Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
301 AM EDT Sat Jul 09 2022

Valid 00Z Sun Jul 10 2022 - 00Z Sun Jul 17 2022

Models and ensembles still reasonably agree that strong high
pressure bridging to the north of the state will build brisk
island trades over the next week in a pattern favoring periods of
mainly windward/mountain showers. Meanwhile, some periods of
slightly above average moisture are possible especially over the
Big Island through late week into the weekend, which may lead to
some increased shower coverage especially over windward and mauka
areas. Then drier and sunnier conditions are forecast to return to
the state early next week, but model guidance has been
persistently showing the potential for moisture from what is
currently Hurricane Bonnie could pass over Hawaii into mid-later
next week. Though Bonnie is forecast to dissipate before then, the
remnant moisture could lead to increased rainfall chances for
Hawaii.

Schichtel