THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 4 FOR MID-ATLANTIC HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
500 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

...MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES TO MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN
CAROLINAS...THE MID-ATLANTIC...THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS...OHIO
VALLEY AND INTO LOWER MICHIGAN...

FLASH FLOOD WATCHES...FLOOD WARNINGS...AND FLOOD ADVISORIES REMAIN
IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE MID-ATLANTIC...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN MICHIGAN.

IN ADDITION...WIND ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF THE
MID-ATLANTIC AS WELL AS PARTS THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 400 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF AN ANOMALOUS UPPER-LEVEL LOW HAD
BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY OVER KENTUCKY.  TO THE EAST OF THE
UPPER-LEVEL LOW...MOISTURE FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN CONTINUES TO
STREAM NORTHWARD AND THEN NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE
MID-ATLANTIC...THE OHIO VALLEY AND INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION. AT
THE SURFACE...A LOW PRESSURE CENTER OF 1013 MB...29.91
INCHES...WAS LOCATED NEAR THE NORTH CAROLINA-SOUTH CAROLINA
BORDER...WITH A COLD FRONT EXTENDING TO THE SOUTH OF THE LOW
CENTER WHILE A WARM FRONT BEGAN TO MOVE ONSHORE OVER THE NORTH
CAROLINA COAST.  NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOWED BANDS OF SHOWERS WITH SOME EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS MOVING FROM CENTRAL APPALACHIANS NORTH AND
NORTHWESTWARD INTO THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY.  MEANWHILE...A NEW AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE CONTINUED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE WARM FRONT JUST OFF
THE MARYLAND EASTERN SHORES AS A LARGE AREA OF MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAIN MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS MUCH OF THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC
STATES. IN ADDITION...WIND GUSTS OF AROUND 40 MPH WERE SPREADING
NORTHWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY COAST. 

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 500 PM EDT WED SEP
28 THROUGH 400 AM EDT FRI SEP 30...

...DELAWARE...
HARBESON                             11.30                    
STOCKLEY                              8.38                    
GEORGETOWN/SUSSEX CO. ARPT            7.91                    
MILTON 4 SSE                          7.44                    
SUSSEX COUNTY AIRPORT                 6.25                    
MILLSBORO 1.3 W                       6.17                    
MILFORD 1.5 W                         5.05                    
DELMAR 4.3 E                          4.85                    
SEAFORD 0.6 WSW                       4.81                    
FELTON 3.6 NE                         4.72                    
HARRINGTON                            4.67                    
GEORGETOWN                            4.57                    
LEWES 3.9 SW                          4.52                    
BRIDGEVILLE                           4.46                    
DOVER AFB                             4.41                    
CAMDEN 3.7 ESE                        4.38                    
GUMBORO                               4.34                    
LAUREL                                4.30                    
FREDERICA                             4.18                    
JONES CROSSROADS                      4.14                    

...MARYLAND...
ALLEN 2 N                             8.27                    
SALISBURY 5.5 SW                      8.27                    
PRINCESS ANNE 2.1 SSW                 6.79                    
PRINCE FREDERICK 1.4 W                6.37                    
WESTOVER 2.6 WNW                      6.12                    
PARSONSBURG 1.6 WNW                   5.88                    
CHARLOTTE HALL 3.6 ENE                4.85                    
EAST NEW MARKET                       4.76                    
OCEAN CITY MUNI ARPT                  4.62                    
SNOW HILL 0.4 S                       4.18                    
DEAL ISLAND 0.5 SSW                   4.16                    
CAMBRIDGE 2.1 ESE                     3.89                    
RIDGDE 1.0 N                          3.77                    
PUBLIC LANDING 7 SE                   3.48                    
POTOMAC 0.9 NNW                       2.95                    
WALDORF 3.3 S                         2.44                    

