THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 3 FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS TO MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREEZING RAIN EVENT
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
900 AM CST WED FEB 21 2018

...HEAVY RAINFALL...FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW CURRENTLY IMPACTING
REGIONS FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND
INTO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES... 

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FROM NORTH-CENTRAL TEXAS
ACROSS CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS...MUCH OF MISSOURI
AND INTO ILLINOIS.

FLASH FLOOD WATCHES...FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS...AND FLOOD WARNINGS
ARE IN EFFECT FROM THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO
THE UPPER GREAT LAKES...IN ADDITION TO THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE
TENNESSEE AND OHIO VALLEYS AND THE INTERIOR OF NEW ENGLAND.

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 800 AM CST...A COLD FRONT WITH SHARP TEMPERATURE GRADIENT WAS
SLOWLY ADVANCING EASTWARD FROM THE LOWER GREAT LAKES AND INTO
SOUTHEAST TEXAS. THE MAIN LOW LOW PRESSURE CENTER HAD ALREADY
MOVED NORTHWARD INTO CANADA. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATED THAT A
LONG SWATH OF MODERATE RAIN WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WAS
FALLING MAINLY BEHIND THE COLD FRONT ACROSS MUCH OF
CENTRAL...EASTERN...AND NORTHERN TEXAS. THERE WAS ALSO A MIX OF
FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW NEAR THE DALLAS-FORT WORTH REGION. MODERATE
TO HEAVY RAIN WAS ALSO OBSERVED FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
TO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES. RIGHT BEHIND THE RAIN...A MIX OF SNOW
SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WAS REPORTED.

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL FREEZING RAIN ICE AMOUNTS IN INCHES FROM
200 AM CST THU FEB 20 THROUGH 800 AM CST WED FEB 21...

...IOWA...
GRAFTON                               0.38                    
DES MOINES 1 WNW                      0.20                    
MURRAY 1 W                            0.20                    
IOWA FALLS 1 NE                       0.19                    
ALBIA                                 0.13                    
FAYETTE 2 NNW                         0.10                    
MONTEZUMA 1 W                         0.10                    
NEW HAMPTON                           0.10                    
OTTUMWA 1 NE                          0.10                    
WAUKEE 1 N                            0.10                    

...ILLINOIS...
HENNEPIN                              0.12                    
MAEYSTOWN 2 SSW                       0.10                    
PEORIA                                0.10                    
MOUNT STERLING                        0.01                    
QUINCY                                0.01                    

...KANSAS...
ALTOONA 5 N                           0.25                    
HUMBOLDT 5 ESE                        0.25                    
LAWRENCE 2 SW                         0.25                    
OLPE 5 NNW                            0.25                    
BERRYTON 1 W                          0.22                    
BLAINE                                0.20                    
CONCORDIA 2 SSE                       0.20                    
TECUMSEH 3 NW                         0.18                    
LAWRENCE 4 NE                         0.16                    
OTTAWA                                0.15                    

...MICHIGAN...
ALOHA 1 SSE                           0.25                    
HARVEY 3 SE                           0.20                    
LEVERING                              0.19                    
ALPENA                                0.13                    
IRON MOUNTAIN 4 NNE                   0.10                    
NEGAUNEE 4 NE                         0.10                    
NORWAY 1 SSE                          0.10                    
SAINT IGNACE                          0.10                    
THREE LAKES 2 ESE                     0.10                    
WATERS 1 NW                           0.10                    
ENGADINE                              0.06                    

...MINNESOTA...
AUSTIN                                0.20                    
FILLMORE 3 WSW                        0.10                    
ROCHESTER 1 SW                        0.10                    

...MISSOURI...
PLEASANT HILL 2 N                     0.19                    
LAKE LOTAWANA 1 NW                    0.13                    
STRASBURG 3 NNE                       0.13                    
COLE CAMP                             0.10                    
OAKVIEW 2 NNE                         0.10                    
WILLARD                               0.10                    
HANNIBAL                              0.09                    
MEXICO                                0.05                    
COLUMBIA                              0.01                    
HOLTS SUMMIT                          0.01                    
JEFFERSON CITY                        0.01                    

...OKLAHOMA...
SHAWNEE 1 E                           0.35                    
PINE 1 E                              0.25                    
WAYNE                                 0.25                    
LAKE THUNDERBIRD 5 SW                 0.20                    
ENID                                  0.15                    
FAIRVIEW                              0.10                    
NOBLE 3 NNW                           0.10                    
PURCELL                               0.10                    
STILLWATER                            0.10                    

...WISCONSIN...
ASHWAUBENON                           0.20                    
LA VALLE                              0.20                    
RIPLINGER 7 SSE                       0.20                    
SHAWANO 1 SSE                         0.18                    
OCONTO                                0.15                    
OSHKOSH                               0.15                    
STODDARD 5 NNE                        0.15                    
OMRO                                  0.12                    
THREE LAKES                           0.12                    
ALMOND                                0.10                    

...SELECTED PRELIMINARY STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 200 AM
CST THU FEB 20 THROUGH 800 AM CST WED FEB 21...

