THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 2 FOR CENTRAL U.S. HEAVY RAIN AND WINTER STORM
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
300 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

...BLIZZARD CONDITIONS IN PARTS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS AS
HEAVY RAIN AND SEVERE WEATHER MOVE INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY... 

BLIZZARD WARNINGS...WINTER STORM WARNINGS...AND WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.

HIGH WIND WARNINGS ARE NOW IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF EASTERN COLORADO
AND WESTERN KANSAS.

FLASH FLOOD WATCHES AND ADVISORIES ALONG WITH AREAS OF FLASH FLOOD
WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER AND MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
INCLUDING PARTS OF EASTERN TEXAS.

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 200 PM CST...A LOW PRESSURE CENTER WITH AN ESTIMATED SEA-LEVEL
PRESSURE OF 991 MB...29.26 INCHES...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 40 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF DODGE CITY...KANSAS. TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE LOW...A
STRONG COLD FRONT EXTENDED SOUTHWARD ACROSS MISSOURI...ARKANSAS
AND LOUISIANA. IN ADDITION...VERY COLD AIR WAS SURGING SOUTHWARD
FROM THE NORTHWEST FLANK OF THE LOW. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
DOPPLER RADARS AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATED MODERATE TO
HEAVY SNOW WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSNOW WAS FALLING ACROSS
SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO...NORTHWESTERN KANSAS...AND INTO SOUTHERN
NEBRASKA WHERE 35 TO 40 MPH WINDS GUSTING TO OVER 60 MPH WERE
CREATING BLIZZARD CONDITION IN SOME AREAS.  FARTHER TO THE
SOUTHEAST AHEAD OF THE STRONG COLD FRONT...A SQUALL LINE
CONTAINING MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING WAS
MOVING EASTWARD TOWARD THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.  FARTHER NORTH...A
LARGE SWATH OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN WITH EMBEDDED HEAVY RAIN WAS
SPREADING ACROSS ALL OF MIDWEST AND PARTS OF THE OHIO VALLEY
TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES. 

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL IN INCHES FROM 600 PM CST SAT NOV
16 THROUGH 200 PM CST TUE NOV 17...

...COLORADO...
OURAY 4 N                            25.0                    
COLORADO SPRINGS 18.7 N              16.0                    
GENESEE                              16.0                    
PONDEROSA PARK 1 WNW                 15.0                    
STEAMBOAT SPRINGS 1.9 E              15.0                    
THE PINERY 1.2 ESE                   14.2                    
WOLF CREEK PASS 1 SSE                14.0                    
BERGEN PARK 1 SSE                    13.0                    
BRECKENRIDGE 3.3 SE                  12.0                    
BROOKVALE 4 SSE                      12.0                    
CRESTED BUTTE 6.2 N                  12.0                    
PERRY PARK 3 ESE                     12.0                    
RED MOUNTAIN PASS                    12.0                    
WOODLAND PARK 1.1 NNW                12.0                    
EVERGREEN 1 S                        11.0                    
AIR FORCE ACADEMY 5 NE               10.0                    
SILVERTON                             9.0                    
GLENWOOD SPRINGS                      8.7                    
BLACK HAWK 3 N                        8.2                    
CASTLE ROCK 4 NW                      8.2                    
DENVER 6.3 SSE                        7.0                    

...NEW MEXICO...
ARROYO SECO 8 NE                     11.0                    
TERERRO 6 WNW                        11.0                    
TOADLENA 5 SSE                       10.0                    
SANDIA PARK 4 NW                      9.0                    
CEDRO 5 SE                            8.0                    
LLANO LARGO 5 SSE                     8.0                    
ALBUQUERQUE 9 NE                      7.0                    
CHUPADERO 7 ESE                       7.0                    
SEDILLO 1 WSW                         6.5                    
SAN ANTONITO 2 E                      6.0                    

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 600 PM CST SAT NOV
16 THROUGH 200 PM CST TUE NOV 17...

