THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 16 FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS TO OHIO VALLEY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND FREEZING RAIN EVENT
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
300 PM CST SAT FEB 24 2018

...LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE
RED RIVER VALLEY AND THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WITH LIGHT RAIN
IN THE MID-ATLANTIC AND SNOW IN THE UPPER MIDWEST... 

WINTER STORM WARNINGS AND WATCHES AND WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES
ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST IN
ADDITION TO PARTS OF NEW ENGLAND.

FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS AND WATCHES AS WELL AS FLOOD
ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FROM NORTH TEXAS NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
LOWER AND MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI...TENNESSEE...AND OHIO VALLEYS...AND
PENNSYLVANIA.

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 200 PM CST...A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WITH A CENTRAL
PRESSURE OF 1005 MB...29.67 INCHES...WAS LOCATED IN SOUTHEASTERN
OKLAHOMA. FROM THIS LOW...A COLD FRONT WAS PUSHING SOUTHWARD
ACROSS CENTRAL AND WEST TEXAS. A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDED EAST OF
THE LOW ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...OHIO VALLEY...AND
THE MID-ATLANTIC REGIONS. ANOTHER QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT WAS
STRETCHED FROM EASTERN OKLAHOMA TO THE OHIO VALLEY. NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATED A
LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVING EASTWARD FROM NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND
EAST TEXAS. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALSO OBSERVED IN
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...NORTHEAST ARKANSAS...WESTERN TENNESSEE AND
KENTUCKY. LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN WAS FALLING IN THE EASTERN
TENNESSEE VALLEY UPWARDS INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC AND THE SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST. LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW...ALONG WITH
PATCHES OF FREEZING RAIN...WERE OBSERVED IN THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY AND PARTS OF THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PLAINS. 

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL FREEZING RAIN ICE AMOUNTS IN INCHES FROM
200 AM CST TUE FEB 20 THROUGH 200 PM CST SAT FEB 24...

...IOWA...
GRAFTON                               0.38                    
DES MOINES 1 WNW                      0.20                    
MURRAY 1 W                            0.20                    
IOWA FALLS 1 NE                       0.19                    
ALBIA                                 0.13                    
FAYETTE 2 NNW                         0.10                    
MONTEZUMA 1 W                         0.10                    
NEW HAMPTON                           0.10                    
OTTUMWA 1 NE                          0.10                    
WAUKEE 1 N                            0.10                    
EDGEWOOD                              0.01                    
ELKADER                               0.01                    
STRAWBERRY POINT                      0.01                    

...MASSACHUSETTS...
HINSDALE 4 E                          0.20                    

...NEW YORK...
LITTLE FALLS 4 N                      0.10                    

...PENNSYLVANIA...
POCONO MOUNTAINS AIRPOR               0.07                    

...SELECTED PRELIMINARY STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 200 AM
CST TUE FEB 20 THROUGH 200 PM CST SAT FEB 24...

...ARKANSAS...
MOUNT IDA 12 E                       10.52                    
HOT SPRINGS 3 SW                     10.19                    
HOUSTON 5 S                           9.84                    
MAUMELLE 1 SE                         9.84                    
BIGELOW 6 SSW                         9.81                    
LITTLE ROCK 15 W                      9.72                    
ANTOINE                               9.20                    
BRYANT 1 NE                           9.18                    
NASHVILLE 1 NE                        9.17                    
BENTON 11 WSW                         9.11                    
LITTLE ROCK AIR FORCE BASE            8.83                    

...ILLINOIS...
MORRIS 5 NNW                          6.66                    
SAVOY 1 SSE                           6.11                    
CHAMPAIGN 4 W                         6.07                    
SIDNEY 1 N                            6.01                    
ST. ANNE 3 NNE                        5.95                    
HENNING 3 SSE                         5.90                    
DANVILLE 4 NW                         5.88                    
URBANA 1 SSE                          5.85                    
FULTS 4 ENE                           5.83                    
HOMER 2 N                             5.73                    
ST. JOSEPH 1 SSW                      5.55                    
COBDEN 1 SSE                          5.53                    

