THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 6 FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS TO OHIO VALLEY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND FREEZING RAIN EVENT
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
300 AM CST THU FEB 22 2018

...A SLOW-MOVING FRONT CONTINUES TO BRING HEAVY RAINFALL FROM
NORTHEAST TEXAS TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WHILE FREEZING
RAIN AND SNOW IMPACT AREAS FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS TO THE MIDWEST
INTO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES... 

WINTER STORM WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT AROUND THE ARROW HEAD OF
MINNESOTA

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FROM NORTH-CENTRAL
TEXAS...ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE UPPER
MIDWEST...AND ALONG A BAND FROM THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
EASTWARD ACROSS OHIO INTO UPSTATE NEW YORK.

FLASH FLOOD WATCHES...FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS...AND FLOOD WARNINGS
ARE IN EFFECT FROM THE EASTERN TEXAS NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
MID-MISSISSIPPI AND OHIO VALLEYS...AS WELL AS OVER PARTS OF
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 200 AM CST...A COLD FRONT WITH SHARP TEMPERATURE GRADIENT
CONTINUED TO SLOWLY ADVANCE EASTWARD INTO THE EASTERN U.S. AS A
COUPLE OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERS...ONE CENTERED IN LOUISIANA AND
ANOTHER ONE OVER TENNESSEE...WERE FORMING AND MOVING ALONG THE
FRONT. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATED THAT A LARGE AREA OF
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WAS FALLING
BEHIND A COLD FRONT FROM NORTHERN LOUISIANA ACROSS THE
MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE OHIO VALLEY.  MEANWHILE...SOME
FREEZING RAIN REMAINED OVER SOUTHERN MISSOURI AS SNOW WAS MOVING
ACROSS EASTERN NEBRASKA INTO IOWA.

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL FREEZING RAIN ICE AMOUNTS IN INCHES FROM
200 AM CST THU FEB 20 THROUGH 200 AM CST THU FEB 22...

...ILLINOIS...
HENNEPIN                              0.12                    
MAEYSTOWN 2 SSW                       0.10                    
PEORIA                                0.10                    
MOUNT STERLING                        0.01                    
QUINCY                                0.01                    

...KANSAS...
ALTOONA 5 N                           0.25                    
HUMBOLDT 5 ESE                        0.25                    
LAWRENCE 2 SW                         0.25                    
OLPE 5 NNW                            0.25                    
BERRYTON 1 W                          0.22                    
BLAINE                                0.20                    
CONCORDIA 2 SSE                       0.20                    
TECUMSEH 3 NW                         0.18                    
LAWRENCE 4 NE                         0.16                    
OTTAWA                                0.15                    

...MISSOURI...
PLEASANT HILL 2 N                     0.19                    
LAKE LOTAWANA 1 NW                    0.13                    
STRASBURG 3 NNE                       0.13                    
DESLOGE                               0.12                    
COLE CAMP                             0.10                    
OAKVIEW 2 NNE                         0.10                    
WILLARD                               0.10                    
HANNIBAL                              0.09                    
MEXICO                                0.05                    
COLUMBIA                              0.01                    
HOLTS SUMMIT                          0.01                    
JEFFERSON CITY                        0.01                    

...OKLAHOMA...
STRATFORD 3 N                         0.40                    
SHAWNEE 1 E                           0.35                    
FILLMORE                              0.25                    
PINE 1 E                              0.25                    
WAYNE                                 0.25                    
BARTLESVILLE                          0.24                    
LAKE THUNDERBIRD 5 SW                 0.20                    
ENID                                  0.15                    
KEYSTONE STATE PARK                   0.15                    
PAWNEE                                0.15                    
CHECOTAH                              0.10                    
FAIRVIEW                              0.10                    
NOBLE 3 NNW                           0.10                    
STILLWATER                            0.10                    
TULSA 5 W                             0.10                    

...TEXAS...
BOWIE                                 1.00                    

...SELECTED PRELIMINARY STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 200 AM
CST THU FEB 20 THROUGH 200 AM CST THU FEB 22...

