THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 12 FOR OHIO AND MISSISSIPPI VALLEY HEAVY
RAINFALL
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD    
400 AM CDT MON AUG 15 2016

...LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM BRINGS RAINFALL FROM TEXAS NORTHEAST TO THE
OHIO VALLEY...

FLASH FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SOUTH TEXAS...AND FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY NORTHEAST TO
THE UPPER GREAT LAKES. FLOOD WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH
CENTRAL LOUISIANA.

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 300 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT HAS
BROUGHT PROLIFIC AMOUNTS OF RAIN TO SOUTHERN LOUISIANA WAS LOCATED
ABOUT 70 MILES WEST OF LITTLE ROCK...ARKANSAS...WITH A SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE OF 1012 MB...29.88 INCHES. THIS LOW WAS ASSOCIATED WITH A
QUASI-STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY STRETCHING FROM SOUTH TEXAS
NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH ARKANSAS AND INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATED
THUNDERSTORMS WERE PRODUCING MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN IN PORTIONS OF
THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO THE OHIO VALLEY. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALSO OCCURRING ALONG THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY FARTHER SOUTH INTO ARKANSAS AND EASTERN AND SOUTHERN
TEXAS. IN LOUISIANA...WHERE MUCH OF THE DEVASTATING FLOODING HAD
OCCURRED OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS...ONLY LIGHT SHOWERS WERE PRESENT
OVER THE NORTHERN PART OF THE STATE.

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 600 AM CDT TUE AUG
09 THROUGH 300 AM CDT MON AUG 15...

...ARKANSAS...
CALICO ROCK 0.8 NNE                   3.72                    
ALCO                                  3.00                    

...ILLINOIS...
MAKANDA 5 ENE                         8.05                    
COBDEN                                7.90                    
CARTERVILLE                           6.50                    
MOUNT VERNON                          6.23                    
CURRAN 4 NNE                          5.87                    
SPRINGFIELD 5 NNW                     5.59                    
CAPITAL AIRPORT                       5.56                    
AVA 5 NW                              5.25                    
FANCY PRAIRIE                         5.19                    
MARION                                5.15                    
SHERMAN                               4.25                    
MOUNT VERNON 1 SW                     4.02                    
WALTONVILLE 2 N                       3.93                    
PINKSTAFF 4 SE                        3.75                    
GRAYVILLE 1 N                         3.71                    
KAMPSVILLE                            3.50                    
CARBONDALE 2 SE                       3.49                    
STE. MARIE 1 NW                       3.28                    
MODESTO 3 E                           3.20                    
HERRIN 1 SE                           3.07                    
DU BOIS                               2.92                    

...INDIANA...
VINCENNES 4 E                         5.52                    
HAZLETON                              5.00                    
NEWBERRY 0.6 E                        4.68                    
BICKNELL 0.5 W                        4.52                    
BLOOMINGTON 4 SW                      4.50                    
WASHINGTON 1.5 NW                     4.43                    
ELLETTSVILLE                          4.00                    
GREENCASTLE 1 NW                      3.75                    
STINESVILLE 2 W                       3.40                    
FORT BRANCH                           2.10                    
CARMEL 3 E                            1.98                    

...LOUISIANA...
WATSON 1.1 S                         31.39                    
BROWNFIELDS 4.0 E                    27.47                    
MONTICELLO 3.0 ENE                   26.26                    
WHITE BAYOU/ZACHARY                  26.14                    
LIVINGSTON                           25.52                    
DENHAM SPRINGS 4.1 NE                24.75                    
NEW IBERIA/ACADIANA                  23.70                    
NORWOOD                              22.02                    
LAFAYETTE RGNL ARPT                  21.60                    
JACKSON 10.1 SSW                     21.56                    
CADE 2 E                             20.70                    
FORKED ISLAND 6 ENE                  20.30                    
BATON ROUGE/RYAN MUNI ARPT           19.14                    
LAKE CHARLES 1 N                     18.10                    
LA LAFAYETTE 13 SE                   17.39                    
ABBEVILLE 1 E                        16.25                    
ACADIANA REGIONAL AIRPORT            15.39                    
PRAIRIEVILLE 2.0 S                   14.65                    
CARENCRO 4 ENE                       12.40                    
PECAN ISLAND 2 E                     12.30                    
GRAND COTEAU 3 E                     11.30                    
FRANKLINTON                          10.21                    
NEW ORLEANS/MOISANT                   6.51                    

