THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 06 FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS HEAVY RAINFALL
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
400 PM CDT FRI OCT 23 2015

...A MULTI-DAY HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT CONTINUES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS WITH FLASH FLOODING LIKELY... 

FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF
CENTRAL...EASTERN...AND SOUTH TEXAS AS WELL AS EXTREME SOUTHERN
OKLAHOMA.

COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT ALONG PORTIONS OF THE
WESTERN GULF COAST.

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 300 PM CDT...A SURFACE LOW WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1007
MB...29.74 INCHES...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 55 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAN
ANGELO...TEXAS. A STATIONARY BOUNDARY WAS SITUATED ALONG THIS
SURFACE LOW FROM THE BIG BEND REGION OF TEXAS TO SOUTHERN
OKLAHOMA. A WARM AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS WAS IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WITH SOUTHEASTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW BRINGING
PLENTY OF DEEP MOISTURE INTO THE REGION. THUS...WITH PLENTY OF
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY IN PLACE...THE STATIONARY FRONT HAS
CONTINUED TO BE A FOCAL POINT FOR CONVECTION. NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE RADARS AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATED AN AREA OF
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED ACROSS
NORTHEASTERN TEXAS AND INTO MOST OF ARKANSAS. LIGHT TO MODERATE
RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALSO REPORTED IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS. IN ADDITION...SCATTERED SHOWERS WERE OBSERVED IN
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. 

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 700 AM CDT WED OCT
21 THROUGH 300 PM CDT FRI OCT 23...

...COLORADO...
TYRONE 6 SE                           2.51                    
TRINIDAD 2 ENE                        2.29                    
THATCHER 7 SSE                        2.22                    
STONINGTON 9 SE                       2.13                    
TIMPAS 13 S                           1.82                    
TWO BUTTES 12 NE                      1.70                    
HOEHNE 3 ESE                          1.53                    
CAMPO 4 SW                            1.45                    
THATCHER 11 SSE                       1.23                    
RYE 2 W                               1.14                    
COLORADO CITY 7 E                     1.08                    
SWISSVALE 3 SW                        1.05                    
WESTON 6 ESE                          1.04                    

...KANSAS...
GARDEN CITY REG ARPT                  2.28                    
DODGE CITY WFO                        1.92                    
LIBERAL MUNI ARPT                     1.78                    

...NEW MEXICO...
ARTESIA 4 NNE                         2.84                    
PORTALES 1 SW                         2.75                    
GASCON 1 WNW                          2.62                    
CLOVIS 3 ENE                          2.35                    
ROSWELL 4 WNW                         2.25                    
SEDILLO 2 WNW                         1.78                    
GILA 3 NE                             1.72                    
CHAMA                                 1.65                    
MAYHILL 1 NNE                         1.60                    
ALBUQUERQUE 6 E                       1.38                    
CLIFF 6 NE                            1.34                    

...OKLAHOMA...
COLEMAN 4.6 WNW                       4.86                    
COLBERT 2.2 SSW                       4.80                    
PENNINGTON CREEK NEAR REAGAN          4.47                    
MARIETTA 2.8 SW                       4.42                    
MCGEE CREEK RESERVOIR NEAR FARRIS     3.63                    
BLUE RIVER                            3.48                    
GUYMON MUNI ARPT                      3.27                    
FORGAN 10 NW                          2.80                    
LITTLE BEAVER CREEK NEAR DUNCAN       2.29                    
MCALESTER REGIONAL ARPT               2.21                    
JIMMY CREEK NEAR MEERS                2.19                    
FOURCHE MALINE NEAR RED OAK           2.09                    

...TEXAS...
POWELL 1 SW                           7.37                    
KEENE 2 NNW                           5.97                    
KERENS 3 NW                           5.94                    
SWEETWATER 0.3 E                      5.89                    
RENDON 1 WSW                          5.50                    
CLEBURNE 0.9 SSE                      5.48                    
GORDONVILLE 3.3 NNW                   5.34                    
CLEBURNE 4.8 NNE                      5.21                    
CORSICANA/CAMPBELL FIELD              5.21                    
ANTELOPE                              5.19                    
PONDER 2 S                            5.16                    
BULVERDE 3.3 NE                       5.00                    
IREDELL                               4.85                    
DENISON 0.8 ENE                       4.84                    
POTTSBORO 7.1 WNW                     4.81                    
ABILENE MUNI ARPT                     4.32                    
DALLAS 7.2 SW                         4.14                    
ARLINGTON MUNI ARPT                   3.44                    
LUBBOCK 6 SW                          3.23                    
WACO-MADISON COOPER                   2.97                    
DALLAS/FORT WORTH INTL ARPT           2.90                    
VILLAGE CREEK AT EVERMAN              2.73                    
FORT WORTH/MEACHAM                    2.69                    
MIDLAND/ODESSA WFO                    2.46                    


STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL
CONTINUE TO TRANSPORT A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS INTO THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. A SECOND UPPER LOW
OVER THE SOUTHWEST COMBINED WITH MOISTURE ARRIVING FROM THE
REMNANTS OF HURRICANE PATRICIA...WHICH IS OFF THE WESTERN MEXICAN
COAST...WILL PROLONG FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND
FLASH FLOODING THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION WITH THE HEAVIEST
RAINFALL FOCUSED ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN TEXAS AND INTO PORTIONS OF
THE WESTERN LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THROUGH FRIDAY...THE PRIMARY
AXIS OF RAINFALL SHOULD FOCUS ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST TEXAS
BEFORE IT SHIFTS SOUTH AND EASTWARD TOWARD THE TEXAS COAST OVER
THE WEEKEND. OVER THE NEXT THREE DAYS...AS MUCH AS 5 TO 10 INCHES
OF RAIN...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST TEXAS...AS WELL AS THE MIDDLE AND UPPER
TEXAS COAST AND SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA. BETWEEN 3 TO 5
INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...ARE ALSO EXPECTED FOR EAST
TEXAS...WESTERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...AND SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA. IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING WILL
CONTINUE TO BE A MAJOR THREAT ACROSS THE REGION...PARTICULARLY
OVER THE HILL COUNTRY TO THE TEXAS COAST...AND IN URBAN AREAS. 

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 1000 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.

FANNING




Last Updated: 415 PM EDT FRI OCT 23 2015