THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 5 FOR MID-ATLANTIC HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1100 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

...MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES TO MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN
CAROLINAS...THE MID-ATLANTIC...THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS...OHIO
VALLEY AND THE GREAT LAKES... 

FLASH FLOOD WATCHES...FLOOD WARNINGS...AND FLOOD ADVISORIES REMAIN
IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE MID-ATLANTIC...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN MICHIGAN.

WIND ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC.

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 1000 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF AN ANOMALOUS UPPER-LEVEL LOW HAD
BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY OVER KENTUCKY. TO THE EAST OF THE
UPPER-LEVEL LOW...MOISTURE FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN CONTINUES TO
STREAM NORTHWARD ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC...THE OHIO VALLEY AND
INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION. AT THE SURFACE...A LOW PRESSURE
CENTER OF 1013 MB...29.91 INCHES...WAS LOCATED NEAR THE NORTH
CAROLINA-SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER...WITH A COLD FRONT EXTENDING TO
THE SOUTH OF THE LOW CENTER ACROSS THE ATLANTIC...ACROSS CENTRAL
FLORIDA...AND INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO WHILE A WARM FRONT WAS
DRAPED ACROSS THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
DOPPLER RADARS AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOWED CLUSTERS OF
THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA....WHILE BANDS OF SHOWERS WITH SOME EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS MOVING FROM CENTRAL APPALACHIANS NORTH AND
NORTHWESTWARD INTO THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY. MEANWHILE...LIGHT TO
MODERATE RAIN WAS MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHEAST INTO THE LOWER GREAT
LAKES. IN ADDITION...WIND GUSTS OF AROUND 35 MPH WERE REPORTED IN
SOUTHERN NEW YORK. 

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 500 PM EDT WED SEP
28 THROUGH 1000 AM EDT FRI SEP 30...

...DELAWARE...
HARBESON                             11.30                    
MILLSBORO 1.3 W                       8.69                    
GEORGETOWN/SUSSEX CO. ARPT            8.48                    
STOCKLEY                              8.38                    
MILTON 4 SSE                          7.44                    
SEAFORD 2.3 SSE                       6.75                    
SUSSEX COUNTY AIRPORT                 6.25                    
MILFORD 1.5 W                         5.70                    
DAGSBORO 7.1 ENE                      5.58                    
SELBYVILLE 7.1 E                      5.53                    
DOVER AFB                             5.47                    
LEWES 3.9 SW                          5.34                    
DELMAR 4.3 E                          4.85                    
ELLENDALE 3.4 ENE                     4.84                    
WOODSIDE 1.1 E                        4.80                    
WILMINGTON ARPT                       3.41                    

...MARYLAND...
ALLEN 2 N                             8.27                    
SALISBURY RGNL AIRPORT                8.27                    
PRINCESS ANNE 2.1 SSW                 6.79                    
HEBRON 2 S                            6.56                    
OCEAN PINES 0.9 SSW                   6.52                    
PRINCE FREDERICK 1.4 W                6.37                    
WESTOVER 2.6 WNW                      6.12                    
PARSONSBURG 1.6 WNW                   5.88                    
BISHOPVILLE 3.1 E                     5.85                    
DELMAR 0.2 NE                         4.88                    
CHARLOTTE HALL 3.6 ENE                4.85                    
EAST NEW MARKET                       4.76                    
BERLIN 6.5 SSE                        4.69                    
OCEAN CITY MUNI ARPT                  4.65                    
SNOW HILL 0.4 S                       4.54                    
BALTIMORE/WASHINGTON INTL ARPT        2.41                    
ANNAPOLIS - US NAVAL ACADEMY          1.35                    

...MICHIGAN...
DETROIT CITY AIRPORT                  5.15                    
DOWNTOWN DETROIT 6 NNE                4.71                    
DEARBORN 4 NE                         4.34                    
ROYAL OAK                             3.34                    
ROMULUS                               3.08                    
WARREN                                2.96                    
LIVONIA                               2.85                    
NOVI 2 SSW                            2.81                    
WEST BLOOMFIELD                       2.75                    
CANTON 2 N                            2.61                    
WESTLAND                              2.60                    
COMMERCE                              2.46                    
FARMINGTON                            2.45                    
GOETZVILLE 11 SE                      2.25                    
ANN ARBOR                             2.17                    
LANSING/CAPITAL CITY ARPT             1.36                    

...NORTH CAROLINA...
FAYETTEVILLE 4 NNE                   10.53                    
LINDEN 4.2 S                         10.50                    
RAEFORD 7.1 NE                        9.95                    
ROCKFISH 5 NW                         9.95                    
POPE AFB/FAYETTEVILLE                 9.84                    
LUMBER BRIDGHE 4.0 N                  9.71                    
VASS 5.3 ESE                          9.05                    
BONNIE DOONE 2 SW                     8.60                    
GODWIN 2.1 SW                         8.41                    
FORT BRAGG                            7.30                    
HOPE MILLS 1.7 NE                     7.01                    
WHISPERING PINES 1.0 SW               5.61                    
CAMERON 7.6 E                         5.03                    
HILLSBOROUGH 7.4 NW                   4.43                    
SOUTHERN PINES/MOORE CO. ARPT         4.00                    
HOFFMAN/MACKALL AAF                   2.86                    

