THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 12 FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY HEAVY RAINFALL
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
300 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

...THUNDERSTORMS...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...AND FLASH
FLOODING...CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY... 

FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT ACROSS
MUCH OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND INTO WESTERN PORTIONS OF
THE TENNESSEE VALLEY.

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 200 AM CST...AN ANOMALOUSLY LARGE AND DEEP UPPER-LEVEL LOW
LOCATED IN CENTRAL MEXICO CONTINUED TO SLOWLY MOVE NORTHWARD AS
SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE AND UNSTABLE AIR STREAMED NORTHWARD FROM THE
GULF OF MEXICO INTO THE DEEP SOUTH. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...WITH
A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES...WAS LOCATED ABOUT
60 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF CORPUS CHRISTI...TEXAS. AN OCCLUSION
EXTENDED FROM THIS LOW ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS WITH A STATIONARY
FRONT DRAPED ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND INTO THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY AND A COLD FRONT WAS MOVING SLOWLY THROUGH THE
CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADARS AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATED THAT HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUED TO IMPACT AREAS FROM FAR SOUTHEAST TEXAS
TO SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI. MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WAS ALSO
FALLING ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE SURFACE BOUNDARY IN NORTHERN
MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN REPORTED IN
CENTRAL TEXAS AROUND THE SURFACE LOW.

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 600 AM CST MON MAR
07 THROUGH 200 AM CST THU MAR 10...

...ALABAMA...
TUSCALOOSA MUNI ARPT                  1.49                    

...KENTUCKY...
MURRAY                                4.47                    
GRACEY                                4.20                    
BENTON                                3.25                    
GOLDEN POND                           2.73                    
PADUCAH/BARKLEY                       2.63                    
PROVIDENCE                            2.15                    
CANTON                                2.03                    
SEDALIA                               2.00                    
OWENSBORO/DAVIESS CO. ARPT            1.98                    
HENDERSON CITY                        1.95                    
FORT CAMPBELL AAF                     1.70                    
LEWISPORT 2.8 E                       1.68                    
CORYDON 4.3 NE                        1.59                    

...LOUISIANA...
MONROE 2 NNW                         20.90                    
SWARTZ                               19.00                    
BARKSDALE AFB/BOSSIER CITY           18.02                    
RAYVILLE 2 NNE                       14.90                    
BOSSIER CITY 7 SE                    14.40                    
MINDEN 2.0 NE                        12.16                    
NATCHITOCHES REGIONAL AIRPORT        12.14                    
SIMSBORO 1 WNW                       11.20                    
JAMESTOWN                            10.70                    
SHREVEPORT RGNL ARPT                 10.41                    
BIENVILLE 0.5 S                       9.62                    
HOMER 1.2 N                           9.42                    
PLEASANT HILL 10.2 SE                 9.41                    
DELTA COMMUNITY COLLEGE               9.25                    
PONCHATOULA 2 N                       8.44                    
ALBANY                                7.85                    
LAKE PROVIDENCE                       7.56                    
ALEXANRIA/ESLER                       7.06                    
BARKSDALE AFB                         5.00                    

...MISSISSIPPI...
GREENVILLE MUNI ARPT                 10.68                    
SOUTHAVEN 2 SSE                       9.07                    
LELAND 3 ENE                          7.52                    
CLEVELAND                             7.08                    
CLARKESDALE 2.9 W                     6.86                    
SENATOBIA 1.5 S                       5.49                    
JACKSON WFO                           5.03                    
BYHALIA 5.0 ENE                       4.85                    
HATTIESBURG/LAUREL                    4.46                    
HORN LAKE 3 SE                        4.00                    
BATESVILLE 2.2 SSE                    3.71                    
VICKSBURG 2.2 NE                      3.19                    
GRENADA 7.9 NNW                       2.70                    
INDIANOLA 1.1 N                       2.69                    
VICKSBURG/TALLULAH ARPT               2.65                    

