THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 15 FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS TO OHIO VALLEY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND FREEZING RAIN EVENT
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
900 AM CST SAT FEB 24 2018

...RAIN CONTINUES FROM CENTRAL OKLAHOMA EASTWARD THROUGH THE OHIO
VALLEY WHILE SOME MIXED PRECIPITATION IS OCCURRING IN PARTS OF THE
CENTRAL PLAINS AND MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY... 

WINTER STORM WARNINGS AND WATCHES AND WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES
ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST IN
ADDITION TO PARTS OF NEW ENGLAND.

FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS AND WATCHES AS WELL AS FLOOD
ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FROM NORTH TEXAS NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
LOWER AND MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI...TENNESSEE...AND OHIO VALLEYS...AND
PENNSYLVANIA.

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 800 AM CST...A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WITH A CENTRAL
PRESSURE OF 1005 MB...29.67 INCHES...WAS LOCATED IN NORTHEASTERN
NEW MEXICO. FROM THIS LOW...AN OCCLUDED FRONT ALONG WITH A COLD
FRONT EXTENDED INTO NEW MEXICO WHILE A STATIONARY FRONT STRETCHED
THROUGH TEXAS... THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...TENNESSEE
VALLEY...OHIO VALLEY...AND THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION. ANOTHER
QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT WAS LOCATED IN EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
SOUTHERN MISSOURI. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATED THAT MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WAS
OCCURRING ALONG THE QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.
LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN WAS ALSO OCCURRING FROM THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE OHIO VALLEY AND WESTERN PARTS OF THE
NORTHEAST. LIGHT RAIN WAS OBSERVED IN THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. ON THE
NORTHERN SIDE OF THE PRECIPITATION SHIELD...LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW
ALONG WITH FREEZING RAIN WAS OCCURRING IN THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
PLAINS ALONG WITH PARTS OF THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL FREEZING RAIN ICE AMOUNTS IN INCHES FROM
200 AM CST TUE FEB 20 THROUGH 800 AM CST SAT FEB 24...

...IOWA...
GRAFTON                               0.38                    
DES MOINES 1 WNW                      0.20                    
MURRAY 1 W                            0.20                    
IOWA FALLS 1 NE                       0.19                    
ALBIA                                 0.13                    
FAYETTE 2 NNW                         0.10                    
MONTEZUMA 1 W                         0.10                    
NEW HAMPTON                           0.10                    
OTTUMWA 1 NE                          0.10                    
WAUKEE 1 N                            0.10                    
EDGEWOOD                              0.01                    
ELKADER                               0.01                    
STRAWBERRY POINT                      0.01                    

...MISSOURI...
BETHANY                               0.25                    
PLEASANT HILL 2 N                     0.19                    
VICHY 1 NNW                           0.16                    
LAKE LOTAWANA 1 NW                    0.13                    
STRASBURG 3 NNE                       0.13                    
DESLOGE                               0.12                    
PRINCETON                             0.12                    
ATLANTA                               0.10                    
COLE CAMP                             0.10                    
LAKE MYKEE 1 SSW                      0.10                    

...NEW YORK...
LITTLE FALLS 4 N                      0.10                    

...OKLAHOMA...
STRATFORD 3 N                         0.40                    
COGAR 3 N                             0.38                    
SHAWNEE 1 E                           0.35                    
FILLMORE                              0.25                    
PINE 1 E                              0.25                    
WAYNE                                 0.25                    
BARTLESVILLE                          0.24                    
MCALESTER REGIONAL AIRP               0.21                    
LAKE THUNDERBIRD 5 SW                 0.20                    
ENID                                  0.15                    
KEYSTONE STATE PARK                   0.15                    
TULSA 5 W                             0.10                    

...PENNSYLVANIA...
POCONO MOUNTAINS AIRPOR               0.07                    

...SELECTED PRELIMINARY STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 200 AM
CST TUE FEB 20 THROUGH 800 AM CST SAT FEB 24...

