NAM AIR QUALITY DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 953 AM EDT WED JUL 13 2011 *** The following information pertains to initialization errors noted on the 12Z NAM that may negatively impact the performance of the 12Z CMAQ output as used for air quality forecasting. Specifically, errors that apply to temperature, winds, relative humidity and precipitation are included. This discussion only applies to geographical regions of the CONUS where air quality is currently forecast to be degraded (i.e. CODES: YELLOW/ORANGE/RED/PURPLE/MAROON). *** ...MID ATLANTIC STATES... ...SOUTHEAST PIEDMONT... ...SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS... ...TENNESSEE VALLEY... THE NAM DOES NOT APPEAR TO HAVE PROPERLY RESOLVED THE LINE OF SHOWERS SINKING THROUGH EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND NEW JERSEY THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE...NO SIGNIFICANT INITIALIZATION ERRORS WERE NOTED OVER THESE REGIONS. ...LOWER COLORADO VALLEY... THE NAM INITIALIZED AS MUCH AS 15 DEGREES TOO COOL NEAR THE MOUNTAINS...DUE TO COARSE TERRAIN RESOLUTION. OTHERWISE...NO SIGNIFICANT INITIALIZATION ERRORS WERE NOTED OVER THIS REGION. CISCO