Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
253 AM EDT Fri Jul 08 2022

Valid 00Z Sat Jul 09 2022 - 00Z Sat Jul 16 2022

Models and ensembles reasonably agree that strong high pressure
bridging to the north of the state will build brisk island trades
over the next week in a pattern favoring periods of mainly
windward/mountain showers. Meanwhile, some periods of slightly
above average moisture are possible especially over the Big Island
through late week into the weekend, which may lead to some
increased shower coverage especially over windward and mauka
areas. Then drier and sunnier conditions are forecast to return to
the state early next week, but model guidance has been
persistently showing the potential for moisture from what is
currently Hurricane Bonnie could pass over Hawaii into mid-later
next week. Though Bonnie is forecast to dissipate before then, the
remnant moisture could lead to increased rainfall chances for
Hawaii.

Schichtel