...ARKANSAS...
MOUNT IDA 12 E                       10.52                    
HOT SPRINGS 3 SW                     10.19                    
HOUSTON 5 S                           9.84                    
MAUMELLE 1 SE                         9.84                    
BIGELOW 6 SSW                         9.81                    
LITTLE ROCK 15 W                      9.72                    
ANTOINE                               9.20                    
BRYANT 1 NE                           9.18                    
NASHVILLE 1 NE                        9.17                    
BENTON 11 WSW                         9.11                    
MALVERN                               9.07                    
LITTLE ROCK AIR FORCE BASE            8.62                    

...ILLINOIS...
MORRIS 5 NNW                          6.66                    
HENNING 3 SSE                         5.90                    
FULTS 4 ENE                           5.83                    
HOMER 2 N                             5.73                    
ST. ANNE                              5.73                    
WILLARD AIRPORT                       4.67                    
SIDNEY 1 N                            4.54                    
PAXTON 2 WSW                          4.52                    
CRETE 4 SSE                           4.37                    
HOOPESTON                             4.35                    

...INDIANA...
SOUTH BEND 1 NW                       7.60                    
NORTH JUDSON                          7.18                    
DUNLAP                                7.00                    
VALPARAISO 1 NE                       6.89                    
NEW CARLISLE 7 WNW                    6.69                    
WHEATFIELD 2 SSE                      6.50                    
DE MOTTE 1 NNW                        6.41                    
GRANGER 2 ENE                         6.23                    
CONRAD 3 ESE                          6.11                    
BREMEN 4 WSW                          6.07                    
MOROCCO 1 N                           5.53                    
LEESBURG                              5.50                    
PURDUE UNIVERSITY AIRPORT             3.25                    

...KENTUCKY...
HUNTERS HOLLOW 1 ENE                  9.55                    
FULTON 5 W                            5.98                    
CALVERT CITY                          5.76                    
HOPKINSVILLE                          5.59                    
SIKESTOWN 1 W                         5.48                    
CALHOUN                               5.43                    
POWDERLY                              5.34                    
MURRAY                                5.26                    
CALVERT CITY 1 ESE                    5.25                    
GOLDEN POND                           5.25                    
MAYFIELD GRAVES COUNTY AIRPORT        4.93                    
LOUISVILLE INTL-STANDIFORD FIELD      4.09                    
PADUCAH - BARKLEY REGIONAL AIRPORT    3.85                    

...LOUISIANA...
NOBLE 2 ESE                           9.57                    
GEORGETOWN                            8.26                    
PLAIN DEALING 3 ESE                   6.69                    
RUSTON 6 NNW                          6.66                    
COUSHATTA 1 NE                        6.35                    
BOSSIER CITY 2 W                      6.06                    
WINNSBORO 8 WSW                       6.00                    
SHREVEPORT - BARKSDALE AFB            5.72                    
RUSTON 5 ENE                          5.58                    
COLUMBIA 4 NNW                        5.31                    
MONROE 2 WNW                          5.27                    
PLEASANT HILL 10 SE                   4.85                    

...MISSOURI...
KENNETT 1 N                           6.72                    
SLAME 15 E                            6.48                    
SALEM 15 E                            5.68                    
KENNETT                               5.63                    
SIKESTON 1 W                          5.48                    
DEXTER 2 W                            5.08                    
SPRINGFIELD REGIONAL AIRPORT          4.79                    
POPLAR BLUFF MUNI ARPT                4.60                    
CAPE GIRARDEAU RGL ARPT               3.93                    
SHREWSBURY                            3.75                    

...MISSISSIPPI...
LELAND 3 ENE                          8.77                    
YALLABUSHA                            7.03                    
LAKE VILLAGE 6 SE                     6.69                    
SENATOBIA 2 S                         6.51                    
DODDSVILLE 4 W                        6.48                    
INDIANOLA 1 N                         6.29                    
SCOTT                                 5.24                    
CLARKSDALE 3 SW                       5.05                    
MOORHEAD                              4.87                    
COFFEEVILLE                           4.85                    
TUPELO REGIONAL AIRPORT               3.72                    
BATESVILLE 4 ESE                      3.28                    

...OHIO...
ASSUMPTION                            5.04                    
STEWART 5 NNE                         3.31                    
ATHENS 5 ESE                          3.22                    
RED OAK                               3.18                    
GEORGETOWN                            2.93                    
OTTAWA                                2.83                    
ROME 4 NE                             2.50                    
CINCINNATI MUNI ARPT                  2.49                    
LUCASVILLE 1 ENE                      2.45                    
ROSEMOUNT W                           2.36                    
ABERDEEN 5 NE                         2.27                    
RIPLEY 3 NE                           2.22                    