...ARKANSAS...
SWEET HOME 2 ESE                      8.06                    
WEST LITTLE ROCK                      5.00                    
BIGELOW 6 SSW                         4.88                    
MENA 3 WNW                            4.80                    
HOT SPRINGS                           4.60                    
MOUNT IDA 12 E                        4.60                    
HOUSTON                               4.49                    
CONWAY 2 WNW                          4.18                    
MAUMELLE 1 SE                         4.02                    
SALEM 9 NNW                           3.72                    
PARKS 6 ENE                           3.70                    

...ILLINOIS...
ST. ANNE                              5.73                    
HOMER 2 N                             5.29                    
WILLARD AIRPORT                       4.67                    
SIDNEY 1 N                            4.54                    
PAXTON 2 WSW                          4.52                    
DANVILLE                              4.38                    
HENNING 3 SSE                         4.38                    
CRETE 4 SSE                           4.37                    
HOOPESTON                             4.35                    
MONEE                                 4.35                    

...INDIANA...
WHEATFIELD 2 SSE                      6.50                    
DE MOTTE 1 NNW                        6.41                    
CONRAD 3 ESE                          6.11                    
MOROCCO 1 N                           5.53                    
LEESBURG                              5.50                    
GOSHEN 2 WNW                          5.11                    
ARGOS                                 4.90                    
WINONA LAKE 1 ESE                     4.73                    
RENSSELAER 1 N                        4.70                    
PORTAGE                               4.50                    
SOUTH BEND 1 NW                       4.32                    

...MISSOURI...
SHREWSBURY                            3.75                    
SALEM 15 E                            3.66                    
MOUNTAIN VIEW 7 NE                    3.23                    
RAYMONDVILLE 4 SE                     3.04                    
HOUSTON 5 ESE                         3.02                    
EMINENCE 1 SSE                        2.90                    
LINN 1 NW                             2.87                    
POPLAR BLUFF 2 N                      2.80                    
STE. GENEVIEVE 14 WSW                 2.70                    
POTOSI 3 W                            2.68                    
EL DORADO SPRINGS 1 NNW               2.53                    

...MISSISSIPPI...
CLEVELAND                             2.67                    

...OHIO...
ASSUMPTION                            5.04                    
OTTAWA                                2.83                    
VAN WERT                              2.03                    
DAYTON 4 SE                           1.40                    
ALVORDTON 1 E                         1.21                    
WATERVILLE 2 NNE                      1.11                    
NAPOLEON 1 WSW                        1.02                    
FAYETTE 4 ESE                         1.00                    

...TEXAS...
CUMBY 2 N                             5.20                    
ANNA 4 SSW                            5.10                    
MCKINNEY 2 ESE                        4.97                    
ROWLETT 2 NW                          4.94                    
SACHSE 1 NE                           4.90                    
PLANO 2 WSW                           4.66                    
EDGECLIFF 4 WSW                       4.60                    
UNIVERSITY PARK 2 WNW                 4.56                    
MOUNT PLEASANT 10 NNW                 4.50                    
GREENVILLE 6 S                        4.48                    

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL SLEET IN INCHES FROM 200 AM CST THU FEB 20
THROUGH 200 AM CST THU FEB 22...

...TEXAS...
JACKSBORO 2 SE                        0.50                    

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL FREEZING RAIN IN INCHES WHERE THE EVENT
HAS ENDED...

