THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 05 FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS HEAVY RAINFALL
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1000 AM CDT FRI OCT 23 2015

...A MULTI-DAY HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT CONTINUES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS WITH FLASH FLOODING LIKELY... 

FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL TEXAS AS
WELL AS INTO SOUTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.

COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT ALONG PORTIONS OF THE
WESTERN GULF COAST.

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 900 AM CDT...A SURFACE LOW WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1010
MB...29.83 INCHES IS LOCATED ABOUT 45 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ABILENE
TEXAS. A STATIONARY BOUNDARY...SERVING AS A FOCUS FOR HEAVY
RAINFALL AND CONVECTION...WAS ORIENTED IN A SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST
DIRECTION FROM CENTRAL TEXAS TO SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA. A WARM AND
UNSTABLE AIR MASS WAS IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
WITH SOUTHEASTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW BRINGING PLENTY OF DEEP MOISTURE
INTO THE REGION. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADARS AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS INDICATED AN AREA OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED ACROSS EASTERN TEXAS AND INTO CENTERAL
ARKANSAS. ELSEWHERE...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE
AFFECTING THE WESTERN GULF COAST AND PARTS OF WESTERN TEXAS.

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 700 AM CDT WED OCT
21 THROUGH 900 AM CDT FRI OCT 23...

...COLORADO...
TYRONE 6 SE                           2.51                    
TRINIDAD 2 ENE                        2.29                    
THATCHER 7 SSE                        2.22                    
STONINGTON 9 SE                       2.13                    
TIMPAS 13 S                           1.82                    
TWO BUTTES 12 NE                      1.70                    
HOEHNE 3 ESE                          1.53                    
CAMPO 4 SW                            1.45                    
THATCHER 11 SSE                       1.23                    
RYE 2 W                               1.14                    
COLORADO CITY 7 E                     1.08                    
SWISSVALE 3 SW                        1.05                    
WESTON 6 ESE                          1.04                    

...KANSAS...
GARDEN CITY REG ARPT                  2.28                    
DODGE CITY WFO                        1.92                    
LIBERAL MUNI ARPT                     1.78                    

...NEW MEXICO...
ARTESIA 4 NNE                         2.84                    
PORTALES 1 SW                         2.75                    
GASCON 1 WNW                          2.62                    
CLOVIS 3 ENE                          2.35                    
ROSWELL 4 WNW                         2.25                    
SEDILLO 2 WNW                         1.78                    
GILA 3 NE                             1.72                    
CHAMA                                 1.65                    
MAYHILL 1 NNE                         1.60                    
ALBUQUERQUE 6 E                       1.38                    
CLIFF 6 NE                            1.34                    

...OKLAHOMA...
COLEMAN 4.6 WNW                       4.86                    
COLBERT 2.2 SSW                       4.80                    
PENNINGTON CREEK NEAR REAGAN          4.47                    
MARIETTA 2.8 SW                       4.42                    
MCGEE CREEK RESERVOIR NEAR FARRIS     3.63                    
BLUE RIVER                            3.48                    
GUYMON MUNI ARPT                      3.27                    
FORGAN 10 NW                          2.80                    
LITTLE BEAVER CREEK NEAR DUNCAN       2.29                    
MCALESTER REGIONAL ARPT               2.21                    
JIMMY CREEK NEAR MEERS                2.19                    
FOURCHE MALINE NEAR RED OAK           2.09                    

...TEXAS...
KEENE 2 NNW                           5.97                    
SWEETWATER 0.3 E                      5.89                    
CLEBURNE 0.9 SSE                      5.48                    
GORDONVILLE 3.3 NNW                   5.34                    
CLEBURNE 4.8 NNE                      5.21                    
BULVERDE 3.3 NE                       5.00                    
ANTELOPE                              4.96                    
IREDELL                               4.85                    
DENISON 0.8 ENE                       4.84                    
POTTSBORO 7.1 WNW                     4.81                    
STERLING CITY 0.7 NE                  4.79                    
TROPHY CLUB 3 NE                      4.46                    
ABILENE MUNI ARPT                     4.32                    
RENDON 1 WSW                          4.26                    
HEATH                                 4.17                    
ALVORD                                4.16                    
CELINA 2 N                            4.09                    
CEDAR HILL 1 N                        3.95                    
DENVER CITY                           3.75                    
DALLAS/REDBIRD ARPT                   3.70                    
PARIS/COX FIELD                       3.64                    
BEAR MOUNTAIN                         3.45                    
ARLINGTON MUNI ARPT                   3.44                    
CANYON                                3.31                    
LUBBOCK 6 SW                          3.23                    
DUMAS                                 2.96                    
DALLAS/FORT WORTH INTL ARPT           2.90                    
N SULPHUR RIVER NEAR COOPER           2.78                    
VILLAGE CREEK AT EVERMAN              2.73                    
FORT WORTH/MEACHAM                    2.69                    
MIDLAND/ODESSA WFO                    2.46                    
FORT WORTH/ALLIANCE                   2.11                    
DYESS AFB/ABILENE                     2.06                    


STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL
CONTINUE TO TRANSPORT A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS INTO THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. A SECOND UPPER LOW
OVER THE SOUTHWEST COMBINED WITH MOISTURE ARRIVING FROM THE
REMNANTS OF HURRICANE PATRICIA WILL PROLONG FAVORABLE CONDITIONS
FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION WITH THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL FOCUSED ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN
TEXAS AND INTO PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.
THROUGH FRIDAY...THE RAINFALL SHOULD FOCUS ACROSS CENTRAL AND
NORTHEAST TEXAS BEFORE THE AXIS BEGINS TO SHIFT SOUTH AND EASTWARD
OVER THE WEEKEND. OVER THE NEXT THREE DAYS...AS MUCH AS 5 TO 10
INCHES OF RAIN...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST TEXAS...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF THE
WESTERN GULF COAST. LESSER...THOUGH STILL SIGNIFICANT...AMOUNTS
BETWEEN 3 AND 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF EAST
TEXAS AND INTO WESTERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...AND
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH
FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO BE A MAJOR THREAT ACROSS THE
REGION...PARTICULARLY OVER THE HILL COUNTRY AND IN URBAN AREAS.

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 400 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.

KREKELER




Last Updated: 1055 AM EDT FRI OCT 23 2015