THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 06 FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY HEAVY RAIN
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1000 PM CDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...HEAVY RAIN NOW MAKING ITS WAY INTO THE SOUTHEAST FROM THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY... 

FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS...FLOOD WARNINGS...AND ADVISORIES ARE IN
EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN TEXAS...LOUISIANA...AND SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI.

FLASH FLOOD WATCHES REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM EASTERN TEXAS EASTWARD
INTO SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA.

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 900 PM CDT...A QUASI STATIONARY FRONT WITH WAVES OF LOW
PRESSURE STRETCHED FROM EASTERN TEXAS ALONG THE LOUISIANA/ARKANSAS
BORDER. A WARM FRONT EXTENDED EASTWARD INTO SOUTH CAROLINA FROM
ONE LOW CENTER WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1009 MB...29.80
INCHES...ABOUT 85 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LITTLE ROCK ARKANSAS.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOWED
THAT A SQUALL LINE CONTAINING VERY HEAVY RAIN WAS MOVING EASTWARD
ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WITH
EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUED TO FALL FROM EASTERN TEXAS TO
ALABAMA. LIGHTER RAIN EXTENDED INTO THE OHIO VALLEY AND SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS.

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 700 PM CDT THU OCT
29 THROUGH 900 PM CDT SAT OCT 31...

...ARKANSAS...
HOT SPRINGS/MEMORIAL FIELD            2.33                    
DE QUEEN                              2.13                    
LITTLE ROCK AFB                       1.70                    

...LOUISIANA...
FORT POLK                             6.66                    
ENGLAND AFB/ALEXANDRIA                5.59                    
NEW IBERIA/ACADIANA                   4.42                    
LAKE CHARLES MUNI ARPT                3.87                    
BOSSIER CITY 6.7 NNW                  1.17                    

...MISSISSIPPI...
SOSO                                  4.00                    
NATCHEZ/HARDY                         2.29                    
VICKSBURG/TALLULAH ARPT               2.21                    
JACKSON WFO                           2.01                    
MCCOMB/LEWIS FIELD                    1.86                    

...TEXAS...
BUDA 1 WNW                           18.46                    
TANGLEWOOD FOREST 1.1 S              18.03                    
SAN MARCOS 5.8 N                     16.23                    
KYLE 5 SW                            16.00                    
CANYON LAKE 2.8 N                    15.49                    
AUSTIN-BERGSTROM INTL ARPT           14.97                    
SAN LEANNA 0.1 SSE                   13.16                    
GREATWOOD                            12.88                    
WOODCREEK 0.5 SSW                    11.79                    
SARATOGA                             11.58                    
SAN MARCOS 2.9 WNW                   11.10                    
CANYON LAKE 1.5 WSW                  11.01                    
NEW BRAUNFELS 10.2 N                 10.57                    
TIMBERWOOD PARK 2.5 NW                9.25                    
WIMBERLY 3.5 NW                       9.05                    
SPRING BRANCH 5.7 SE                  8.80                    
DRIPPING SPRINGS 4.1 SSW              8.38                    
SUNSET VALLEY 1 SE                    7.09                    
BROWNSVILLE INTL ARPT                 6.55                    
AUSTIN CITY                           5.82                    
HOUSTON/HOBBY                         5.26                    
BLANCO 2 ESE                          5.24                    
ARLINGTON MUNI ARPT                   4.20                    
CORSICANA/CAMBELL FIELD               4.11                    
TEMPLE/MILLER                         4.06                    
DALLAS/REDBIRD ARPT                   3.69                    
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR                  3.52                    
DALLAS/LOVE FIELD                     3.44                    
RANDOLPH AFB/UNIVERSAL CITY           3.38                    
DUNCANVILLE 2 NNW                     3.25                    
DECATUR                               3.18                    
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT                 3.08                    
BURNET                                3.05                    

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES WHERE THE EVENT HAS
ENDED...

...KANSAS...
LIBERAL MUNI ARPT                     1.03                    

...OKLAHOMA...
ARDMORE                               3.60                    
FORT SILL AFB                         1.92                    
OKLAHOMA CITY/WILEY                   1.90                    
PAULS VALLEY MUNI ARPT                1.78                    
LAWTON MUNI ARPT                      1.67                    


THE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS AND THE ASSOCIATED FRONTS ARE
EXPECTED TO TRACK EASTWARD ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH THROUGH THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.  A STRONG UPPER LEVEL JET COMBINED WITH PLENTY OF
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL SUPPORT THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAINFALL
SPREADING FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE
SOUTHEAST.  AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS...IS LIKELY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS ACROSS THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND THE SOUTHEAST...WHERE FLOODING AND FLASH
FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO BE A CONCERN.

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 400 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.

TATE




Last Updated: 1100 PM EDT SAT OCT 31 2015