...INDIANA...
SOUTH BEND 1 NW                       7.60                    
NORTH JUDSON                          7.18                    
DUNLAP                                7.00                    
VALPARAISO 1 NE                       6.89                    
NEW CARLISLE 7 WNW                    6.69                    
WHEATFIELD 2 SSE                      6.50                    
DE MOTTE 1 NNW                        6.41                    
WINFIELD 1 NE                         6.31                    
NORTH JUDSON 1 SSW                    6.27                    
GRANGER 2 ENE                         6.23                    
MISHAWAKA 4 ENE                       6.21                    
DE MOTTE 1 NNW                        6.14                    
INDIANAPOLIS INTERNATIONAL ARPT       2.36                    

...KENTUCKY...
HUNTERS HOLLOW 1 ENE                  9.55                    
EDDYVILLE                             6.07                    
HICKORY 5 ENE                         6.00                    
FULTON 5 W                            5.98                    
CADIZ 3 NNW                           5.80                    
CALVERT CITY                          5.76                    
HOPKINSVILLE                          5.59                    
NORTONVILLE                           5.51                    
SIKESTOWN 1 W                         5.48                    
CALHOUN                               5.43                    
BROAD FIELDS 1 WNW                    5.42                    
POWDERLY                              5.34                    
MAYFIELD GRAVES COUNTY AIRPORT        5.28                    
PADUCAH - BARKLEY REGIONAL AIRPORT    4.32                    
LOUISVILLE INTL-STANDIFORD FIELD      4.29                    

...LOUISIANA...
NOBLE 2 ESE                           9.57                    
GEORGETOWN                            8.26                    
PLAIN DEALING 3 ESE                   6.69                    
RUSTON 6 NNW                          6.66                    
COUSHATTA 1 NE                        6.35                    
BOSSIER CITY 2 W                      6.06                    
WINNSBORO 8 WSW                       6.00                    
RUSTON 5 ENE                          5.74                    
SHREVEPORT - BARKSDALE AFB            5.73                    
VIVIAN 2 N                            5.55                    
MONROE 2 WNW                          5.51                    
COLUMBIA 4 NNW                        5.31                    

...MISSOURI...
NIXA                                  9.60                    
SELIGMAN 3 N                          7.50                    
KENNETT 1 N                           6.72                    
SALEM 15 E                            6.48                    
RAYMONDVILLE 4 SE                     6.12                    
AVA 6 NW                              6.09                    
POTOSI 3 W                            6.09                    
SPRINGFIELD REGIONAL AIRPORT          5.93                    
POPLAR BLUFF MUNI ARPT                5.00                    
CAPE GIRARDEAU RGL ARPT               4.27                    

...MISSISSIPPI...
LELAND 3 ENE                          8.77                    
YALLABUSHA                            7.03                    
DODDSVILLE 4 W                        6.72                    
LAKE VILLAGE 6 SE                     6.69                    
SENATOBIA 2 S                         6.51                    
INDIANOLA 1 N                         6.44                    
SCOTT                                 5.24                    
CLARKSDALE 3 SW                       5.13                    
MOORHEAD                              4.87                    
COFFEEVILLE                           4.85                    
CHARLESTON 4 SW                       4.81                    
TUPELO REGIONAL AIRPORT               3.72                    

...OHIO...
ASSUMPTION                            5.04                    
STEWART 5 NNE                         3.31                    
ATHENS 5 ESE                          3.22                    
RED OAK                               3.18                    
AMESVILLE 3 SE                        3.07                    
GEORGETOWN                            2.93                    
FLEMING                               2.83                    
OTTAWA                                2.83                    
LUCASVILLE 1 ENE                      2.81                    
BATAVIA 5 WNW                         2.68                    
CINCINNATI MUNI ARPT                  2.58                    

...OKLAHOMA...
HAWORTH NNW                          11.65                    
IDABEL 2 SE                           9.96                    
EUFAULA 5 ENE                         9.58                    
BROKEN BOW                            9.48                    
VALLIANT                              8.57                    
WESTVILLE ENE                         6.75                    
MUSKOGEE                              6.54                    
BUNCH 1 N                             6.14                    
ARDMORE DOWNTOWN EXECUTIVE ARPT       5.75                    
ADA NNW                               5.61                    
MORRIS 2 SW                           4.98                    

...PENNSYLVANIA...
PERRYOPOLIS                           2.85                    
LEECHBURG 1 SW                        2.83                    
GREENSBURG                            2.20                    
PITTSBURGH - ALLEGHENY CO ARPT        1.91                    

