEAVY RAINFALL...PARTICULARLY OVER
THE HILL COUNTRY AND IN URBAN AREAS.
THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 400 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.
FANNING
Last Updated: 1031 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2015