...MISSOURI...
ELLSINORE 2 S                        12.10                    
POPLAR BLUFF 7 N                      8.75                    
WILLIAMSVILLE                         8.11                    
CAPE GIRARDEAU                        7.91                    
JACKSON                               6.11                    
MOUNT VERNON 1 NE                     4.75                    
WAPPAPELLO                            4.62                    
DONIPHAN                              3.95                    
MARBLE HILL                           3.83                    
FRUITLAND                             3.50                    
FULTON 12 E                           3.25                    
PERRYVILLE                            3.25                    
CLUBB 4 ENE                           3.05                    
JEFFERSON CITY                        1.80                    
COLUMBIA                              1.01                    

...MISSISSIPPI...
GLOSTER 1.9 SSW                      22.84                    
LIBERTY 1.0 WNW                      10.97                    
WILKINSON                            10.25                    
CENTREVILLE 1 S                      10.20                    
WAVELAND 1.0 NW                       9.90                    
DIAMONDHEAD 0.4 E                     9.65                    
PASS CHRISTIAN 3.5 NE                 9.62                    
LONG BEACH 0.8 SSE                    9.31                    
OCEAN SPRINGS 3.6 ESE                 9.00                    
GULFPORT-BILOXI                       7.06                    
KEESLER AFB/BILOXI                    4.99                    
MCCOMB/LEWIS FIELD                    4.86                    
JACKSON WFO                           2.71                    
PASCAGOULA                            2.42                    

...TEXAS...
TOMBALL 5 S                           8.82                    
JERSEY VILLAGE 4.6 NW                 8.56                    
CYPRESS                               7.84                    
TRAILSIDE                             7.12                    
KATY 9 NE                             6.76                    
DANEVANG 1 W                          6.52                    
HALLETTSVILLE 17 SE                   6.17                    
LIVINGSTON 2 SSW                      5.81                    
HUNTSVILLE 8.7 WNW                    5.69                    
THE WOODLANDS 5.8 NW                  4.61                    
GANADO 1 W                            4.54                    
SMITHVILLE 5 NNW                      4.48                    
LA VERNIA 6 S                         4.18                    
KINGSLAND 2.0 SW                      3.93                    
DAYTON                                3.77                    
HOUSTON/WILL HOBBY                    3.08                    
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR                  2.90                    
GALVESTON 8 NE                        1.96                    

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES WHERE THE EVENT HAS
ENDED...

...ALABAMA...
GLOSTER                               9.94                    
FAIRHOPE 1.5 WSW                      8.97                    
SILVERHILL 5.0 SW                     8.61                    
FOLEY 0.5 ESE                         7.58                    
ORANGE BEACH 2.1 NE                   6.13                    
LOXLEY 0.4 SSW                        6.09                    
MOBILE 2.6 WNW                        6.09                    
GULF SHORES 3.1 N                     5.98                    
EVERGREEN                             5.55                    
CAIRNS AAF/OZARK                      4.22                    
MOBILE DOWNTOWN AIRPORT               3.21                    

...FLORIDA...
PANAMA CITY BEACH 5.9 WNW            14.43                    
HATCH BEND                           14.00                    
BRONSON 3.0 SE                       12.80                    
VERO BEACH 2.4 W                     12.16                    
CROSS CITY ARPT                      11.39                    
TYNDALL AFB                          11.03                    
MIRAMAR BEACH 9.5 ESE                10.17                    
SPRING HILL 2.4 NW                   10.06                    
MIDWAY                               10.00                    
WEEKI WACHEE 7.1 NNE                  9.96                    
PENSACOLA NAS                         9.95                    
HORSESHOW BEACH                       8.90                    
VERO BEACH MUNI ARPT                  8.52                    
GULFPORT 0.9 NNW                      8.38                    
TALLAHASSEE 9.6 N                     6.89                    


THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE
MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TODAY AND INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES BY
TUESDAY. AS THE LOW MOVES NORTHEAST ALONG THE QUASI-STATIONARY
FRONTAL BOUNDARY...THE MAIN RISK OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL SHIFT TO
THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI AND OHIO VALLEYS AND INTO THE UPPER GREAT
LAKES. THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2
TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED THERE...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
POSSIBLE. ADDITIONALLY...ABUNDANT TROPICAL MOISTURE REMAINING IN
TEXAS AND THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY COULD LEAD TO ANOTHER 2 TO
4 INCHES OF RAIN OVER SOME LOCATIONS WHERE SOILS ARE SATURATED OR
FLOODING HAS OCCURRED. THUS...ALTHOUGH THE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO BE
LIGHTER THAN IN PREVIOUS DAYS...FLASH FLOODING REMAINS A CONCERN.

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 1000 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.

TATE




Last Updated: 455 AM EDT MON AUG 15 2016