THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 10 FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS TO OHIO VALLEY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND FREEZING RAIN EVENT
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
300 AM CST FRI FEB 23 2018

...SLOW-MOVING FRONTS CONTINUE TO BRING HEAVY RAINFALL FROM THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS TO OHIO VALLEY WHILE FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW IMPACT
AREAS FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS TO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES... 

FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS AND WATCHES AS WELL AS FLOOD
ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FROM EASTERN TEXAS NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS
THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI...TENNESSEE...AND OHIO VALLEYS.

WINTER STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR SMALL PORTIONS OF THE
ARROWHEAD OF MINNESOTA AND THE UPPER PENINSULA OF MICHIGAN.

WINTER STORM WATCHES AND WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT
FOR THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST AND UPPER GREAT
LAKES...AND FOR PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN APPALACHIANS.

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 200 AM CST...A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WITH A CENTRAL
PRESSURE OF 1022 MB OR 30.18 INCHES WAS LOCATED IN SOUTHERN
ARKANSAS. A SLOWLY MOVING COLD FRONT STRETCHED FROM THIS LOW INTO
EASTERN TEXAS...WHILE A WARM FRONT STRETCHED NORTHEAST THROUGH THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY. ADDITIONALLY...A SURFACE LOW WITH A CENTRAL
PRESSURE OF 1019 MB OR 30.09 INCHES HAD FORMED IN SOUTHEASTERN
IOWA...WITH A FRONT EXTENDING SOUTH THROUGH THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY. NWS DOPPLER RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATED THAT
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS STRETCHED FROM THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND INTO THE
OHIO VALLEY. ANOTHER AREA OF PRECIPITATION WAS LOCATED FROM THE
NORTHERN PLAINS THROUGH THE MIDDLE AND UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO
UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION. THIS PRECIPITATION WAS IN THE FORM OF
SNOW FOR THE DAKOTAS AND MINNESOTA...WHILE MIXED PRECIPITATION AND
FREEZING RAIN WERE OCCURRING IN EASTERN IOWA AND WISCONSIN.

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL FREEZING RAIN ICE AMOUNTS IN INCHES FROM
200 AM CST TUE FEB 20 THROUGH 200 AM CST FRI FEB 23...

...IOWA...
GRAFTON                               0.38                    
DES MOINES 1 WNW                      0.20                    
MURRAY 1 W                            0.20                    
IOWA FALLS 1 NE                       0.19                    
ALBIA                                 0.13                    
FAYETTE 2 NNW                         0.10                    
MONTEZUMA 1 W                         0.10                    
NEW HAMPTON                           0.10                    
OTTUMWA 1 NE                          0.10                    
WAUKEE 1 N                            0.10                    

...KANSAS...
ALTOONA 5 N                           0.25                    
HUMBOLDT 5 ESE                        0.25                    
LAWRENCE 2 SW                         0.25                    
OLPE 5 NNW                            0.25                    
BERRYTON 1 W                          0.22                    
BLAINE                                0.20                    
CONCORDIA 2 SSE                       0.20                    
MARION                                0.20                    
TECUMSEH 3 NW                         0.18                    
LAWRENCE 4 NE                         0.16                    

...MISSOURI...
BETHANY                               0.25                    
PLEASANT HILL 2 N                     0.19                    
VICHY 1 NNW                           0.16                    
LAKE LOTAWANA 1 NW                    0.13                    
STRASBURG 3 NNE                       0.13                    
DESLOGE                               0.12                    
PRINCETON                             0.12                    
ATLANTA                               0.10                    
COLE CAMP                             0.10                    
LAKE MYKEE 1 SSW                      0.10                    

...PENNSYLVANIA...
DUSHORE                               0.20                    
CYCLONE                               0.10                    
OIL CITY                              0.10                    

...WISCONSIN...
ASHWAUBENON                           0.20                    
LA VALLE                              0.20                    
RIPLINGER 7 SSE                       0.20                    
SHAWANO 1 SSE                         0.18                    
OCONTO                                0.15                    
OSHKOSH                               0.15                    
STODDARD 5 NNE                        0.15                    
OMRO                                  0.12                    
THREE LAKES                           0.12                    
ALMOND                                0.10                    

...SELECTED PRELIMINARY STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 200 AM
CST TUE FEB 20 THROUGH 200 AM CST FRI FEB 23...