...NEW JERSEY...
WILDWOOD CREST 0.1 WSW                3.52                    
MIDDLE TWP 4.2 NNW                    3.15                    
MILLVILLE MUNI ARPT                   3.07                    
SEA ISLE CITY 3.4 WNW                 2.96                    
DENNIS TWP 2.5 S                      2.87                    
SALEM 0.6 ENE                         2.69                    
WOODBINE 5.1 NE                       2.20                    
ATLANTIC CITY INTL ARPT               2.01                    
OCEAN CITY 1.6 SW                     1.81                    
UPPER DEERFIELD TWP 1.7 SW            1.15                    
PENNSVILLE TWP 2.0 NNW                1.01                    

...PENNSYLVANIA...
UNIONVILLE 2.2 NE                     3.10                    
CADIZ                                 2.94                    
FAIRMONT                              2.91                    
STILLWATER 3 SSE                      2.90                    
ORRTANNA 3.2 NNW                      2.83                    
WEST MIDDLETOWN 2 NNE                 2.80                    
WICKERTON 0.4 NW                      2.75                    
WEST GROVE 2.6 W                      2.72                    
KENNETT SQUARE 4.1 NNE                2.68                    
CAMERON                               2.66                    
WEST CHESTER 1.8 SE                   2.65                    
BARRACKVILLE                          2.58                    
FAIRFIELD 1.8 NNW                     2.55                    
OPEKISKA DAM                          2.45                    
BIGLERVILLE 2.0 WSW                   2.44                    

...SOUTH CAROLINA...
SALUDA 1 NNE                          5.02                    
HILTON HEAD ISLAND 4.0 N              4.90                    
PLUM BRANCH 8 NE                      3.12                    
CHARLESTON 1.7 SE                     2.04                    

...VIRGINIA...
BEACH 4 NW                            8.55                    
MONTROSE 4.7 SSE                      7.83                    
WALLOPS ISLAND                        7.38                    
VARINA 1 N                            7.34                    
BENSLEY 0.8 SSE                       6.46                    
SANDSTON 6.6 ESE                      6.09                    
QUINTON 3.5 WSW                       5.90                    
MOLLUSK 1 SSE                         5.75                    
URBANNA 6.2 NNE                       5.70                    
RICHMOND/BYRD FIELD                   5.44                    
CHINCOTEAGUE 2 SW                     5.35                    
KILMARNOCK 7.1 NNE                    5.10                    
MEADOWVILLE 3 SSW                     4.88                    
FREDERICKSBURG 7.6 ESE                4.59                    
REMLIK 1 N                            4.44                    
RAPPAHANNOCK ACADEMY 2 N              3.95                    
VIRGINIA TECH ARPT                    3.90                    
QUANTICO MCAF                         3.19                    
WEST POINT                            2.97                    
ROANOKE MUNI ARPT                     1.90                    
FORT BELVOIR/DAVISON AFB              1.89                    

...WEST VIRGINIA...
ELKINS/RANDOLPH FIELD                 4.01                    
MARTINSBURG RGNL ARPT                 3.03                    
GRANT COUNTY AIRPORT                  1.96                    
FALLING WATERS 2.4 NW                 1.59                    
WHEELING/OHIO CO. ARPT                1.56                    
HUNTINGTON/TRI-STATE ARPT             1.51                    
MORGANTOWN/HART FIELD                 1.42                    
CHARLESTON/YEARGER ARPT               1.12                    


THE ANOMALOUS UPPER-LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER KENTUCKY IS FORECAST
TO RETROGRADE NORTHWARD DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. MOISTURE
STREAMING NORTHWARD FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN IS EXPECTED TO BRING
HEAVY SHOWERS ACROSS THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND INTO THE LOWER
GREAT LAKES TODAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF AROUND AN
INCH...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...ARE FORECAST ALONG THE
CENTRAL APPALACHIANS...CENTRAL OHIO...AND THE LOWER GREAT LAKES.
BY SATURDAY...THE ANOMALOUS UPPER LOW SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN OVER
THE OHIO VALLEY WHILE THE NEW SURFACE LOW OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC
COAST COULD BRING OVER 1.5 INCHES OF RAIN TO COASTAL SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND AND ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF THE MID-ATLANTIC BEFORE
THE BULK OF THE RAIN SLOWLY EDGES OUT TO SEA. ACROSS THE LOWER
GREAT LAKES...TOTAL ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF OVER AN INCH CAN BE
EXPECTED AS THE ANOMALOUS UPPER LOW WEAKENS. FLASH FLOODING WILL
CONTINUE TO BE A CONCERN FOR A COUPLE MORE DAYS FROM THE GREAT
LAKES TO THE MID-ATLANTIC BEFORE BOTH SYSTEMS WEAKEN OVER THE
WEEKEND. 

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 500 PM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.

FANNING




Last Updated: 1059 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016