Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
402 AM EDT Sun Oct 9 2022

Valid 00Z Mon Oct 10 2022 - 00Z Mon Oct 17 2022

The closed low north of Hawaii is expected to linger near 35
degrees north through about Monday night, and then becomes
absorbed by a trough approaching from the west.  The trailing
stationary front should be close enough to the state to generate
some additional showers and storms for the central and northern
Islands through Tuesday, with perhaps a more organized corridor of
showers/storms by Wednesday and Thursday across the northwestern
Islands as the front gets closer to these areas.

The ensemble means are suggesting another closed upper low/trough
that is expected to develop northwest of the state by Thursday as
the blocking ridge just off the West Coast of the U.S. remains
anchored in place.  In terms of trade winds, the general col in
the surface high and the proximity of the front will tend to
result in lighter winds than normal for most of the upcoming week
and more of a southeasterly to even southerly component at times. 

Hamrick