...ARKANSAS...
SWEET HOME 2 ESE                      8.06                    
HOT SPRINGS MEMORIAL FIELD ARPT       7.00                    
LITTLE ROCK AIR FORCE BASE            6.90                    
TEXARKANA RGNL-WEBB FIELD             6.61                    
JONESBORO MUNI ARPT                   6.58                    
MONTICELLO 2 WNW                      5.74                    
MCGEHEE 1 N                           5.50                    
CROSSETT 3 NNE                        5.45                    
CATO 3 SSE                            5.16                    

...ILLINOIS...
ST. ANNE                              5.73                    
HOMER 2 N                             5.29                    
WILLARD AIRPORT                       4.67                    
SIDNEY 1 N                            4.54                    
PAXTON 2 WSW                          4.52                    
DANVILLE                              4.38                    
HENNING 3 SSE                         4.38                    
CRETE 4 SSE                           4.37                    
HOOPESTON                             4.35                    
MONEE                                 4.35                    

...INDIANA...
SOUTH BEND 1 NW                       7.60                    
NORTH JUDSON                          7.18                    
DUNLAP                                7.00                    
NEW CARLISLE 7.3 WNW                  6.69                    
WHEATFIELD 2 SSE                      6.50                    
DE MOTTE 1 NNW                        6.41                    
CONRAD 3 ESE                          6.11                    
BREMEN 4 WSW                          6.07                    
MOROCCO 1 N                           5.53                    
LEESBURG                              5.50                    

...KENTUCKY...
COLVILLE 1 E                          4.10                    
LAWRENCEBURG 5 SSE                    3.50                    
DUNCAN 1 WNW                          3.40                    
HARRODSBURG 11 NW                     3.40                    
SALVISA 3 NNW                         3.34                    
NONESUCH 5 N                          3.23                    
VERSAILLES 6 SSW                      3.23                    
SPRINGFIELD 2 N                       3.10                    
MOUNT OLIVET 4 NNE                    3.01                    
LEXINGTON BLUE GRASS AI               2.97                    
LOUISVILLE INTL-STANDIFORD FIELD      2.69                    

...LOUISIANA...
NOBLE 2 ESE                           8.58                    
COUSHATTA 1 NE                        6.32                    
WINNSBORO 8 WSW                       6.00                    
SHREVEPORT - BARKSDALE AFB            5.68                    
RUSTON 5 ENE                          5.58                    
MONROE 2 WNW                          5.27                    
COLUMBIA 4 NNW                        4.75                    
PLEASANT HILL 10 SE                   4.69                    
BOSSIER CITY 4 S                      4.58                    
ROCKY BRANCH 1 W                      4.24                    

...MISSOURI...
POPLAR BLUFF MUNI ARPT                4.38                    
SHREWSBURY                            3.75                    
SALEM 15 E                            3.66                    
MOUNTAIN VIEW 7 NE                    3.23                    
FAIRDEALING 6 W                       3.15                    
DIEHLSTADT                            3.12                    
RAYMONDVILLE 4 SE                     3.04                    
HOUSTON 5 ESE                         3.02                    
EMINENCE 1 SSE                        2.90                    
LINN 1 NW                             2.87                    

...MISSISSIPPI...
DODDSVILLE 4 W                        6.43                    
SENATOBIA 2 S                         5.94                    
CLARKSDALE 3 SW                       5.05                    
BATESVILLE 4 ESE                      3.28                    
SOUTHAVEN 5 SE                        2.84                    
CLEVELAND                             2.67                    
BYHALIA 6 N                           1.68                    
VAIDEN 5 WNW                          1.67                    
VICKSBURG 7 NE                        1.57                    
GRENADA 6 SSW                         1.54                    

...OHIO...
ASSUMPTION                            5.04                    
OTTAWA                                2.83                    
ROME 4 NE                             2.50                    
LUCASVILLE 1 ENE                      2.45                    
ROSEMOUNT W                           2.36                    
ABERDEEN 5 NE                         2.27                    
RIPLEY 3 NE                           2.22                    
RARDEN 7 NE                           2.20                    
PORTSMOUTH 5 N                        2.07                    
VAN WERT                              2.03                    
CINCINNATI 7 E                        1.32                    

...OKLAHOMA...
VALLIANT                              8.37                    
BROKEN BOW                            8.24                    
IDABEL                                8.00                    

...PENNSYLVANIA...
PERRYOPOLIS                           1.39                    

...TENNESSEE...
OAKLAND 1 NE                          3.82                    
SOMERVILLE 1 E                        3.80                    
MEMPHIS INTL ARPT                     3.36                    
TENNESSEE RIDGE 3 S                   3.32                    
JACKSON 4 N                           3.24                    
CUMBERLAND CITY 1 ESE                 3.21                    
MEDINA NNW                            3.20                    
STANTON 9 E                           3.08                    
BIG SANDY 1 NE                        3.00                    
CLARKSVILLE 10 WSW                    3.00                    
ARLINGTON 1 SW                        2.77                    

...TEXAS...
COLMESNEIL 12 ESE                     8.61                    
CUMBY                                 7.13                    
PARIS/COX FIELD                       6.90                    
DALLAS LOVE FIELD                     6.43                    
ROWLETT 2 NW                          6.24                    
BROADDUS 15 SE                        6.22                    
SACHSE 1 NE                           6.12                    
ANNA 4 SSW                            5.10                    

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL FREEZING RAIN IN INCHES WHERE THE EVENT
HAS ENDED...

