Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
257 AM EDT Mon May 23 2022

Valid 00Z Tue May 24 2022 - 00Z Tue May 31 2022

Hawaii is expected to remain on the southwestern periphery of the
main subtropical high that will be centered about half way between
the state and California through late Tuesday, and then another
surface high builds in to the north of the Islands as the col in
the ridge weakens for the middle to end of the week.  Aloft, there
will likely be a weak upper level disturbance to the east of the
Big Island through about Tuesday, but this is not currently
expected to have any meaningful impact on the local weather. 

The ensemble means are in relatively good agreement on the large
scale pattern.  In terms of sensible weather, mainly scattered
showers and typical terrain enhancements are expected across the
Islands with winds generally out of the east at 10-20 mph on most
days.  No major heavy rainfall events are anticipated over the
next week as deep tropical moisture remains generally south of 15
degrees north through the period.

Hamrick