...OKLAHOMA...
HAWORTH NNW                          11.01                    
IDABEL 2 SE                           9.96                    
EUFAULA 5 ENE                         9.58                    
BROKEN BOW                            9.48                    
IDABEL                                9.18                    
VALLIANT                              8.57                    
WESTVILLE ENE                         6.75                    
BUNCH 1 N                             6.14                    
MUSKOGEE                              5.89                    
ADA NNW                               5.61                    
MORRIS 2 SW                           4.98                    

...PENNSYLVANIA...
PERRYOPOLIS                           2.85                    
LEECHBURG 1 SW                        2.83                    
GREENSBURG                            2.20                    
PITTSBURGH - ALLEGHENY CO ARPT        1.91                    

...TENNESSEE...
TIPTONVILLE - REELFOOT LAKE           5.69                    
UNION CITY                            4.89                    
MILAN                                 4.87                    
GERMANTOWN                            4.85                    
JACKSON                               3.98                    
OAKLAND 1 NE                          3.82                    
SOMERVILLE 1 E                        3.80                    
MEMPHIS INTL ARPT                     3.40                    
TENNESSEE RIDGE 3 S                   3.32                    
CUMBERLAND CITY 1 ESE                 3.21                    

...TEXAS...
COLMESNEIL 12 ESE                     9.40                    
UNIVERSITY PARK 3 WNW                 9.16                    
EDGECLIFF 4 WSW                       8.66                    
TEXARKANA                             8.35                    
CLARKSVILLE                           8.15                    
GARLAND 4 S                           8.15                    
LUMBERTON 1 WNW                       8.15                    
DALLAS LOVE FIELD                     8.14                    
ROWLETT 2 NW                          8.12                    
CELESTE 2 SSE                         8.10                    
CUMBY 2 N                             8.08                    
PARIS/COX FIELD                       8.08                    
MCKINNEY 2 ESE                        7.86                    

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL FREEZING RAIN IN INCHES WHERE THE EVENT
HAS ENDED...

...ARKANSAS...
DRAKE FIELD AIRPORT                   0.05                    
HIGHFILL                              0.01                    
HARRISON                              0.00                    

...ILLINOIS...
HENNEPIN                              0.12                    
MAEYSTOWN 2 SSW                       0.10                    
PEORIA                                0.10                    
MOUNT STERLING                        0.01                    
QUINCY                                0.01                    

...KANSAS...
ALTOONA 5 N                           0.25                    
HUMBOLDT 5 ESE                        0.25                    
LAWRENCE 2 SW                         0.25                    
OLPE 5 NNW                            0.25                    
BERRYTON 1 W                          0.22                    
BLAINE                                0.20                    
CONCORDIA 2 SSE                       0.20                    
MARION                                0.20                    
TECUMSEH 3 NW                         0.18                    
LAWRENCE 4 NE                         0.16                    
BURR OAK                              0.10                    

...MASSACHUSETTS...
HINSDALE 4 E                          0.20                    

...MICHIGAN...
ALOHA 1 SSE                           0.25                    
HARVEY 3 SE                           0.20                    
LEVERING                              0.19                    
ALPENA                                0.13                    
IRON MOUNTAIN 4 NNE                   0.10                    
NEGAUNEE 4 NE                         0.10                    
NORWAY 1 SSE                          0.10                    
SAINT IGNACE                          0.10                    
THREE LAKES 2 ESE                     0.10                    
WATERS 1 NW                           0.10                    

...MINNESOTA...
AUSTIN                                0.20                    
FILLMORE 3 WSW                        0.10                    
ROCHESTER 1 SW                        0.10                    

...NEBRASKA...
FRANKLIN                              0.00                    

...NEW JERSEY...
HIGH POINT                            0.10                    

...PENNSYLVANIA...
DUSHORE                               0.20                    
CYCLONE                               0.10                    
OIL CITY                              0.10                    
POCONO MOUNTAINS AIRPORT              0.07                    

...TEXAS...
WHEELER                               0.20                    
CANADIAN                              0.15                    
HIGGINS                               0.15                    
WELLINGTON                            0.15                    
HOWARDWICK                            0.10                    

