NAM AIR QUALITY DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 1002 AM EDT FRI JUL 27 2012 *** The following information pertains to initialization errors noted on the 12Z NAM that may negatively impact the performance of the 12Z CMAQ output as used for air quality forecasting. Specifically, errors that apply to temperature, winds, relative humidity and precipitation are included. This discussion only applies to geographical regions of the CONUS where air quality is currently forecast to be degraded (i.e. CODES: YELLOW/ORANGE/RED/PURPLE/MAROON). *** ...INTERIOR VALLEYS OF CALIFORNIA... ...SOUTHERN NEVADA AND ARIZONA... THE NAM INITIALIZES TEMPERATURES 5-10 F LOWER THAN OBSERVED NUMBERS OVER MOST OF THE REGION. ...NORTHERN UTAH... ...CENTRAL IDAHO... NO SIGNIFICANT INITIALIZATION ERRORS ARE NOTED. ...CENTRAL ROCKIES/HIGH PLAINS... NO SIGNIFICANT INITIALIZATION ERRORS ARE NOTED. ...CENTRAL PLAINS... ...SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS... NO SIGNIFICANT INITIALIZATION ERRORS ARE NOTED. ...MID ATLANTIC... ...OHIO RIVER VALLEY... ...NORTHERN GEORGIA... NO SIGNIFICANT INITIALIZATION ERRORS ARE NOTED. MUSHER