...ARKANSAS...
DRAKE FIELD AIRPORT                   0.05                    
HIGHFILL                              0.01                    
HARRISON                              0.00                    

...ILLINOIS...
HENNEPIN                              0.12                    
MAEYSTOWN 2 SSW                       0.10                    
PEORIA                                0.10                    
MOUNT STERLING                        0.01                    
QUINCY                                0.01                    

...MICHIGAN...
ALOHA 1 SSE                           0.25                    
HARVEY 3 SE                           0.20                    
LEVERING                              0.19                    
ALPENA                                0.13                    
IRON MOUNTAIN 4 NNE                   0.10                    
NEGAUNEE 4 NE                         0.10                    
NORWAY 1 SSE                          0.10                    
SAINT IGNACE                          0.10                    
THREE LAKES 2 ESE                     0.10                    
WATERS 1 NW                           0.10                    
ENGADINE                              0.06                    

...MINNESOTA...
AUSTIN                                0.20                    
FILLMORE 3 WSW                        0.10                    
ROCHESTER 1 SW                        0.10                    

...OKLAHOMA...
STRATFORD 3 N                         0.40                    
COGAR 3 N                             0.38                    
SHAWNEE 1 E                           0.35                    
FILLMORE                              0.25                    
PINE 1 E                              0.25                    
WAYNE                                 0.25                    
BARTLESVILLE                          0.24                    
MCALESTER REGIONAL AIRP               0.21                    
LAKE THUNDERBIRD 5 SW                 0.20                    
ENID                                  0.15                    
KEYSTONE STATE PARK                   0.15                    
TULSA 5 W                             0.10                    

...TEXAS...
WHEELER                               0.20                    
CANADIAN                              0.15                    
HIGGINS                               0.15                    
WELLINGTON                            0.15                    
HOWARDWICK                            0.10                    

...SELECTED PRELIMINARY STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES WHERE THE
EVENT HAS ENDED...

...MICHIGAN...
CONSTANTINE 2 E                       6.09                    
BARRON LAKE                           5.09                    
NILES 2.7 W                           4.73                    
BELLEVUE                              4.54                    
PINCKNEY 4 NE                         3.36                    
KENTWOOD 3 ENE                        3.26                    
EAST GRAND RAPIDS 1 SSW               3.19                    
FLINT 1 ESE                           2.88                    
ANN ARBOR 3 SE                        2.54                    

...WISCONSIN...
WEST ALLIS 2 NE                       2.12                    
JACKSON 2 E                           1.60                    
LAKE CATHERINE 1 NNE                  1.60                    
ARLINGTON                             1.32                    
SULLIVAN 4 SSE                        1.30                    
OREGON                                1.17                    
SAINT FRANCIS 1 WSW                   1.11                    

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL SLEET AMOUNTS IN INCHES WHERE THE EVENT
HAS ENDED...

...KANSAS...
NEWTON                                1.00                    
GODDARD                               0.40                    
MAYETTA 5 WNW                         0.30                    
NWS WICHITA                           0.30                    
BUHLER NE                             0.25                    
CLEVELAND 3 ENE                       0.25                    
HALSTEAD NNE                          0.20                    

...OKLAHOMA...
DUNCAN                                1.00                    
OKLAHOMA CITY 3 SW                    0.50                    

...TEXAS...
ANSON                                 1.00                    
BAIRD                                 1.00                    
BLACKWELL                             1.00                    
HASKELL                               1.00                    
ABILENE                               0.80                    


THE FRONTAL SYSTEMS ARE EXPECTED TO JOIN TOGETHER FRIDAY AND
REMAIN FOCAL POINTS FOR MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE
NEXT FEW DAYS. THE SURFACE LOW IN THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
WILL MOVE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION ON
FRIDAY...BRINGING THE COLD FRONT WITH IT THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY
ON SATURDAY. FARTHER SOUTH...THE WARM FRONT WILL LIFT SLOWLY NORTH
THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THE AXIS
OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL EXTEND FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE
LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...EASTWARD INTO THE OHIO VALLEY BY
SATURDAY EVENING. THESE REGIONS CAN EXPECT AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4
INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. MODERATE RISKS
OF FLASH FLOODING ARE IN PLACE FOR NORTHEASTERN
TEXAS...SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...AND ARKANSAS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
DAYS...EXTENDING INTO THE OHIO VALLEY BY SATURDAY. THE POTENTIAL
FLOODING MAY OVERWHELM MAIN STEM RIVERS AND CAUSE MAJOR RIVER
FLOODING. ADDITIONALLY...IN THE COLDER AIR BEHIND THE COLD
FRONT...LIGHT ACCUMULATING ICE WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH SATURDAY
FOR PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS...MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY...AND UPPER GREAT LAKES. NORTH OF THE ICE POTENTIAL...HEAVY
SNOW IS EXPECTED FOR THE UPPER MIDWEST TO UPPER GREAT LAKES
THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH 8 TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. ICE
ACCUMULATION IS ALSO FORECAST FOR PORTIONS OF THE INTERIOR
NORTHEAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH OVER A TENTH OF AN INCH
POSSIBLE.

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 900 AM CST. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.

TATE




Last Updated: 359 AM EST FRI FEB 23 2018