THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 4 FOR SOUTHEASTERN U.S. AND GULF COAST HEAVY
RAINFALL
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD    
400 AM CDT SAT AUG 13 2016

...SLOW-MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BRING HEAVY RAIN
PARTICULARLY TO LOUISIANA... 

FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS AND WATCHES AS WELL AS FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN
EFFECT FOR MUCH OF LOUISIANA AND EASTWARD ALONG THE GULF COAST TO
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 300 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WITH A SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE OF ABOUT 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES...WAS LOCATED IN
CENTRAL LOUISIANA NEAR ALEXANDRIA. ANOTHER SURFACE LOW...ABOUT 25
MILES WEST OF SHREVEPORT...LOUISIANA...HAD JOINED WITH A FRONTAL
SYSTEM STRETCHING SOUTHWARD INTO EASTERN AND SOUTHERN TEXAS AND
NORTHWARD INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. ABUNDANT TROPICAL MOISTURE
HAS BEEN FEEDING INTO THE SYSTEM FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO FOR THE
PAST WEEK OR SO AND THIS HAS LED TO WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL
ACROSS THE GULF STATES. OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS THIS ACTIVITY
HAS BEEN MAINLY FOCUSED IN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
INDICATE THAT THE BULK OF THE HEAVY RAIN WAS CURRENTLY FALLING TO
THE SOUTH OF THE LOW CENTERS OVER MUCH OF SOUTHERN LOUISIANA.

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 600 AM CDT THU AUG
04 THROUGH 300 AM CDT SAT AUG 13...

...LOUISIANA...
LIVINGSTON                           21.29                    
DENHAM SPRINGS 4.1 NE                15.17                    
NEW IBERIA/ACADIANA                  13.72                    
CENTRAL 2.2 SE                       13.68                    
BATON ROUGE/RYAN MUNI ARPT           13.44                    
BROWNFIELDS 4.0 E                    13.13                    
TICKFAW 2.0 SSW                      12.75                    
MONTICELLO 3.0 ENE                   12.72                    
LAFAYETTE RGNL ARPT                  10.43                    
BATON ROUGE 2.5 E                    10.29                    
MADISONVILLE 3.2 NNW                 10.23                    
FRANKLINTON                          10.21                    
KENTWOOD                              9.38                    
DONALDSONVILLE                        8.76                    
CLINTON 5 SE                          6.25                    
NEW ORLEANS/MOISANT                   2.62                    

...MISSISSIPPI...
WAVELAND 1.0 NW                      11.00                    
PASS CHRISTIAN 3.5 NE                10.56                    
OCEAN SPRINGS 3.6 ESE                10.48                    
WILKINSON                            10.25                    
CENTERVILLE 1 S                      10.20                    
GLOSTER 1.9 SSW                      10.20                    
DIAMONDHEAD 0.4 E                     9.84                    
GULFPORT-BILOXI                       7.87                    
JACKSON WFO                           5.63                    
PASCAGOULA                            3.87                    

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES WHERE THE EVENT HAS
ENDED...

...ALABAMA...
GLOSTER                               9.94                    
FOLEY 0.5 ESE                         7.58                    
FAIRHOPE 1.5 WSW                      7.45                    
SUMMERDALE 4.3 WSW                    7.03                    
EVERGREEN                             5.55                    
CAIRNS AAF/OZARK                      4.22                    
MOBILE DOWNTOWN AIRPORT               3.21                    

...FLORIDA...
PANAMA CITY BEACH 5.9 WNW            14.43                    
HATCH BEND                           14.00                    
BRONSON 3.0 SE                       12.80                    
VERO BEACH 2.4 W                     12.16                    
CROSS CITY ARPT                      10.98                    
TYNDALL AFB                          10.88                    
MIRAMAR BEACH 9.5 ESE                10.17                    
SPRING HILL 2.4 NW                   10.06                    
MIDWAY                               10.00                    
WEEKI WACHEE 7.1 NNE                  9.96                    
PENSACOLA NAS                         9.72                    
HORSESHOW BEACH                       8.90                    
VERO BEACH MUNI ARPT                  8.52                    
GULFPORT 0.9 NNW                      8.10                    
TALLAHASSEE 9.6 N                     6.88                    


THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO REMAIN NEAR THE ARK-LA-TEX
REGION DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM THE
GULF OF MEXICO WILL CONTINUE TO FEED INTO THE SYSTEM...RESULTING
IN VERY HEAVY RAINFALL MAINLY TO THE SOUTH OF THE LOW TRACK. 
ADDITIONAL WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES...WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...ARE FORECAST FOR MUCH OF LOUISIANA
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. FLASH FLOODING WILL BE A SERIOUS CONCERN.
BY SUNDAY EVENING AND INTO MONDAY...THE RISK OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND
FLASH FLOODING WILL SHIFT TO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AS THE
FRONTAL SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED LOW STALLS OVER THE AREA.           
     

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 1000 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.

TATE




Last Updated: 455 AM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016