...IOWA...
GRAFTON                               0.38                    
DES MOINES 1 WNW                      0.20                    
MURRAY 1 W                            0.20                    
IOWA FALLS 1 NE                       0.19                    
ALBIA                                 0.13                    
FAYETTE 2 NNW                         0.10                    
MONTEZUMA 1 W                         0.10                    
NEW HAMPTON                           0.10                    
OTTUMWA 1 NE                          0.10                    
WAUKEE 1 N                            0.10                    

...MICHIGAN...
ALOHA 1 SSE                           0.25                    
HARVEY 3 SE                           0.20                    
LEVERING                              0.19                    
ALPENA                                0.13                    
IRON MOUNTAIN 4 NNE                   0.10                    
NEGAUNEE 4 NE                         0.10                    
NORWAY 1 SSE                          0.10                    
SAINT IGNACE                          0.10                    
THREE LAKES 2 ESE                     0.10                    
WATERS 1 NW                           0.10                    
ENGADINE                              0.06                    

...MINNESOTA...
AUSTIN                                0.20                    
FILLMORE 3 WSW                        0.10                    
ROCHESTER 1 SW                        0.10                    

...WISCONSIN...
ASHWAUBENON                           0.20                    
LA VALLE                              0.20                    
RIPLINGER 7 SSE                       0.20                    
SHAWANO 1 SSE                         0.18                    
OCONTO                                0.15                    
OSHKOSH                               0.15                    
STODDARD 5 NNE                        0.15                    
OMRO                                  0.12                    
THREE LAKES                           0.12                    
ALMOND                                0.10                    

...SELECTED PRELIMINARY STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES WHERE THE
EVENT HAS ENDED...

...MICHIGAN...
BELLEVUE                              4.12                    
PINCKNEY 4 NE                         3.36                    
CONSTANTINE 2 E                       3.34                    
KENTWOOD 3 ENE                        3.26                    
EAST GRAND RAPIDS 1 SSW               3.19                    
HOLT                                  3.10                    
EDGEMONT PARK 2 N                     3.09                    
ADA 2 W                               3.07                    
LINDEN                                2.96                    
NILES                                 2.93                    
FLINT 1 ESE                           2.88                    

...WISCONSIN...
WEST ALLIS 2 NE                       2.12                    
JACKSON 2 E                           1.60                    
LAKE CATHERINE 1 NNE                  1.60                    
ARLINGTON                             1.32                    
SULLIVAN 4 SSE                        1.30                    
OREGON                                1.17                    
SAINT FRANCIS 1 WSW                   1.11                    

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL SLEET AMOUNTS IN INCHES WHERE THE EVENT
HAS ENDED...

...KANSAS...
GODDARD                               0.40                    
MAYETTA 5 WNW                         0.30                    
NWS WICHITA                           0.30                    
BUHLER NE                             0.25                    
CLEVELAND 3 ENE                       0.25                    
HALSTEAD NNE                          0.20                    


THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY FOR THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT DRAPES ALONG THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY...LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND THE WEST GULF COAST THROUGH
FRIDAY. THIS BOUNDARY WILL ACT AS A FOCAL POINT FOR MULTIPLE
ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL IN ADDITION TO THE ICE ACCUMULATIONS NEAR
THE TRANSITION ZONE AS ARCTIC AIR SPILLS IN BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.
CENTRAL ARKANSAS AND WEST TENNESSEE CAN EXPECT THE HEAVIEST
RAINFALL TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH STORM TOTALS OF 3 TO 5
INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. ELSEWHERE...AREAS FROM NORTH
TEXAS TO WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA CAN EXPECT 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. A MODERATE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING IS IN
EFFECT FROM EAST TEXAS...NORTHERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI AND A SMALL PORTION OF SOUTHWEST
TENNESSEE. THE POTENTIAL FLOODING MAY OVERWHELM MAIN STEM RIVERS
AND CAUSE MAJOR RIVER FLOODING. NEAR THE TRANSITION ZONE OF THE
PRECIPITATION SHIELD...ACCUMULATING ICE WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH
THURSDAY. CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...EASTERN KANSAS...NORTHWEST
MISSOURI...AND SOUTH-CENTRAL IOWA CAN EXPECT AN ADDITIONAL
ONE-TENTH OF AN INCH. PARTS OF THE OHIO VALLEY AND WESTERN
PENNSYLVANIA CAN ALSO EXPECT ONE TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE. 

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 900 AM CST. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.

KONG




Last Updated: 405 AM EST THU FEB 22 2018