THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 5 FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS TO OHIO VALLEY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND FREEZING RAIN EVENT
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
900 PM CST WED FEB 21 2018

...A SLOW-MOVING FRONT CONTINUES TO BRING HEAVY RAINFALL FROM
NORTHEAST TEXAS TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WHILE FREEZING
RAIN AND SNOW IMPACT AREAS FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS TO THE MIDWEST
INTO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES... 

WINTER STORM WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT AROUND THE ARROW HEAD OF
MINNESOTA

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FROM NORTH-CENTRAL
TEXAS...ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE UPPER
MIDWEST...AND ALONG A BAND FROM THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
EASTWARD ACROSS OHIO INTO UPSTATE NEW YORK.

FLASH FLOOD WATCHES...FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS...AND FLOOD WARNINGS
ARE IN EFFECT FROM THE EASTERN TEXAS NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
MID-MISSISSIPPI AND OHIO VALLEYS...AS WELL AS OVER PARTS OF
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 800 PM CST...A COLD FRONT WITH SHARP TEMPERATURE GRADIENT
CONTINUED TO SLOWLY ADVANCE EASTWARD INTO THE EASTERN U.S. AS A
NEW LOW PRESSURE CENTER FORMS IN EXTREME EASTERN TEXAS. SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS INDICATED THAT A LARGE AREA OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN
WAS FALLING BEHIND A COLD FRONT FROM EASTERN TEXAS INTO THE
MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.  MEANWHILE...FREEZING RAIN WAS IMPACTING
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL FREEZING RAIN ICE AMOUNTS IN INCHES FROM
200 AM CST THU FEB 20 THROUGH 800 PM CST TUE FEB 21...

...ILLINOIS...
HENNEPIN                              0.12                    
MAEYSTOWN 2 SSW                       0.10                    
PEORIA                                0.10                    
MOUNT STERLING                        0.01                    
QUINCY                                0.01                    

...KANSAS...
ALTOONA 5 N                           0.25                    
HUMBOLDT 5 ESE                        0.25                    
LAWRENCE 2 SW                         0.25                    
OLPE 5 NNW                            0.25                    
BERRYTON 1 W                          0.22                    
BLAINE                                0.20                    
CONCORDIA 2 SSE                       0.20                    
TECUMSEH 3 NW                         0.18                    
LAWRENCE 4 NE                         0.16                    
OTTAWA                                0.15                    

...MISSOURI...
PLEASANT HILL 2 N                     0.19                    
LAKE LOTAWANA 1 NW                    0.13                    
STRASBURG 3 NNE                       0.13                    
COLE CAMP                             0.10                    
OAKVIEW 2 NNE                         0.10                    
WILLARD                               0.10                    
HANNIBAL                              0.09                    
MEXICO                                0.05                    
COLUMBIA                              0.01                    
HOLTS SUMMIT                          0.01                    
JEFFERSON CITY                        0.01                    

...OKLAHOMA...
STRATFORD 3 N                         0.40                    
SHAWNEE 1 E                           0.35                    
FILLMORE                              0.25                    
PINE 1 E                              0.25                    
WAYNE                                 0.25                    
BARTLESVILLE                          0.24                    
LAKE THUNDERBIRD 5 SW                 0.20                    
ENID                                  0.15                    
KEYSTONE STATE PARK                   0.15                    
PAWNEE                                0.15                    
CHECOTAH                              0.10                    
FAIRVIEW                              0.10                    
NOBLE 3 NNW                           0.10                    
STILLWATER                            0.10                    
TULSA 5 W                             0.10                    

...TEXAS...
BOWIE                                 1.00                    

...SELECTED PRELIMINARY STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 200 AM
CST THU FEB 20 THROUGH 800 PM CST TUE FEB 21...

...ARKANSAS...
SWEET HOME 2 ESE                      8.06                    
WEST LITTLE ROCK                      5.00                    
BIGELOW 6 SSW                         4.88                    
MENA 3 WNW                            4.80                    
HOT SPRINGS                           4.60                    
MOUNT IDA 12 E                        4.60                    
HOUSTON                               4.49                    
CONWAY 2 WNW                          4.18                    
MAUMELLE 1 SE                         4.02                    
SALEM 9 NNW                           3.72                    
PARKS 6 ENE                           3.70                    

...ILLINOIS...
ST. ANNE                              5.73                    
HOMER 2 N                             5.29                    
WILLARD AIRPORT                       4.67                    
SIDNEY 1 N                            4.54                    
PAXTON 2 WSW                          4.52                    
DANVILLE                              4.38                    
HENNING 3 SSE                         4.38                    
CRETE 4 SSE                           4.37                    
HOOPESTON                             4.35                    
MONEE                                 4.35                    

...INDIANA...
WHEATFIELD 2 SSE                      6.50                    
DE MOTTE 1 NNW                        6.41                    
CONRAD 3 ESE                          6.11                    
MOROCCO 1 N                           5.53                    
LEESBURG                              5.50                    
GOSHEN 2 WNW                          5.11                    
ARGOS                                 4.90                    
WINONA LAKE 1 ESE                     4.73                    
RENSSELAER 1 N                        4.70                    
PORTAGE                               4.50                    
SOUTH BEND 1 NW                       4.32                    

...MISSOURI...
SHREWSBURY                            3.75                    
SALEM 15 E                            3.66                    
MOUNTAIN VIEW 7 NE                    3.23                    
RAYMONDVILLE 4 SE                     3.04                    
HOUSTON 5 ESE                         3.02                    
EMINENCE 1 SSE                        2.90                    
LINN 1 NW                             2.87                    
STE. GENEVIEVE 14 WSW                 2.70                    
POTOSI 3 W                            2.68                    
EL DORADO SPRINGS 1 NNW               2.53                    

