Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
337 AM EDT Sat Jul 23 2022

Valid 00Z Sun Jul 24 2022 - 00Z Sun Jul 31 2022

The models and ensemble means continue to agree upon a persistent
trade wind pattern with mostly windward/mountain showers through
the period, as surface high pressure settles over the east-central
Pacific. Trades should be moderate to occasionally brisk into
early next week and then may weaken somewhat by Wednesday-Thursday
as an upper weakness/low moves in from the east and expands
over/north of the state. This may provide a little more potential
for sea breeze influence if the background flow weakens
sufficiently. Overall though, rainfall amounts should be fairly
light as guidance maintains below normal precipitable water values
into at least the middle of next week. Some uptick in moisture is
possible by later next week associated with the upper level trough
over the state, but guidance continues to keep the best rainfall
well north of the state.

Santorelli