...ARKANSAS...
SILOAM SPRINGS/SMITH FIELD            3.82                    

...KANSAS...
NORTON 1.3 SSW                        2.82                    
ST. PAUL 0.4 ESE                      2.58                    
INDEPENDENCE 0.3 NW                   2.10                    
GRANTVILLE 1.6 NE                     2.08                    
TOPEKA/BILLARD MUNI ARPT              2.03                    
IOLA 2.7 SSE                          1.97                    
MANHATTAN 2.7 NW                      1.80                    
LENEXA 2.8 E                          1.79                    
BURLINGAME 3.5 NNE                    1.75                    
BERRYTON 0.1 NNE                      1.67                    

...LOUISIANA...
SHREVEPORT RGNL ARPT                  2.32                    

...MISSOURI...
JOPLIN RGNL ARPT                      3.34                    

...NEBRASKA...
BEAVER CITY 6.0 S                     1.87                    
BURWELL 0.4 E                         1.61                    
WESTERN 1.2 SE                        1.50                    
ELYRIA 6.3 W                          1.49                    
BURWELL 2.1 SSW                       1.46                    
DAYKIN 1.2 SW                         1.39                    
MILLER 0.5 SE                         1.36                    
WILCOX 0.3 SW                         1.36                    
ORD 6.8 SSE                           1.30                    
LOUP CITY 7.1 NNE                     1.28                    

...OKLAHOMA...
JAY 3.3 NNE                           2.90                    
VINITA 8.6 ESE                        2.83                    
SALLISAW 0.3 SE                       2.80                    
POTEAU/ROBERT S KERR AIRPORT          2.37                    
BROKEN ARROW 7.3 ENE                  2.32                    
CLAREMORE 6.6 W                       1.95                    
OCHELATA 5.6 N                        1.82                    
WESTVILLE 0.2 ENE                     1.76                    
TULSA 5.4 SSE                         1.60                    
GLENPOOL 0.6 S                        1.59                    
NORMAN 1.9 N                          0.90                    

...TEXAS...
NACOGDOCHES                           6.60                    
HUNTSVILLE                            4.61                    
HORSESHOE BAY 1.5 WNW                 3.00                    
ANNA 3.7 SSW                          2.42                    
LA GRANGE 7.8 NNE                     2.37                    
VAN ALSTYNE 6.2 ENE                   2.26                    
MCKINNEY 4.0 SE                       2.12                    
NEW ULM 0.1 ENE                       2.12                    
THORNDALE 8.8 N                       2.05                    
BURTON 6.9 SSW                        1.89                    
DUNCANVILLE 0.9 SE                    1.81                    
RICHARDSON 2.2 NW                     1.79                    
COLLEGE STATION 6.4 ENE               1.67                    
GONZALES 0.6 S                        1.66                    
RAVENNA 1.7 SE                        1.65                    
PLANO 2.4 N                           1.49                    
AUSTIN 2.8 N                          1.32                    

...SELECTED PEAK WIND GUSTS IN MILES PER HOUR EARLIER IN THE
EVENT...

...COLORADO...
NE KIT CARSON                         63                    
WILD HORSE 6 N                        62                    
FLAGLER 1 NNE                         58                    
WRAY                                  51                    

...KANSAS...
SHARON SPRINGS 9 SSE                  56                    
LEOTI 16 NNW                          54                    
HOXIE 1 WNW                           50                    
MARIENTHAL 4 NNW                      50                    
PENDENNIS 9 N                         50                    

...OKLAHOMA...
GAGE/SHATTUCK                         53                    

...TEXAS...
ARLINGTON MUNI ARPT                   51                    


THE STRONG COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW WILL CONTINUE MOVING
EASTWARD ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING
AND WILL APPROACH THE EAST COAST BY THURSDAY MORNING.  AS COLD AIR
CONTINUES TO WRAP AROUND THE NORTHWEST SIDE OF THE LOW...SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO TOTAL UP TO 16 INCHES WITH POSSIBLE
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS OVER WESTERN NEBRASKA...NORTHEAST KANSAS...AND
PORTIONS OF EASTERN COLORADO. AMOUNTS RANGING FROM 6 TO 10 INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE ALONG CENTRAL NEBRASKA TO CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
COLORADO. BY WEDNESDAY MORNING...THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN
TAPERING OFF IN THESE AREAS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 3 TO 5 INCHES
WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THE
BULK OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEASTERN
U.S...WITH 2 TO 4 INCHES EXPECTED ACROSS THAT REGION. FLASH
FLOODING WILL BE A CONCERN FROM THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO THE
SOUTHEAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 900 PM CST. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.

KONG




Last Updated: 649 PM EST TUE NOV 17 2015