...TENNESSEE...
CORDOVA                               8.06                    
WILLISTON 1 E                         7.64                    
MEMPHIS INTL ARPT                     7.31                    
UNION CITY                            6.40                    
COLLIERVILLE 1.2 E                    5.00                    
JACKSON 4.7 NW                        4.44                    
GADSDEN 4.9 SSE                       4.24                    
ATWOOD 0.8 WSW                        3.97                    
STANTON 8.8 E                         3.90                    
BARTLETT 0.9 NE                       3.86                    
SOMERVILLE 1.7 N                      3.85                    
ATOKA 3.2 ESE                         3.57                    
BRUCETON                              3.00                    
DYERSBURG MUNI ARPT                   2.73                    

...TEXAS...
LONGVIEW                             11.60                    
LONGVIEW/GREGG CO. ARPT               9.02                    
KIRBYVILLE 1.5 SE                     9.01                    
NESBITT 4 NW                          7.87                    
MAGNOLIA 2.8 S                        7.68                    
PARADISE 6.6 SW                       7.35                    
ZAVALLA 8.4 W                         7.18                    
MINERAL WELLS                         7.03                    
PINELAND 5 E                          6.70                    
MARSHALL 9.7 SE                       6.43                    
MURCHINSON 4 S                        6.34                    
BIG SANDY                             6.24                    
MINERAL WELLS 1 SSW                   6.03                    
BEN WHEELER 3.9 ESE                   6.00                    
DECATUR 4 W                           5.81                    
GALVESTON 6.4 NE                      5.09                    
CORPUS CHRISTI INTL ARPT              4.65                    
ARLINGTON MUNI ARPT                   2.27                    
DALLAS/LOVE FIELD                     2.27                    
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT                 2.27                    
BROWNSVILLE INTL ARPT                 2.18                    

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES WHERE THE EVENT HAS
ENDED...

...ARKANSAS...
HAMBURG S                            13.50                    
EUDORA S                             12.80                    
CROSSETT 2 SE                        12.30                    
DERMOTT 4 NE                         10.90                    
SEARCY MUNI AIRPORT                  10.84                    
MONTICELLO AIRPORT                    7.76                    
MONTICELLO ARPT                       7.71                    
PINE BLUFF/GRIDER FIELD               7.60                    
STUTTGART MUNI ARPT                   7.38                    
BRADLEY 7.8 W                         6.36                    
MARVELL 4.1 W                         5.72                    
MARIANNA 3.1 WNW                      5.65                    
MCNEIL 1.4 E                          5.60                    
LITTLE ROCK/ADAMS FIELD               5.38                    
TEXARKANA RGNL ARPT                   5.19                    
WALDO 4.2 S                           4.82                    
EL DORADO/GOODWIN FIELD               4.71                    
BLYTHEVILLE ARPT                      4.05                    
MOUNT IDA                             3.83                    
FAYETTEVILLE/DRAKE FIELD              2.29                    
BENTONVILLE                           1.51                    

...ILLINOIS...
CAIRO                                 2.19                    

...INDIANA...
EVANSVILLE 6 W                        1.20                    

...OKLAHOMA...
POTEAU/ROBERT S KERR ARPT             2.54                    
ADA 0.3 NNW                           2.38                    
SULPHUR 2.5 WSW                       2.36                    
MCALESTER REGIONAL ARPT               1.70                    
TULSA INTL ARPT                       1.47                    


THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER NORTHERN MEXICO IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT VERY
SLOWLY NORTHWARD TOWARD TEXAS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS A
WELL-DEFINED FRONT REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. A CONTINUOUS
FLOW OF WARM...MOIST...AND UNSTABLE AIR FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO
WILL BE LIFTED ALONG THE FRONT RESULTING IN MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF
HEAVY RAINFALL WITH FLASH FLOODING LIKELY. OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS...HEAVY RAIN WILL FOCUS OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES
WHERE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 2 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS...WILL BE POSSIBLE. EVEN HIGHER AMOUNTS APPROACHING 10
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST INCLUDING PORTIONS OF FAR
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND FAR SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI. FARTHER
NORTH...LIGHTER RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO AN INCH OR TWO MAY BE
POSSIBLE THROUGH THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND INTO THE
WESTERN OHIO VALLEY. BY SUNDAY...HEAVY RAINFALL SHOULD COME TO AN
END AS THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW WEAKENS AND MOISTURE FLOW FROM THE GULF
OF MEXICO IS CUT OFF. 

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 900 AM CST. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.

SANTORELLI




Last Updated: 352 AM EST FRI MAR 11 2016