Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
318 AM EDT Sat Oct 22 2022

Valid 00Z Sun Oct 23 2022 - 00Z Sun Oct 30 2022

Latest guidance still reasonably agrees that a main closed low now
northwest of the state will continue to lift/rotate away from the
islands into the mid-latitudes over the weekend. Meanwhile, upper
ridging settles over the state and lingers through the at least
the middle of next week. This pattern allows surface high pressure
to build to the northeast of the state through the weekend into
early next week to be followed by broad strong high pressure
ridging to build/bridge to the north of the islands for the rest
of the period. This will favor re-emerging trade flow that could
tap lingering moisture to fuel some weekend showers increasingly
to focus over favored windward terrain. Expect moderately to brisk
trades next week, but more limited activity under the stabilizing
upper ridge. There is an emerging guidance signal to whittle upper
trough/system energies into the east side of this ridge into the
state later next week into next weekend to monitor. 

Schichtel