...ARKANSAS...
BIGELOW 6 SSW                         4.88                    
MENA 3 WNW                            4.80                    
MOUNT IDA 12 E                        4.60                    
HOUSTON                               4.49                    
LITTLE ROCK 4 NW                      4.35                    
CONWAY 2 WNW                          4.18                    
MAUMELLE 1 SE                         4.02                    
HOT SPRINGS VILLAGE 1 E               3.81                    
SALEM 9 NNW                           3.72                    
PARKS 6 ENE                           3.70                    

...ILLINOIS...
ST. ANNE                              5.73                    
HOMER 2 N                             5.29                    
WILLARD AIRPORT                       4.67                    
SIDNEY 1 N                            4.54                    
HENNING 3 SSE                         4.38                    
CRETE 4 SSE                           4.37                    
HOOPESTON                             4.35                    
WATSEKA 2 NW                          4.35                    
CHAMPAIGN                             4.28                    
DANVILLE 4 NW                         4.26                    

...INDIANA...
WHEATFIELD 2 SSE                      6.50                    
DE MOTTE 1 NNW                        6.41                    
MOROCCO 1 N                           5.53                    
GOSHEN 2 WNW                          5.11                    
ARGOS                                 4.90                    
PORTAGE                               4.50                    
CROWN POINT 1 N                       4.44                    
SOUTH BEND 1 NW                       4.32                    
GOSHEN 1 ENE                          4.22                    
LA GRANGE 1 ENE                       3.50                    

...MICHIGAN...
BELLEVUE                              4.12                    
CONSTANTINE 2 E                       3.34                    
EAST GRAND RAPIDS 1 SSW               3.19                    
HOLT                                  3.10                    
EDGEMONT PARK 2 N                     3.09                    
OAKLEY                                2.80                    
WIXOM 3 NNE                           2.68                    
KINDERHOOK                            2.53                    
FREMONT                               2.36                    
BARRON LAKE                           2.27                    

...MISSOURI...
SALEM 15 E                            3.66                    
MOUNTAIN VIEW 7 NE                    3.23                    
RAYMONDVILLE 4 SE                     3.04                    
HOUSTON 5 ESE                         3.02                    
EMINENCE 1 SSE                        2.90                    
LINN 1 NW                             2.87                    
STE. GENEVIEVE 14 WSW                 2.70                    
POTOSI 3 W                            2.68                    
EL DORADO SPRINGS 1 NNW               2.53                    
FARMINGTON 2 WSW                      2.52                    

...OHIO...
ASSUMPTION                            5.04                    
DAYTON 4 SE                           1.40                    
ALVORDTON 1 E                         1.21                    
WATERVILLE 2 NNE                      1.11                    
NAPOLEON 1 WSW                        1.02                    
FAYETTE 4 ESE                         1.00                    

...TEXAS...
CUMBY 2 N                             5.20                    
ANNA 4 SSW                            5.10                    
MCKINNEY 2 ESE                        4.97                    
ROWLETT 2 NW                          4.94                    
SACHSE 1 NE                           4.90                    
PLANO 2 WSW                           4.66                    
EDGECLIFF 4 WSW                       4.60                    
UNIVERSITY PARK 2 WNW                 4.56                    
MOUNT PLEASANT 10 NNW                 4.50                    
GREENVILLE 6 S                        4.48                    

...WISCONSIN...
WEST ALLIS 2 NE                       2.12                    
JACKSON 2 E                           1.60                    
LAKE CATHERINE 1 NNE                  1.60                    
ARLINGTON                             1.32                    
SULLIVAN 4 SSE                        1.30                    
OREGON                                1.17                    
SAINT FRANCIS 1 WSW                   1.11                    

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL SLEET IN INCHES FROM 200 AM CST THU FEB 20
THROUGH 800 AM CST WED FEB 21...

...KANSAS...
GODDARD                               0.40                    
MAYETTA 5 WNW                         0.30                    
NWS WICHITA                           0.30                    
BUHLER NE                             0.25                    
CLEVELAND 3 ENE                       0.25                    
HALSTEAD NNE                          0.20                    


THE SURFACE LOW IN THE UPPER GREAT LAKES WILL MOVE INTO WESTERN
QUEBEC AS THE COLD FRONT SLOWLY MOVES EASTWARD INTO THE OHIO
VALLEY AND FARTHER SOUTH INTO TEXAS BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE
FRONT WILL BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY ON WEDNESDAY AS IT DRAPES
ALONG THE TENNESSEE VALLEY...LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND SOUTHERN
PLAINS THROUGH THURSDAY. THIS BOUNDARY WILL ACT AS A FOCAL POINT
FOR MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL IN ADDITION TO THE ICE
ACCUMULATIONS NEAR THE TRANSITION ZONE AS ARCTIC AIR SPILLS BEHIND
THE COLD FRONT. THE ARKLATEX REGION CAN EXPECT THE HEAVIEST
RAINFALL TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH STORM TOTALS OF 3 TO 6
INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. ELSEWHERE...AREAS FROM
CENTRAL TEXAS TO SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN CAN EXPECT 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. A MODERATE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING IS
POSSIBLE FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
ALONG WITH THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE UPPER GREAT LAKES. THE
POTENTIAL FLOODING MAY OVERWHELM MAIN STEM RIVERS AND CAUSE MAJOR
RIVER FLOODING. NEAR THE TRANSITION ZONE OF THE PRECIPITATION
SHIELD...ACCUMULATING ICE WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING. PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY CAN EXPECT UP TO A THIRD OF AN INCH OF ICE. THE UPPER GREAT
LAKES CAN EXPECT UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH.

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 300 PM CST. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.

REINHART




Last Updated: 1005 AM EST WED FEB 21 2018