...OHIO...
ASSUMPTION                            5.04                    
OTTAWA                                2.83                    
VAN WERT                              2.03                    
DAYTON 4 SE                           1.40                    
ALVORDTON 1 E                         1.21                    
WATERVILLE 2 NNE                      1.11                    
NAPOLEON 1 WSW                        1.02                    
FAYETTE 4 ESE                         1.00                    

...TEXAS...
CUMBY 2 N                             5.20                    
ANNA 4 SSW                            5.10                    
MCKINNEY 2 ESE                        4.97                    
ROWLETT 2 NW                          4.94                    
SACHSE 1 NE                           4.90                    
PLANO 2 WSW                           4.66                    
EDGECLIFF 4 WSW                       4.60                    
UNIVERSITY PARK 2 WNW                 4.56                    
MOUNT PLEASANT 10 NNW                 4.50                    
GREENVILLE 6 S                        4.48                    

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL SLEET IN INCHES FROM 200 AM CST THU FEB 20
THROUGH 800 PM CST TUE FEB 21...

...TEXAS...
JACKSBORO 2 SE                        0.50                    

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL FREEZING RAIN IN INCHES WHERE THE EVENT
HAS ENDED...

...IOWA...
GRAFTON                               0.38                    
DES MOINES 1 WNW                      0.20                    
MURRAY 1 W                            0.20                    
IOWA FALLS 1 NE                       0.19                    
ALBIA                                 0.13                    
FAYETTE 2 NNW                         0.10                    
MONTEZUMA 1 W                         0.10                    
NEW HAMPTON                           0.10                    
OTTUMWA 1 NE                          0.10                    
WAUKEE 1 N                            0.10                    

...MICHIGAN...
ALOHA 1 SSE                           0.25                    
HARVEY 3 SE                           0.20                    
LEVERING                              0.19                    
ALPENA                                0.13                    
IRON MOUNTAIN 4 NNE                   0.10                    
NEGAUNEE 4 NE                         0.10                    
NORWAY 1 SSE                          0.10                    
SAINT IGNACE                          0.10                    
THREE LAKES 2 ESE                     0.10                    
WATERS 1 NW                           0.10                    
ENGADINE                              0.06                    

...MINNESOTA...
AUSTIN                                0.20                    
FILLMORE 3 WSW                        0.10                    
ROCHESTER 1 SW                        0.10                    

...WISCONSIN...
ASHWAUBENON                           0.20                    
LA VALLE                              0.20                    
RIPLINGER 7 SSE                       0.20                    
SHAWANO 1 SSE                         0.18                    
OCONTO                                0.15                    
OSHKOSH                               0.15                    
STODDARD 5 NNE                        0.15                    
OMRO                                  0.12                    
THREE LAKES                           0.12                    
ALMOND                                0.10                    

...SELECTED PRELIMINARY STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES WHERE THE
EVENT HAS ENDED...

...MICHIGAN...
BELLEVUE                              4.12                    
PINCKNEY 4 NE                         3.36                    
CONSTANTINE 2 E                       3.34                    
KENTWOOD 3 ENE                        3.26                    
EAST GRAND RAPIDS 1 SSW               3.19                    
HOLT                                  3.10                    
EDGEMONT PARK 2 N                     3.09                    
ADA 2 W                               3.07                    
LINDEN                                2.96                    
NILES                                 2.93                    
FLINT 1 ESE                           2.88                    

...WISCONSIN...
WEST ALLIS 2 NE                       2.12                    
JACKSON 2 E                           1.60                    
LAKE CATHERINE 1 NNE                  1.60                    
ARLINGTON                             1.32                    
SULLIVAN 4 SSE                        1.30                    
OREGON                                1.17                    
SAINT FRANCIS 1 WSW                   1.11                    

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL SLEET AMOUNTS IN INCHES WHERE THE EVENT
HAS ENDED...

...KANSAS...
GODDARD                               0.40                    
MAYETTA 5 WNW                         0.30                    
NWS WICHITA                           0.30                    
BUHLER NE                             0.25                    
CLEVELAND 3 ENE                       0.25                    
HALSTEAD NNE                          0.20                    


THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY LATER
TONIGHT AS IT DRAPES ALONG THE TENNESSEE VALLEY...LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND THE WEST GULF COAST THROUGH FRIDAY. THIS
BOUNDARY WILL ACT AS A FOCAL POINT FOR MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF HEAVY
RAINFALL IN ADDITION TO THE ICE ACCUMULATIONS NEAR THE TRANSITION
ZONE AS ARCTIC AIR SPILLS IN BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. CENTRAL
ARKANSAS AND WEST TENNESSEE CAN EXPECT THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL
TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH STORM TOTALS OF 3 TO 5
INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. ELSEWHERE...AREAS FROM NORTH
TEXAS TO WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA CAN EXPECT 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. A MODERATE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING IS IN
EFFECT FROM EAST TEXAS...NORTHERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI AND A SMALL PORTION OF SOUTHWEST
TENNESSEE. THE POTENTIAL FLOODING MAY OVERWHELM MAIN STEM RIVERS
AND CAUSE MAJOR RIVER FLOODING. NEAR THE TRANSITION ZONE OF THE
PRECIPITATION SHIELD...ACCUMULATING ICE WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH
THURSDAY. CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...EASTERN KANSAS...NORTHWEST
MISSOURI...AND SOUTH-CENTRAL IOWA CAN EXPECT AN ADDITIONAL
ONE-TENTH OF AN INCH. PARTS OF THE OHIO VALLEY AND WESTERN
PENNSYLVANIA CAN ALSO EXPECT ONE TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE. 

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 300 AM CST. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.

KONG




Last Updated: 1016 PM EST WED FEB 21 2018