...TENNESSEE...
TIPTONVILLE - REELFOOT LAKE           5.69                    
CLARKSVILLE 3 NNW                     5.00                    
UNION CITY                            4.89                    
MILAN                                 4.87                    
GERMANTOWN                            4.85                    
OAKLAND 1 NE                          4.84                    
DOVER 8 NNE                           4.82                    
JACKSON                               3.98                    
SOMERVILLE 1 E                        3.80                    
MEMPHIS INTL ARPT                     3.40                    
TENNESSEE RIDGE 3 S                   3.32                    
CUMBERLAND CITY 1 ESE                 3.21                    

...TEXAS...
COLMESNEIL 12 ESE                     9.40                    
UNIVERSITY PARK 3 WNW                 9.16                    
EDGECLIFF 4 WSW                       8.66                    
DALLAS LOVE FIELD                     8.37                    
TEXARKANA                             8.35                    
CLARKSVILLE                           8.15                    
GARLAND 4 S                           8.15                    
LUMBERTON 1 WNW                       8.15                    
ROWLETT 2 NW                          8.12                    
CELESTE 2 SSE                         8.10                    
CUMBY 2 N                             8.08                    
PARIS/COX FIELD                       8.08                    
MCKINNEY 2 ESE                        7.86                    

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL FREEZING RAIN IN INCHES WHERE THE EVENT
HAS ENDED...

...ARKANSAS...
DRAKE FIELD AIRPORT                   0.05                    
HIGHFILL                              0.01                    
HARRISON                              0.00                    

...ILLINOIS...
HENNEPIN                              0.12                    
MAEYSTOWN 2 SSW                       0.10                    
PEORIA                                0.10                    
MOUNT STERLING                        0.01                    
QUINCY                                0.01                    

...KANSAS...
ALTOONA 5 N                           0.25                    
HUMBOLDT 5 ESE                        0.25                    
LAWRENCE 2 SW                         0.25                    
OLPE 5 NNW                            0.25                    
BERRYTON 1 W                          0.22                    
BLAINE                                0.20                    
CONCORDIA 2 SSE                       0.20                    
MARION                                0.20                    
TECUMSEH 3 NW                         0.18                    
LAWRENCE 4 NE                         0.16                    
BURR OAK                              0.10                    

...MASSACHUSETTS...
HINSDALE 4 E                          0.20                    

...MICHIGAN...
ALOHA 1 SSE                           0.25                    
HARVEY 3 SE                           0.20                    
LEVERING                              0.19                    
ALPENA                                0.13                    
IRON MOUNTAIN 4 NNE                   0.10                    
NEGAUNEE 4 NE                         0.10                    
NORWAY 1 SSE                          0.10                    
SAINT IGNACE                          0.10                    
THREE LAKES 2 ESE                     0.10                    
WATERS 1 NW                           0.10                    

...MINNESOTA...
AUSTIN                                0.20                    
FILLMORE 3 WSW                        0.10                    
ROCHESTER 1 SW                        0.10                    

...MISSOURI...
BETHANY                               0.25                    
PLEASANT HILL 2 N                     0.19                    
VICHY 1 NNW                           0.16                    
LAKE LOTAWANA 1 NW                    0.13                    
STRASBURG 3 NNE                       0.13                    
DESLOGE                               0.12                    
PRINCETON                             0.12                    
ATLANTA                               0.10                    
COLE CAMP                             0.10                    
LAKE MYKEE 1 SSW                      0.10                    

...NEBRASKA...
FRANKLIN                              0.00                    

...NEW JERSEY...
HIGH POINT                            0.10                    

...OKLAHOMA...
STRATFORD 3 N                         0.40                    
COGAR 3 N                             0.38                    
SHAWNEE 1 E                           0.35                    
FILLMORE                              0.25                    
PINE 1 E                              0.25                    
WAYNE                                 0.25                    
BARTLESVILLE                          0.24                    
MCALESTER REGIONAL AIRP               0.21                    
LAKE THUNDERBIRD 5 SW                 0.20                    
ENID                                  0.15                    
KEYSTONE STATE PARK                   0.15                    
TULSA 5 W                             0.10                    

...PENNSYLVANIA...
DUSHORE                               0.20                    
CYCLONE                               0.10                    
OIL CITY                              0.10                    
POCONO MOUNTAINS AIRPORT              0.07                    

...TEXAS...
WHEELER                               0.20                    
CANADIAN                              0.15                    
HIGGINS                               0.15                    
WELLINGTON                            0.15                    
HOWARDWICK                            0.10                    