...MICHIGAN...
DETROIT CITY AIRPORT                  4.88                    

...NORTH CAROLINA...
FAYETTEVILLE 4 NNE                   10.53                    
LINDEN 4.2 S                         10.50                    
RAEFORD 7.1 NE                        9.95                    
ROCKFISH 5 NW                         9.95                    
LUMBER BRIDGHE 4.0 N                  9.71                    
POPE AFB                              9.71                    
POPE AFB/FAYETTEVILLE                 9.71                    
VASS 5.3 ESE                          9.05                    
BONNIE DOONE 2 SW                     8.60                    
GODWIN 2.1 SW                         8.41                    
FORT BRAGG                            7.30                    
HOPE MILLS 1.7 NE                     7.01                    
WHISPERING PINES 1.0 SW               5.61                    
CAMERON 7.6 E                         5.03                    
HILLSBOROUGH 7.4 NW                   4.43                    

...NEW JERSEY...
MILLVILLE MUNI ARPT                   2.82                    
WILDWOOD - CAPE MAY CO. ARPT          2.61                    
MIDDLE TWP 4.2 NNW                    1.45                    
UPPER DEERFIELD TWP 1.7 SW            1.15                    
PENNSVILLE TWP 2.0 NNW                1.01                    

...PENNSYLVANIA...
ORRTANNA 3.2 NNW                      2.83                    
FAIRFIELD 1.8 NNW                     2.55                    
BIGLERVILLE 2.0 WSW                   2.44                    
GETTYSBURG 4.9 SW                     2.28                    
GREENCASTLE 0.3 SSE                   1.41                    
HANOVER 1.3 SSE                       1.40                    
EVERETT 4.1 S                         1.24                    
STATE COLLEGE 2.4 ENE                 1.02                    

...VIRGINIA...
BEACH 3 NW                            8.55                    
MONTROSE 4.7 SSE                      7.83                    
WALLOPS ISLAND                        7.36                    
VARINA 1 N                            7.34                    
BENSLEY 0.8 SSE                       6.46                    
SANDSTON 6.6 ESE                      6.09                    
QUINTON 3.5 WSW                       5.90                    
MOLLUSK 1 SSE                         5.75                    
URBANNA 6.2 NNE                       5.70                    
RICHMOND/BYRD FIELD                   5.41                    
CHINCOTEAGUE 2 SW                     5.35                    
KILMARNOCK 7.1 NNE                    5.10                    
MEADOWVILLE 3 SSW                     4.88                    
FREDERICKSBURG 7.6 ESE                4.59                    
REMLIK 1 N                            4.44                    
RAPPAHANNOCK ACADEMY 2 N              3.95                    
WOODBRIDGE 5.9 NW                     2.66                    
MANASSAS 5.3 SE                       2.64                    

...WEST VIRGINIA...
MARTINSBURG RGNL ARPT                 2.29                    
FALLING WATERS 2.4 NW                 1.59                    


THE ANOMALOUS UPPER-LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER KENTUCKY IS FORECAST
TO SLOWLY MOVE BACK TOWARDS THE NORTH DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. 
MOISTURE STREAMING NORTHWARD FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN IS EXPECTED
TO BRING HEAVY SHOWERS ACROSS THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND INTO
THE LOWER GREAT LAKES TODAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF AROUND
AN INCH...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...ARE FORECAST ALONG THE
CENTRAL APPALACHIANS...WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA...AND THE LOWER GREAT
LAKES.  BY SATURDAY...THE ANOMALOUS UPPER LOW SHOULD BEGIN TO
WEAKEN OVER THE OHIO VALLEY WHILE THE NEW SURFACE LOW OFF THE
MID-ATLANTIC COAST COULD BRING OVER 2 INCHES OF RAIN TO COASTAL
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF THE
MID-ATLANTIC BEFORE THE MAIN RAIN SLOWLY EDGES OUT TO SEA.  ACROSS
THE LOWER GREAT LAKES...TOTAL ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF OVER AN INCH
CAN BE EXPECTED AS THE ANOMALOUS UPPER LOW WEAKENS. FLASH FLOODING
WILL CONTINUE TO BE A CONCERN FOR A COUPLE MORE DAYS FROM THE
GREAT LAKES TO THE MID-ATLANTIC BEFORE BOTH SYSTEMS WEAKEN OVER
THE WEEKEND. 

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 1100 AM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.

KONG




Last Updated: 511 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016