Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
334 AM EDT Sat Oct 8 2022

Valid 00Z Sun Oct 9 2022 - 00Z Sun Oct 16 2022

An anomalous closed low is expected to be quasi-stationary through
about early Tuesday as it remains blocked by a ridge to its east
and to its west.  The trailing stationary front should be close
enough to the state to generate some additional showers and storms
for the central and northern Islands through early next week, with
perhaps a more organized corridor of showers/storms by next
Thursday across the northwestern Islands as the front gets closer
to these areas.

The ensemble means are suggesting another weaker closed upper
low/trough that'll likely develop northwest of the state by next
Wednesday/Thursday as the blocking ridge just off the West Coast
of the U.S. remains anchored in place.  In terms of trade winds,
the general col in the surface high and the proximity of the front
will tend to result in lighter winds than normal for most of the
upcoming week and more of a southeasterly to even southerly
component at times. 

Hamrick