...WISCONSIN...
ASHWAUBENON                           0.20                    
LA VALLE                              0.20                    
RIPLINGER 7 SSE                       0.20                    
SHAWANO 1 SSE                         0.18                    
OCONTO                                0.15                    
OSHKOSH                               0.15                    
STODDARD 5 NNE                        0.15                    
OMRO                                  0.12                    
THREE LAKES                           0.12                    
ALMOND                                0.10                    
IOLA 4 W                              0.10                    

...SELECTED PRELIMINARY STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES WHERE THE
EVENT HAS ENDED...

...INDIANA...
DE MOTTE 1 NNW                        6.14                    

...MICHIGAN...
CONSTANTINE 2 E                       6.16                    
BARRON LAKE                           5.09                    
NILES 2.7 W                           4.73                    
BELLEVUE                              4.54                    
PINCKNEY 4 NE                         3.36                    
KENTWOOD 3 ENE                        3.26                    
EAST GRAND RAPIDS 1 SSW               3.19                    
FLINT 1 ESE                           2.88                    
ANN ARBOR 3 SE                        2.54                    

...WISCONSIN...
WEST ALLIS 2 NE                       2.12                    
JACKSON 2 E                           1.60                    
LAKE CATHERINE 1 NNE                  1.60                    
ARLINGTON                             1.32                    
SULLIVAN 4 SSE                        1.30                    
OREGON                                1.17                    
SAINT FRANCIS 1 WSW                   1.11                    

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL SLEET AMOUNTS IN INCHES WHERE THE EVENT
HAS ENDED...

...KANSAS...
NEWTON                                1.00                    
GODDARD                               0.40                    
MAYETTA 5 WNW                         0.30                    
NWS WICHITA                           0.30                    
BUHLER NE                             0.25                    
CLEVELAND 3 ENE                       0.25                    
HALSTEAD NNE                          0.20                    

...OKLAHOMA...
DUNCAN                                1.00                    
OKLAHOMA CITY 3 SW                    0.50                    

...TEXAS...
ANSON                                 1.00                    
BAIRD                                 1.00                    
BLACKWELL                             1.00                    
HASKELL                               1.00                    
ABILENE                               0.80                    
WHEELER                               0.20                    
CANADIAN                              0.10                    
HIGGINS                               0.10                    
WELLINGTON                            0.10                    


THE SURFACE LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE UPPER
GREAT LAKES BY SUNDAY MORNING AND WILL BE IN SOUTHEAST CANADA BY
SUNDAY EVENING. THE COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP EASTWARD ACROSS THE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND TENNESSEE/OHIO VALLEYS OVERNIGHT...AND WILL
REACH THE MID-ATLANTIC AND SOUTHEAST BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE
OHIO VALLEY BEFORE THE COLD FRONT ARRIVES. HOWEVER...AS THE FRONT
MOVES ACROSS THESE REGIONS...PRECIPITATION WILL COME TO AN END.
FOR TONIGHT AND INTO SUNDAY MORNING...AREAS FROM SOUTHEAST TEXAS
TO WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA CAN EXPECT 1 TO 2 INCHES OF
RAINFALL...WITH SOUTHERN INDIANA AND NORTHWEST KENTUCKY RECEIVING
UP TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL. BECAUSE SOILS IN THESE AREAS ARE
ALREADY SATURATED FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL...ANY ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL COULD OVERWHELM RIVERS AND CAUSE MAJOR FLOODING. AS
SUCH...A HIGH RISK OF FLASH FLOODING IS IN PLACE THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH
SOUTHWESTERN OHIO. BY SUNDAY...THE AXIS OF PRECIPITATION SHIFTS
SOUTH AS THE FRONT MOVES FARTHER EAST. RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2
INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED FROM
EASTERN LOUISIANA TO EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. ICE ACCUMULATIONS
WILL SHIFT TO PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST AND NEW ENGLAND ON
SUNDAY...WITH SOME AREAS RECEIVING UP TO ONE FOURTH OF AN INCH OF
ICE. PARTS OF THE UPPER GREAT LAKES CAN ALSO EXPECT LIGHT ICE
ACCUMULATIONS. 

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 900 PM CST. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.

REINHART




Last Updated: 406 PM EST SAT FEB 24 2018