...WISCONSIN...
ASHWAUBENON                           0.20                    
LA VALLE                              0.20                    
RIPLINGER 7 SSE                       0.20                    
SHAWANO 1 SSE                         0.18                    
OCONTO                                0.15                    
OSHKOSH                               0.15                    
STODDARD 5 NNE                        0.15                    
OMRO                                  0.12                    
THREE LAKES                           0.12                    
ALMOND                                0.10                    
IOLA 4 W                              0.10                    

...SELECTED PRELIMINARY STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES WHERE THE
EVENT HAS ENDED...

...INDIANA...
DE MOTTE 1 NNW                        6.14                    

...MICHIGAN...
CONSTANTINE 2 E                       6.16                    
BARRON LAKE                           5.09                    
NILES 2.7 W                           4.73                    
BELLEVUE                              4.54                    
PINCKNEY 4 NE                         3.36                    
KENTWOOD 3 ENE                        3.26                    
EAST GRAND RAPIDS 1 SSW               3.19                    
FLINT 1 ESE                           2.88                    
ANN ARBOR 3 SE                        2.54                    

...WISCONSIN...
WEST ALLIS 2 NE                       2.12                    
JACKSON 2 E                           1.60                    
LAKE CATHERINE 1 NNE                  1.60                    
ARLINGTON                             1.32                    
SULLIVAN 4 SSE                        1.30                    
OREGON                                1.17                    
SAINT FRANCIS 1 WSW                   1.11                    

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL SLEET AMOUNTS IN INCHES WHERE THE EVENT
HAS ENDED...

...KANSAS...
NEWTON                                1.00                    
GODDARD                               0.40                    
MAYETTA 5 WNW                         0.30                    
NWS WICHITA                           0.30                    
BUHLER NE                             0.25                    
CLEVELAND 3 ENE                       0.25                    
HALSTEAD NNE                          0.20                    

...OKLAHOMA...
DUNCAN                                1.00                    
OKLAHOMA CITY 3 SW                    0.50                    

...TEXAS...
ANSON                                 1.00                    
BAIRD                                 1.00                    
BLACKWELL                             1.00                    
HASKELL                               1.00                    
ABILENE                               0.80                    
WHEELER                               0.20                    
CANADIAN                              0.10                    
HIGGINS                               0.10                    
WELLINGTON                            0.10                    


THE SURFACE LOW IN NEW MEXICO IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD
THROUGH THE WEEKEND...BRINGING THE COLD FRONT WITH IT THROUGH THE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON SATURDAY EVENING AND THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY
ON SUNDAY. THE FRONT LOCATED IN TEXAS WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD
THROUGH THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON SATURDAY. THE PORTION OF
THAT FRONT FARTHER EAST WILL LINGER IN THE OHIO VALLEY BEFORE THE
COLD FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH. ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS
IS EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT THIS WEEKEND. THE AXIS OF
HEAVY RAINFALL FOR SATURDAY WILL ONCE AGAIN BE FROM NORTH TEXAS
NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE OHIO VALLEY AND PARTS OF THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY. THESE AREAS CAN EXPECT 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS. BECAUSE SOILS IN THESE AREAS ARE ALREADY SATURATED
FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL...ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL COULD
OVERWHELM RIVERS AND CAUSE MAJOR FLOODING. CONSEQUENTLY...A HIGH
RISK OF FLASH FLOODING IS IN PLACE THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR
SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH SOUTHWESTERN OHIO. BY
SUNDAY...AS THE COLD FRONT SWEEPS EASTWARD...THE AXIS OF HEAVY
RAINFALL SHIFTS SOUTH FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND THE
SOUTHEAST...WITH 1 TO 2 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS...EXPECTED FOR THESE REGIONS. IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS TO
MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WHERE COLDER AIR IS IN
PLACE...ADDITIONAL LIGHT ICING IS POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY.
ALSO...ADDITIONAL HEAVY SNOW OF 6 TO 10 INCHES IS POSSIBLE FOR
PORTIONS OF THE UPPER MIDWEST ON SATURDAY. 

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 300 PM CST. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.

REINHART




Last Updated: 958 AM EST SAT FEB 24 2018