NAM AIR QUALITY DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 1005 AM EDT WED AUG 03 2011 *** The following information pertains to initialization errors noted on the 12Z NAM that may negatively impact the performance of the 12Z CMAQ output as used for air quality forecasting. Specifically, errors that apply to temperature, winds, relative humidity and precipitation are included. This discussion only applies to geographical regions of the CONUS where air quality is currently forecast to be degraded (i.e. CODES: YELLOW/ORANGE/RED/PURPLE/MAROON). *** ...SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA... SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE 5 TO 10 DEGREES WARMER THAN INITIALIZED IN THE VALLEYS AND DESERTS EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF LOS ANGELES. ...TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY... A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHERN KENTUCKY IS MOVING FASTER AND STRONGER THAN INITIALIZED AND INCLUDES THICKER AND GREATER CLOUD COVER. JAMES